Vladivostok vs SKA St. Petersburg prediction
Chance to win · 37% and 41% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Full game
- 1X2LostSKAodds up 1.88Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostO4.5odds up 1.62Confidence 58%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonVladivostok +1.5odds down 1.43Confidence 68%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostSKAodds up 1.52Confidence 53%
- Double chanceLostSKA or draw1.28Confidence 66%
- Draw no betLostSKA1.48Confidence 54%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYes1.13Confidence 85%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostDraw2.50Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5odds down 1.18Confidence 78%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the odds drifted 10% since they opened; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min4–04%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period1–021%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon2nd periodMost goals2nd · 2 goals27%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-0, 1-2, 1-1
- Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 3-4 (2%), 4-5 (1%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Oct 3, 2026: SKA St. Petersburg 6, Vladivostok 5, after a shootout.
- Feb 24, 2026: SKA St. Petersburg 4, Vladivostok 2.
- Dec 4, 2025: Vladivostok 1, SKA St. Petersburg 3.
- Dec 21, 2024: SKA St. Petersburg 3, Vladivostok 2, after overtime.
- Nov 28, 2024: Vladivostok 3, SKA St. Petersburg 2, after a shootout.
Last five games
- Loss, 2–5 against Khabarovsk, Nov 1. Odds: Vladivostok 2.70, Khabarovsk 2.33.
- Win, 4–3 at Niznekamsk, Oct 29. Odds: Niznekamsk 1.82, Vladivostok 3.68.
- Win, 3–1 at Lada, Oct 27. Odds: Lada 2.67, Vladivostok 2.42.
- Loss, 0–3 at Khabarovsk, Oct 25. Odds: Khabarovsk 1.90, Vladivostok 3.50.
- Win, 5–4 against Barys Astana, after overtime, Oct 21. Odds: Vladivostok 2.69, Barys Astana 2.27.
- Win, 4–3 at Bars Kazan, Nov 2. Odds: Ak Bars Kazan 2.39, SKA 2.57.
- Loss, 3–4 against Nizhny Novgorod, Oct 27. Odds: SKA 2.15, Nizhny Novgorod 3.01.
- Loss, 1–3 against CSKA Moscow, Oct 25. Odds: SKA 2.74, CSKA Moscow 2.27.
- Win, 6–3 against Novosibirsk, Oct 22. Odds: SKA 1.82, Novosibirsk 3.65.
- Loss, 1–3 against Yekaterinburg, Oct 20. Odds: SKA 2.07, Yekaterinburg 3.03.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 03:36 2 min Vladivostok: Tsitsyura V. High sticking
- 07:20 2 min SKA St. Petersburg: Vilchinsky A. Hooking
- 08:17 Goal PPG Vladivostok: Chezganov Y. assists: Usmanov D., Tsitsyura V. 1-0
2nd period2-0
- 00:26 Goal Vladivostok: Yanchenko I. assists: Volkov A. 2-0
- 15:13 2 min SKA St. Petersburg: Sapego S. Roughing
- 16:05 Goal PPG Vladivostok: Usmanov D. assists: Chezganov Y., Tsitsyura V. 3-0
- 17:12 2 min Vladivostok: Pimenov A. High sticking
3rd period1-0
- 06:06 2 min SKA St. Petersburg: Nugmanov A. Tripping
- 12:07 2 min Vladivostok: Morozov I. Interference
- 13:32 Goal SHG Vladivostok: Boyarkin N. 4-0
- 18:56 2 min Vladivostok: Bulavchuk O. High sticking
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Expected in goal: Boyarkin N. for Vladivostok (6-2-2 in the last 10 starts), Pleshkov A. for SKA St. Petersburg (5-5-0 in the last 10 starts).
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for SKA St. Petersburg.
- −1.2 goals away — SKA St. Petersburg averaged 3.7 at home and 2.5 away this season.
- 6.2 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (VLA) | 3.07 | 3.00 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.88 | 3.80 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (SSP) | 1.86 | 1.84 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5 | Line lowered |
| Handicap VLA | +0.5 | +0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
KHL standings
Regular Season · Chernyshev Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 12 | 11 | 2 | 26 | .520 | 72 | 73 | −1 | |
| 2 | 23 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 26 | .565 | 46 | 55 | −9 | |
| 3 | 23 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 25 | .543 | 46 | 38 | +8 | |
| 4 | 24 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 25 | .521 | 76 | 66 | +10 | |
| 5 | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 25 | .543 | 61 | 64 | −3 | |
| 6 | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 22 | .423 | 58 | 77 | −19 |
Regular Season · Bobrov Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 31 | .674 | 64 | 51 | +13 | |
| 2 | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 30 | .600 | 66 | 56 | +10 | |
| 3 | 23 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 25 | .543 | 72 | 68 | +4 | |
| 4 | 24 | 8 | 16 | 0 | 16 | .333 | 42 | 81 | −39 | |
| 5 | 25 | 5 | 15 | 5 | 15 | .300 | 38 | 81 | −43 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Vladivostok host SKA St. Petersburg in the KHL on Wednesday, November 4, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.