Vienna Capitals vs Graz99ers prediction
Chance to win · 38% and 39% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Full game
- 1X2WonGrazodds up 2.00Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonU5.5odds up 1.65Confidence 54%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonVienna +1.5odds down 1.41Confidence 69%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonGrazodds up 1.62Confidence 51%
- Double chanceWonGraz or drawodds up 1.35Confidence 66%
- Draw no betWonGrazodds up 1.57Confidence 51%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.12Confidence 85%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostDrawodds up 2.57Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostU2.5odds up 1.18Confidence 79%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreWon2–3After 60 min2–34%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period1–222%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals1st · 3 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-0, 1-1, 1-2
- Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 1-2 (3%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Sep 25, 2026: Graz99ers 3, Vienna Capitals 2, after overtime.
- Feb 25, 2026: Vienna Capitals 2, Graz99ers 5.
- Jan 11, 2026: Graz99ers 4, Vienna Capitals 0.
- Dec 3, 2025: Graz99ers 3, Vienna Capitals 1.
- Oct 12, 2025: Vienna Capitals 1, Graz99ers 3.
Last five games
- Loss, 1–4 at Black Wings Linz, Oct 21. Odds: Linz 1.78, Vienna 3.00.
- Win, 4–2 against Vorarlberg, Oct 17. Odds: Vienna 1.50, Vorarlberg 4.00.
- Win, 3–2 at Klagenfurt, Oct 16. Odds: Klagenfurt 1.55, Vienna 4.57.
- Win, 3–2 against Val Pusteria, Oct 11.
- Loss, 2–3 at Ferencvaros, Oct 9. Odds: Ferencvaros 2.35, Vienna 2.30.
- Loss, 2–5 against Black Wings Linz, Oct 23. Odds: Graz 1.77, Linz 3.30.
- Win, 5–3 against Milano, Oct 21. Odds: Graz 1.44, Milano 4.75.
- Win, 4–2 at Villach, Oct 16. Odds: Villach 2.68, Graz 2.10.
- Win, 6–3 at Storhamar, Oct 14. Odds: Storhamar 1.44, Graz 5.37.
- Win, 3–2 at Fehervar AV19, after overtime, Oct 11.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-2
- 05:33 Goal Graz99ers: Lippitsch J. assists: Roy K., Hora F. 0-1
- 12:36 Goal Graz99ers: Kirchebner M. assists: Swaney N., Currie J. 0-2
- 18:28 Goal Vienna Capitals: Bailen N. assists: Bourque S., Wallner L. 1-2
2nd period0-0
No goals or penalties.
3rd period1-1
- 08:29 Goal Graz99ers: Schiechl M. assists: Hora F. 1-3
- 15:39 Goal Vienna Capitals: Bourque S. assists: Bailen N., Komarek K. 2-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Vienna Capitals dropped from 2.20 to 1.95 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 3 days off for Vienna Capitals, 1 for Graz99ers.
- 5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Graz99ers.
- In goal: Reideborn A. for Vienna Capitals (7-3-0 in the last 10 starts), Wieser N. for Graz99ers (5-4-1 in the last 10 starts).
- 4-1-0 at home for Vienna Capitals this season.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (VIE) | 2.55 | 2.75 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.00 | 4.20 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (GRA) | 2.25 | 2.05 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 5 | 5 | No change |
| Handicap VIE | +1.5 | +0.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
ICE Hockey League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 1.147 | 70 | 41 | +29 | |
| 2 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 1.059 | 66 | 47 | +19 | |
| 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 35 | 1.029 | 73 | 43 | +30 | |
| 4 | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 32 | 1.067 | 45 | 33 | +12 | |
| 5 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 30 | .882 | 65 | 51 | +14 | |
| 6 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 30 | .882 | 50 | 47 | +3 | |
| 7 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 28 | .824 | 55 | 52 | +3 | |
| 8 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 23 | .639 | 55 | 61 | −6 | |
| 9 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 22 | .688 | 49 | 55 | −6 | |
| 10 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 21 | .656 | 42 | 46 | −4 | |
| 11 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 21 | .583 | 38 | 61 | −23 | |
| 12 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 20 | .667 | 40 | 43 | −3 | |
| 13 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 15 | .417 | 36 | 59 | −23 | |
| 14 | 18 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 2 | .056 | 40 | 85 | −45 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Vienna Capitals host Graz99ers in the ICE Hockey League on Sunday, October 25, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.