Victoriaville Tigres vs Sherbrooke Phoenix prediction
Chance to win · 24% and 58% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 68%Full game
- 1X2LostSherbrookeodds up 1.93Confidence 60%
- Over/UnderWonO5.5odds down 1.39Confidence 73%
- HandicapWonVictoriaville +1.51.52Confidence 54%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostSherbrookeodds up 1.58Confidence 70%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceLostSherbrooke or drawodds up 1.34Confidence 77%
- Draw no betLostSherbrooke1.55Confidence 73%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.03Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostSherbrookeodds up 2.33Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds up 1.57Confidence 65%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Victoriaville 3–4
Sherbrooke Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–4After 60 min4–23%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period2–19%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals1st · 3 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-4
- By period 0-2, 1-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 3-4 (3%), 4-5 (2%), 5-6 (1%)
Season so far
This seasonVictoriaville Tigres
Sherbrooke Phoenix
Head-to-head
Victoriaville 1–4
Sherbrooke - Sep 25, 2026: Victoriaville Tigres 1, Sherbrooke Phoenix 7.
- Aug 16, 2026: Victoriaville Tigres 2, Sherbrooke Phoenix 5.
- Aug 15, 2026: Sherbrooke Phoenix 3, Victoriaville Tigres 1.
- Feb 6, 2026: Sherbrooke Phoenix 4, Victoriaville Tigres 0.
- Jan 30, 2026: Victoriaville Tigres 4, Sherbrooke Phoenix 1.
Last five games
Victoriaville
2-2-1 - Loss, 3–8 against Quebec Remparts, Oct 18. Odds: Victoriaville 3.50, Quebec 1.78.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 at Drummondville Voltigeurs, after a shootout, Oct 16. Odds: Drummondville 2.00, Victoriaville 2.75.
- Loss, 2–6 at Blainville-Boisbriand Armada, Oct 12. Odds: Blainville 2.71, Victoriaville 2.05.
- Win, 5–3 against Shawinigan Cataractes, Oct 7.
- Win, 3–2 at Chicoutimi Sagueneens, Oct 4.
Sherbrooke
3-1-1 - Overtime loss, 3–4 at Baie-Comeau Drakkar, after overtime, Oct 18. Odds: Baie-Comeau 6.80, Sherbrooke 1.33.
- Win, 5–3 at Chicoutimi Sagueneens, Oct 17. Odds: Chicoutimi 2.45, Sherbrooke 2.21.
- Win, 4–3 against Cape Breton Eagles, after overtime, Oct 12. Odds: Sherbrooke 2.47, Cape Breton 2.46.
- Win, 6–1 against Baie-Comeau Drakkar, Oct 10.
- Loss, 3–4 against Rimouski Oceanic, Oct 2.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-1
- 00:16 Goal Victoriaville Tigres: Desroches A. 1-0
- 01:36 Goal Sherbrooke Phoenix: Kuzminykh I. assists: Kolmakov I., Mazzola N. 1-1
- 14:15 Goal PPG Victoriaville Tigres: Desruisseaux T. assists: Shilov Y., Lemaire D. 2-1
2nd period1-0
- 15:37 Goal Victoriaville Tigres: Vlasov A. assists: Shilov Y. 3-1
3rd period1-1
- 00:38 Goal PPG Victoriaville Tigres: Vlasov A. assists: Lemaire D., Desruisseaux T. 4-1
- 01:35 Goal Sherbrooke Phoenix: Leduc D. assists: St. Louis M. 4-2
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Victoriaville Tigres coming into this game.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Sherbrooke Phoenix.
- +1.7 goals at home — Victoriaville Tigres averaged 4.7 at home and 3.0 away this season.
- 5.6 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.5.
- 1st vs 2nd in the QMJHL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (VIC) | 2.92 | 2.92 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.20 | 4.20 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (SHE) | 1.95 | 1.95 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6.5 | No change |
| Handicap VIC | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
QMJHL standings
Regular Season · Central Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Victoriaville Tigres |
18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 25 | .694 | 78 | 70 | +8 |
| 2 | Sherbrooke Phoenix |
16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 20 | .625 | 62 | 46 | +16 |
| 3 |  Drummondville Voltigeurs |
18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 18 | .500 | 61 | 69 | −8 |
| 4 |  Shawinigan Cataractes |
16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 11 | .344 | 51 | 78 | −27 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Victoriaville Tigres host Sherbrooke Phoenix in the QMJHL on Thursday, October 22, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.