Villach vs Val Pusteria prediction
Chance to win · 36% and 42% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Full game
- 1X2LostVal Pusteriaodds up 2.02Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostO4.5odds up 1.32Confidence 70%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonVillach +1.5odds down 1.42Confidence 67%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonVal Pusteriaodds down 1.79Confidence 56%
- Double chanceWonVal Pusteria or drawodds up 1.38Confidence 67%
- Draw no betPushVal Pusteriaodds up 1.60Confidence 57%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.07Confidence 88%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostVal Pusteriaodds up 2.55Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds up 1.66Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min2–24%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period1–07%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 3 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-2, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 3-4 (2%), 4-5 (1%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Mar 1, 2026: Villach 0, Val Pusteria 1.
- Jan 30, 2026: Val Pusteria 3, Villach 1.
- Oct 24, 2025: Val Pusteria 4, Villach 3, after overtime.
- Sep 21, 2025: Villach 0, Val Pusteria 3.
- Jan 19, 2025: Val Pusteria 2, Villach 1, after overtime.
Last five games
- Loss, 2–4 against Graz99ers, Oct 16. Odds: Villach 2.68, Graz 2.10.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 at TWK Innsbruck, after overtime, Oct 11.
- Win, 4–3 against Bolzano, after overtime, Oct 9. Odds: Villach 2.75, Bolzano 2.04.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 against Vienna Capitals, after overtime, Oct 4.
- Win, 7–2 against Milano, Oct 2.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against TWK Innsbruck, after overtime, Oct 16. Odds: Val Pusteria 1.55, Innsbruck 4.30.
- Loss, 2–3 at Vienna Capitals, Oct 11.
- Loss, 2–5 at Black Wings Linz, Oct 9. Odds: Linz 2.18, Val Pusteria 2.55.
- Win, 3–2 against Fehervar AV19, after overtime, Oct 4.
- Win, 4–2 against HK Olimpija, Oct 2.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 05:03 Goal Villach: Metzler J. assists: Rebernig M., Hughes J. 1-0
2nd period0-0
No goals or penalties.
3rd period1-2
- 10:43 Goal Villach: Rauchenwald A. assists: Sproul R., Maxa F. 2-0
- 19:16 Goal Val Pusteria: Ierullo A. assists: Lipon J. 2-1
- 19:37 Goal Val Pusteria: Farrance D. assists: Lipon J. 2-2
Overtime0-1
- 02:35 Goal Val Pusteria: Fitzgerald G. assists: Lauridsen M., Ierullo A. 2-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Val Pusteria coming into this game.
- 5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Val Pusteria.
- In goal: Cannata J. for Villach (3-5-2 in the last 10 starts), Furlong C. for Val Pusteria (5-3-2 in the last 10 starts).
- +2.2 goals at home — Villach averaged 4.0 at home and 1.8 away this season.
- −1.1 goals away — Val Pusteria averaged 3.6 at home and 2.5 away this season.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (VIL) | 2.37 | 2.22 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.95 | 4.05 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (VAL) | 2.10 | 2.22 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap VIL | +1.5 | +0.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
ICE Hockey League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 1.147 | 70 | 41 | +29 | |
| 2 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 1.059 | 66 | 47 | +19 | |
| 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 35 | 1.029 | 73 | 43 | +30 | |
| 4 | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 32 | 1.067 | 45 | 33 | +12 | |
| 5 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 30 | .882 | 65 | 51 | +14 | |
| 6 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 30 | .882 | 50 | 47 | +3 | |
| 7 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 28 | .824 | 55 | 52 | +3 | |
| 8 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 23 | .639 | 55 | 61 | −6 | |
| 9 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 22 | .688 | 49 | 55 | −6 | |
| 10 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 21 | .656 | 42 | 46 | −4 | |
| 11 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 21 | .583 | 38 | 61 | −23 | |
| 12 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 20 | .667 | 40 | 43 | −3 | |
| 13 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 15 | .417 | 36 | 59 | −23 | |
| 14 | 18 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 2 | .056 | 40 | 85 | −45 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Villach host Val Pusteria in the ICE Hockey League on Sunday, October 18, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.