Villach vs TWK Innsbruck Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Double chance Won

Villach or draw 1.29

Confidence81%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 71%

Full game

1X2WonVillachodds down 1.80Confidence 64%
Over/UnderLostO4.5odds up 1.26Confidence 70%
HandicapWonVillach +1.5odds down 1.19Confidence 78%
Winner (incl. OT)WonVillachodds up 1.33Confidence 74%
Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonVillach or drawodds down 1.29Confidence 81%
Draw no betWonVillachodds down 1.45Confidence 77%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYesodds up 1.06Confidence 86%

1st period

1st period 1X2WonVillachodds down 2.25Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds up 1.72Confidence 54%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Villach 41

Innsbruck

Final 4–0

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 4

Draw after 60 minDraw 18% Decided in regulation

VIL to winTo win 72% VIL won

Score details

Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min4–06%chance
1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–010%chance
Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 3 goals29%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 4-1
By period 2-0, 0-0, 2-1
Likeliest 4-1 (6%), 5-2 (5%), 4-2 (4%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record5-4-36-8-0

Home / road split3-1-23-3-0

StreakW1L3

Rest3 days1 day

Goals for2.82.3

Goals against3.03.2

In the standings12th13th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game+0.1−1.3

Goals for3.02.2

Goals against2.93.5

Shots on goal27.330.8

Shots against39.534.2

Shooting %11.0%7.1%

Save %92.7%90.6%

Power-play %25.6%6.7%

Penalty kill %82.2%85.3%

Faceoff %48.5%50.4%

Penalty minutes11.16.8

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Villach 23

Innsbruck

TWK Innsbruck won three of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 5.8 VIL 3.2 · INN 2.6

Over 5.5 goalsOver 5.5 3 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 1 of 5 1 in overtime

Oct 11, 2026: TWK Innsbruck 3, Villach 2, after overtime.
Jan 1, 2026: Villach 6, TWK Innsbruck 2.
Dec 21, 2025: TWK Innsbruck 5, Villach 2.
Oct 25, 2025: TWK Innsbruck 2, Villach 1.
Oct 11, 2025: Villach 5, TWK Innsbruck 1.

Last five games

Villach 2-1-2

Win, 4–1 against Ferencvaros, Oct 21. Odds: Villach 1.82, Ferencvaros 2.82.
Overtime loss, 2–3 against Val Pusteria, after overtime, Oct 18. Odds: Villach 2.22, Val Pusteria 2.22.
Loss, 2–4 against Graz99ers, Oct 16. Odds: Villach 2.68, Graz 2.10.
Overtime loss, 2–3 at TWK Innsbruck, after overtime, Oct 11.
Win, 4–3 against Bolzano, after overtime, Oct 9. Odds: Villach 2.75, Bolzano 2.04.

Innsbruck 2-3-0

Loss, 2–4 against Salzburg, Oct 23. Odds: Innsbruck 4.50, Salzburg 1.44.
Loss, 0–6 at Bolzano, Oct 21. Odds: Bolzano 1.30, Innsbruck 6.00.
Loss, 2–5 against HK Olimpija, Oct 18. Odds: Innsbruck 4.20, Olimpija 1.45.
Win, 3–2 at Val Pusteria, after overtime, Oct 16. Odds: Val Pusteria 1.55, Innsbruck 4.30.
Win, 3–2 against Villach, after overtime, Oct 11.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period1-0

01:44 Goal Villach: Andersson L. assists: Wieltschnig P., Rauchenwald A. 1-0

2nd period0-0

No goals or penalties.

3rd period3-0

03:13 Goal Villach: Hancock K. assists: Walford S., Wall A. 2-0
11:25 Goal Villach: Wallenta E. assists: Larochelle S., Teasdale J. 3-0
18:27 Goal Villach: Hancock K. assists: Teasdale J., Schreier L. 4-0

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

3-game losing streak for TWK Innsbruck coming into this game.
Odds moved: the odds on Villach dropped from 1.55 to 1.42 since they were first published.
Rest advantage: 3 days off for Villach, 1 for TWK Innsbruck.
In goal: Cannata J. for Villach (4-3-3 in the last 10 starts), Harvey S. for TWK Innsbruck (4-6-0 in the last 10 starts).
Goal differential gap of 1.4 per game — Villach +0.1, TWK Innsbruck −1.3 over their recent games.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (VIL)	1.59	1.59	No change
1X2: X (draw)	5.00	5.00	No change
1X2: 2 (INN)	3.80	3.80	No change
Over/Under line	6	5.5	Line lowered
Handicap VIL	−1.5	−1.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

ICE Hockey League standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Bolzano	17	13	1	3	39	1.147	70	41	+29
2	Black Wings Linz	17	12	4	1	36	1.059	66	47	+19
3	HK Olimpija	17	12	5	0	35	1.029	73	43	+30
4	Val Pusteria	15	11	3	1	32	1.067	45	33	+12
5	Klagenfurt	17	10	6	1	30	.882	65	51	+14
6	Graz99ers	17	10	4	3	30	.882	50	47	+3
7	Salzburg	17	9	7	1	28	.824	55	52	+3
8	Milano	18	7	9	2	23	.639	55	61	−6
9	Ferencvaros	16	8	7	1	22	.688	49	55	−6
10	Vienna Capitals	16	7	7	2	21	.656	42	46	−4
11	Fehervar AV19	18	7	8	3	21	.583	38	61	−23
12	Villach	15	6	6	3	20	.667	40	43	−3
13	TWK Innsbruck	18	6	12	0	15	.417	36	59	−23
14	Vorarlberg	18	0	16	2	2	.056	40	85	−45

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Villach vs TWK Innsbruck prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details