Villach vs Ferencvaros Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Handicap Lost

Ferencvaros +2.5 1.30

Confidence71%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%

Full game

1X2WonVillach1.90Confidence 51%
Over/UnderWonO4.5odds down 1.32Confidence 70%
Best tip of the game: HandicapLostFerencvaros +2.5odds down 1.30Confidence 71%
Winner (incl. OT)WonVillachodds down 1.57Confidence 61%
Double chanceWonVillach or drawodds up 1.33Confidence 70%
Draw no betWonVillach1.53Confidence 62%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.06Confidence 88%

1st period

1st period 1X2WonVillachodds down 2.40Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds down 1.82Confidence 54%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Villach 42

Ferencvaros

Final 4–1

Total goalsTotal 6 Actual 5

Draw after 60 minDraw 21% Decided in regulation

VIL to winTo win 59% VIL won

Score details

Correct scoreLost4–2After 60 min4–14%chance
1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–08%chance
Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 3 goals29%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 4-2
By period 2-0, 0-1, 2-1
Likeliest 4-2 (4%), 3-2 (4%), 4-3 (3%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record4-4-35-4-1

Home / road split2-1-21-1-1

StreakL3W2

Rest2 days2 days

Goals for2.63.1

Goals against3.23.4

In the standings12th9th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game−0.7−0.2

Goals for2.73.1

Goals against3.43.3

Shots on goal27.928.0

Shots against40.029.8

Shooting %9.7%11.1%

Save %91.5%89.3%

Power-play %20.5%23.3%

Penalty kill %83.0%88.6%

Faceoff %46.4%51.3%

Penalty minutes11.811.2

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Villach 31

Ferencvaros

Villach won three of the last four meetings

Goals a gameGoals 7.5 VIL 4.3 · FER 3.3

Over 6.0 goalsOver 6.0 2 of 4 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 1 of 4 1 in overtime

Feb 14, 2026: Ferencvaros 2, Villach 4.
Dec 19, 2025: Villach 4, Ferencvaros 5.
Oct 19, 2025: Villach 5, Ferencvaros 4, after overtime.
Sep 12, 2025: Ferencvaros 2, Villach 4.

Last five games

Villach 1-1-3

Overtime loss, 2–3 against Val Pusteria, after overtime, Oct 18. Odds: Villach 2.22, Val Pusteria 2.22.
Loss, 2–4 against Graz99ers, Oct 16. Odds: Villach 2.68, Graz 2.10.
Overtime loss, 2–3 at TWK Innsbruck, after overtime, Oct 11.
Win, 4–3 against Bolzano, after overtime, Oct 9. Odds: Villach 2.75, Bolzano 2.04.
Overtime loss, 3–4 against Vienna Capitals, after overtime, Oct 4.

Ferencvaros 3-1-1

Win, 3–2 against Klagenfurt, after overtime, Oct 18. Odds: Ferencvaros 4.50, Klagenfurt 1.50.
Win, 4–3 against Vorarlberg, Oct 16. Odds: Ferencvaros 1.70, Vorarlberg 3.76.
Loss, 1–5 at HK Olimpija, Oct 11.
Win, 3–2 against Vienna Capitals, Oct 9. Odds: Ferencvaros 2.35, Vienna 2.30.
Overtime loss, 3–4 at Bolzano, after a shootout, Oct 4.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period1-0

16:29 Goal Villach: Teasdale J. assists: Sproul R. 1-0

2nd period2-1

04:47 Goal Villach: Wallenta E. assists: Hancock K., Strong S. 2-0
07:31 Goal PPG Ferencvaros: Savoie C. assists: Dobos M. B. 2-1
08:33 Goal PPG Villach: Teasdale J. assists: Hancock K., Sproul R. 3-1

3rd period1-0

14:01 Goal Villach: Rauchenwald A. 4-1

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

3-game losing streak for Villach coming into this game.
In goal: Cannata J. for Villach (3-4-3 in the last 10 starts), Nagy K. for Ferencvaros (3-7-0 in the last 10 starts).
3-1 in the last 4 meetings for Villach.
+1.8 goals at home — Villach averaged 3.6 at home and 1.8 away this season.
Save % gap: Villach 91.5%, Ferencvaros 89.3% over their recent games.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (VIL)	1.82	1.82	No change
1X2: X (draw)	4.05	4.05	No change
1X2: 2 (FER)	2.82	2.82	No change
Over/Under line	5.5	6	Line raised
Handicap VIL	−1.5	−0.5	Line moved

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

ICE Hockey League standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Bolzano	17	13	1	3	39	1.147	70	41	+29
2	Black Wings Linz	17	12	4	1	36	1.059	66	47	+19
3	HK Olimpija	17	12	5	0	35	1.029	73	43	+30
4	Val Pusteria	15	11	3	1	32	1.067	45	33	+12
5	Klagenfurt	17	10	6	1	30	.882	65	51	+14
6	Graz99ers	17	10	4	3	30	.882	50	47	+3
7	Salzburg	17	9	7	1	28	.824	55	52	+3
8	Milano	18	7	9	2	23	.639	55	61	−6
9	Ferencvaros	16	8	7	1	22	.688	49	55	−6
10	Vienna Capitals	16	7	7	2	21	.656	42	46	−4
11	Fehervar AV19	18	7	8	3	21	.583	38	61	−23
12	Villach	15	6	6	3	20	.667	40	43	−3
13	TWK Innsbruck	18	6	12	0	15	.417	36	59	−23
14	Vorarlberg	18	0	16	2	2	.056	40	85	−45

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Villach vs Ferencvaros prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details