Villach vs Graz99ers Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Handicap Lost

Villach +1.5 1.42

Confidence69%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%

Full game

1X2LostVillachodds up 2.65Confidence 51%
Over/UnderWonO4.5odds down 1.44Confidence 69%
Best tip of the game: HandicapLostVillach +1.5odds up 1.42Confidence 69%
Winner (incl. OT)LostVillachodds up 2.05Confidence 51%
Double chanceLostVillach or drawodds up 1.57Confidence 66%
Draw no betLostVillachodds up 2.07Confidence 51%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.08Confidence 86%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostDrawodds up 2.52Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5odds down 1.24Confidence 77%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Villach 41

Graz

Final 2–4

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 6

Draw after 60 minDraw 22% Decided in regulation

VIL to winTo win 51% GRA won

Score details

Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min2–44%chance
1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period1–020%chance
Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 4 goals28%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 4-1
By period 0-0, 2-0, 2-1
Likeliest 4-1 (4%), 3-2 (4%), 4-2 (4%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record4-3-25-3-2

Home / road split2-0-12-2-1

StreakL1W2

Rest4 days1 day

Goals for2.82.6

Goals against3.12.9

In the standings12th6th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game−0.7−0.1

Goals for2.72.8

Goals against3.42.9

Shots on goal29.531.4

Shots against37.927.2

Shooting %9.2%8.9%

Save %91.0%89.7%

Power-play %20.5%11.3%

Penalty kill %85.7%81.3%

Faceoff %46.4%47.3%

Penalty minutes12.213.1

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Villach 05

Graz

Graz99ers won five of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 5.2 VIL 1.2 · GRA 4.0

Over 5.5 goalsOver 5.5 2 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 1 of 5 1 in overtime

Nov 1, 2026: Graz99ers 4, Villach 1.
Mar 17, 2026: Villach 2, Graz99ers 6.
Mar 14, 2026: Graz99ers 3, Villach 1.
Mar 12, 2026: Villach 1, Graz99ers 5.
Mar 10, 2026: Graz99ers 2, Villach 1, after overtime.

Last five games

Villach 2-1-2

Overtime loss, 2–3 at TWK Innsbruck, after overtime, Oct 11.
Win, 4–3 against Bolzano, after overtime, Oct 9. Odds: Villach 2.75, Bolzano 2.04.
Overtime loss, 3–4 against Vienna Capitals, after overtime, Oct 4.
Win, 7–2 against Milano, Oct 2.
Loss, 0–1 at Fehervar AV19, Sep 30.

Graz 3-1-1

Win, 6–3 at Storhamar, Oct 14. Odds: Storhamar 1.44, Graz 5.37.
Win, 3–2 at Fehervar AV19, after overtime, Oct 11.
Overtime loss, 3–4 against HK Olimpija, after overtime, Oct 9. Odds: Graz 1.98, Olimpija 2.80.
Loss, 1–3 against SaiPa, Oct 6.
Win, 3–0 against TWK Innsbruck, Oct 3.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period1-0

13:17 Goal PPG Villach: Hancock K. assists: Hughes J., Sproul R. 1-0

2nd period0-1

19:21 Goal Graz99ers: Dobnig J. assists: Maier D. 1-1

3rd period1-3

00:59 Goal Villach: Hancock K. assists: Wallenta E., Wall A. 2-1
09:46 Goal PPG Graz99ers: Roy K. assists: Hanus C. 2-2
10:53 Goal Graz99ers: Collins C. assists: Feldner N. 2-3
18:01 Goal Graz99ers: Ganahl M. assists: Dobnig J., Maier D. 2-4

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

Rest advantage: 4 days off for Villach, 1 for Graz99ers.
5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Graz99ers.
In goal: Cannata J. for Villach (3-5-2 in the last 10 starts), Wieser N. for Graz99ers (5-4-1 in the last 10 starts).
5.2 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
12th vs 6th in the ICE Hockey League standings.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (VIL)	2.68	2.68	No change
1X2: X (draw)	4.40	4.40	No change
1X2: 2 (GRA)	2.10	2.10	No change
Over/Under line	5.5	5.5	No change
Handicap VIL	+1.5	+0.5	Line moved

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

ICE Hockey League standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Bolzano	17	13	1	3	39	1.147	70	41	+29
2	Black Wings Linz	17	12	4	1	36	1.059	66	47	+19
3	HK Olimpija	17	12	5	0	35	1.029	73	43	+30
4	Val Pusteria	15	11	3	1	32	1.067	45	33	+12
5	Klagenfurt	17	10	6	1	30	.882	65	51	+14
6	Graz99ers	17	10	4	3	30	.882	50	47	+3
7	Salzburg	17	9	7	1	28	.824	55	52	+3
8	Milano	18	7	9	2	23	.639	55	61	−6
9	Ferencvaros	16	8	7	1	22	.688	49	55	−6
10	Vienna Capitals	16	7	7	2	21	.656	42	46	−4
11	Fehervar AV19	18	7	8	3	21	.583	38	61	−23
12	Villach	15	6	6	3	20	.667	40	43	−3
13	TWK Innsbruck	18	6	12	0	15	.417	36	59	−23
14	Vorarlberg	18	0	16	2	2	.056	40	85	−45

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Villach vs Graz99ers prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details