VSE Falcons Prague vs Riders Pardubice prediction
Chance to win · 46% and 35% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Full game
- 1X2WonVSE Falconsodds down 1.83Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostU7.51.61Confidence 70%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapLostRiders +1.51.57Confidence 64%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonVSE Falconsodds down 1.53Confidence 56%
- Double chanceWonVSE Falcons or drawConfidence 66%
- Draw no betWonVSE FalconsConfidence 58%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonVSE FalconsConfidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.51.52Confidence 57%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: form from only 4 games; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
VSE Falcons 3–2
Riders Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min6–33%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period3–08%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon2nd periodMost goals2nd · 4 goals31%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 1-2, 0-0
- Likeliest 3-2 (3%), 4-3 (3%), 2-1 (2%)
Season so far
This seasonVSE Falcons Prague
Riders Pardubice
Head-to-head
VSE Falcons 3–2
Riders - Apr 17, 2026: VSE Falcons Prague 3, Riders Pardubice 2.
- Feb 10, 2026: VSE Falcons Prague 4, Riders Pardubice 6.
- Dec 1, 2025: Riders Pardubice 5, VSE Falcons Prague 6, after a shootout.
- Mar 4, 2025: VSE Falcons Prague 0, Riders Pardubice 5.
- Sep 30, 2024: Riders Pardubice 2, VSE Falcons Prague 7.
Last five games
VSE Falcons
4-1-0 - Loss, 1–7 at Engineers Prague, Oct 14. Odds: Engineers 1.45, VSE Falcons 4.18.
- Win, 4–3 against ZCU Academy Pilsen, Oct 6.
- Win, 5–4 at UK Prague, after a shootout, Sep 30.
- Win, 3–2 against United HK, after overtime, Sep 22.
- Win, 3–2 against Riders Pardubice, Apr 17.
Riders
3-1-1 - Overtime loss, 3–4 against CZU Farmers Prague, after a shootout, Oct 12. Odds: Riders 1.40, CZU Farmers 4.51.
- Loss, 2–7 at Engineers Prague, Oct 7.
- Win, 4–1 against Masaryk University, Oct 5.
- Win, 5–3 at North Wings Usti nad Labem, Sep 30.
- Win, 7–2 against Black Dogs Budweis, Sep 21.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period3-0
- 04:26 Goal VSE Falcons Prague: Jurak A. assists: Ramert J., Kloboucek J. 1-0
- 10:03 Goal VSE Falcons Prague: Fibigr J. assists: Vavrik J. 2-0
- 13:06 Goal SHG VSE Falcons Prague: Straka D. assists: Ramert J. 3-0
2nd period1-3
- 02:51 Goal VSE Falcons Prague: Fibigr J. assists: Ramert J., Drab J. 4-0
- 02:51 Goalie change Riders Pardubice: Zaruba M. replaces Skorpik F.
- 05:29 Goal PPG Riders Pardubice: Hebek L. assists: Burda D. 4-1
- 06:43 Goal Riders Pardubice: Odehnal M. 4-2
- 14:55 Goal Riders Pardubice: Matys D. 4-3
3rd period2-0
- 17:41 Goal VSE Falcons Prague: Novotny F. assists: Straka D. 5-3
- 19:55 Goal VSE Falcons Prague: Vavrik J. 6-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Rest advantage: 7 days off for Riders Pardubice, 5 for VSE Falcons Prague.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for VSE Falcons Prague.
- 4-1-0 in the last five for VSE Falcons Prague.
- 8.0 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.5.
- 5th vs 6th in the ULLH standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (VFP) | 1.80 | 1.80 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.65 | 4.65 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (RID) | 3.10 | 3.10 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6.5 | No change |
| Handicap VFP | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
ULLH standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Engineers Prague |
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 1.313 | 39 | 15 | +24 |
| 2 |  ZCU Academy Pilsen |
8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 1.125 | 34 | 19 | +15 |
| 3 |  Cavaliers Brno |
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 1.000 | 32 | 26 | +6 |
| 4 |  UK Prague |
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 1.071 | 25 | 14 | +11 |
| 5 | VSE Falcons Prague |
8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 15 | .938 | 30 | 29 | +1 |
| 6 | Riders Pardubice |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | .929 | 29 | 24 | +5 |
| 7 |  Black Dogs Budweis |
8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 12 | .750 | 23 | 30 | −7 |
| 8 |  United HK |
9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 12 | .667 | 23 | 35 | −12 |
| 9 |  BO Ostrava |
8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9 | .563 | 23 | 32 | −9 |
| 10 |  CZU Farmers Prague |
9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 7 | .389 | 24 | 33 | −9 |
| 11 |  North Wings Usti nad Labem |
8 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 3 | .188 | 24 | 36 | −12 |
| 12 |  MUNI Bears Brno |
8 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 3 | .188 | 21 | 34 | −13 |
- Play-in: Final
- Play-in: Semi-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
VSE Falcons Prague host Riders Pardubice in the ULLH on Tuesday, October 20, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.