Vermont Catamounts vs Maine Black Bears prediction
Chance to win · 39% and 38% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks · Average confidence 64%Full game
- 1X2Vermont2.70Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderU6.51.41Confidence 72%
- HandicapVermont +1.51.43Confidence 70%
- Winner (incl. OT)VermontConfidence 51%
- Double chanceVermont or draw1.75Confidence 66%
- Draw no betVermont2.14Confidence 51%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)Yes1.10Confidence 85%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2DrawConfidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderU2.5Confidence 79%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Vermont 4–1
Maine Score details
- Correct score4–14%chance
- 1st period correct score0–021%chance
- Highest scoring period3rd period30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 0-0, 2-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-1 (4%), 3-2 (4%), 3-1 (3%)
Season so far
This seasonVermont Catamounts
Maine Black Bears
Head-to-head
Vermont 2–3
Maine - Mar 7, 2026: Vermont Catamounts 5, Maine Black Bears 3.
- Nov 15, 2025: Maine Black Bears 1, Vermont Catamounts 2.
- Nov 14, 2025: Maine Black Bears 7, Vermont Catamounts 0.
- Mar 1, 2025: Maine Black Bears 4, Vermont Catamounts 3.
- Feb 28, 2025: Maine Black Bears 4, Vermont Catamounts 1.
Last five games
Vermont
4-0-1 - Win, 5–4 at Boston College Eagles, after a shootout, Nov 6. Odds: Boston College 1.98, Vermont 2.85.
- Win, 5–2 at Boston College Eagles, Nov 5. Odds: Boston College 1.74, Vermont 3.47.
- Win, 3–2 against New Hampshire Wildcats, Oct 31. Odds: Vermont 2.25, New Hampshire 2.50.
- Win, 3–2 against New Hampshire Wildcats, Oct 30. Odds: Vermont 2.45, New Hampshire 2.30.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 at Clarkson Golden Knights, after overtime, Oct 25.
Maine
2-2-1 - Win, 2–0 against Massachusetts Minutemen, Nov 7. Odds: Maine 1.98, UMass 2.90.
- Loss, 1–2 against Massachusetts Minutemen, Nov 6. Odds: Maine 1.98, UMass 2.90.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 at Boston University Terriers, after overtime, Oct 31. Odds: Boston Univ. 1.80, Maine 3.05.
- Loss, 2–7 at Boston University Terriers, Oct 30. Odds: Boston Univ. 1.98, Maine 2.85.
- Win, 3–0 against Colgate Raiders, Oct 24. Odds: Maine 1.40, Colgate 5.80.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Key insights
- 4-game winning streak for Vermont Catamounts coming into this game.
- 4-0-1 at home for Vermont Catamounts this season.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Maine Black Bears.
- 6.0 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
- 11th vs 7th in the NCAA standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (VER) | 2.45 | 2.50 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.80 | 3.80 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (MBB) | 2.30 | 2.25 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap VER | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NCAA standings
NCAA · Hockey East
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boston University Terriers |
28 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 113 | 2.018 | 0 |
| 2 |  Connecticut Huskies |
30 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 98 | 1.633 | 0 |
| 3 |  Massachusetts Lowell |
28 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 74 | 1.321 | 0 |
| 4 |  Northeastern Huskies |
29 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 90 | 1.552 | 0 |
| 5 |  Merrimack Warriors |
29 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 82 | 1.414 | 0 |
| 6 |  Providence Friars |
30 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 92 | 1.533 | 0 |
| 7 | Maine Black Bears |
29 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 76 | 1.310 | 0 |
| 8 |  Massachusetts Minutemen |
27 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 76 | 1.407 | 0 |
| 9 |  Boston College Eagles |
28 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 75 | 1.339 | 0 |
| 10 |  New Hampshire Wildcats |
30 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 67 | 1.117 | 0 |
| 11 | Vermont Catamounts |
29 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 56 | .966 | 0 |
Pts points, on the league’s own system. The table follows the league’s own order. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · +/− difference.
Vermont Catamounts host Maine Black Bears in the NCAA on Friday, November 13, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.