Villard vs Caen prediction
Chance to win · 27% and 52% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Full game
- 1X2WonCaenodds down 1.85Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonU71.57Confidence 70%
- HandicapLostVillard +1.5Confidence 65%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonCaenodds down 1.54Confidence 62%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonCaen or drawodds down 1.29Confidence 70%
- Draw no betWonCaenConfidence 64%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 85%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonCaenodds down 2.27Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5Confidence 78%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; an edge above the model’s usual ceiling; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Villard 2–3
Caen Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min1–55%chance
- 1st period correct scoreWon0–11st period0–117%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 4 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-1, 1-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 2-3 (5%), 1-2 (4%), 3-4 (3%)
Season so far
This seasonVillard
Caen
Head-to-head
Villard 2–2
Caen - Feb 14, 2026: Villard 2, Caen 1, after overtime.
- Nov 29, 2025: Caen 3, Villard 0.
- Jan 14, 2025: Villard 4, Caen 3.
- Dec 14, 2024: Caen 5, Villard 2.
Last five games
Villard
2-3-0 - Loss, 2–6 at Nantes, Oct 31. Odds: Nantes 1.72, Villard 3.30.
- Loss, 1–4 at Valence, Oct 27. Odds: Valence 2.30, Villard 2.30.
- Win, 4–1 against Meudon, Oct 24. Odds: Villard 2.25, Meudon 2.40.
- Loss, 0–4 against Gap, Oct 20. Odds: Villard 7.00, Gap 1.28.
- Win, 3–2 at Morzine-Avoriaz, Oct 17. Odds: Morzine-Avoriaz 1.87, Villard 2.93.
Caen
3-0-2 - Win, 3–2 against Meudon, after a shootout, Oct 31. Odds: Caen 1.35, Meudon 6.20.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 at Morzine-Avoriaz, after overtime, Oct 27. Odds: Morzine-Avoriaz 2.55, Caen 2.08.
- Win, 5–1 at Strasbourg, Oct 17. Odds: Strasbourg 2.29, Caen 2.29.
- Win, 5–2 against Valenciennes, Oct 10.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Chambery, after overtime, Oct 3.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Key insights
- Head-to-head level at 2-2 after the last 4 meetings.
- 5.0 goals per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the total is 6.5.
- 12th vs 7th in the D1 standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (VIL) | 3.00 | 2.75 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.45 | 5.00 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (CAE) | 1.85 | 1.80 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
D1 standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nantes |
8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 1.188 | 28 | 14 | +14 |
| 2 |  Lyon |
8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 1.063 | 33 | 23 | +10 |
| 3 |  Dunkerque Corsaires |
8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 1.000 | 35 | 20 | +15 |
| 4 |  Neuilly Sur Marne |
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 1.071 | 29 | 24 | +5 |
| 5 |  Valence |
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 1.071 | 26 | 18 | +8 |
| 6 |  Epinal |
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15 | .938 | 23 | 15 | +8 |
| 7 | Caen |
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | .929 | 24 | 16 | +8 |
| 8 |  Chambery |
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | .833 | 21 | 16 | +5 |
| 9 |  Meudon |
8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | .625 | 21 | 25 | −4 |
| 10 |  Tours |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | .714 | 18 | 30 | −12 |
| 11 |  Mont Blanc |
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | .643 | 23 | 24 | −1 |
| 12 | Villard |
8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 9 | .563 | 18 | 27 | −9 |
| 13 |  Morzine-Avoriaz |
8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 7 | .438 | 22 | 32 | −10 |
| 14 |  Strasbourg |
8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 7 | .438 | 15 | 26 | −11 |
| 15 |  Cholet |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | .417 | 14 | 19 | −5 |
| 16 |  Valenciennes |
7 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 11 | 32 | −21 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Villard host Caen in the D1 on Saturday, November 7, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.