Washington Capitals vs Florida Panthers prediction
Washington Capitals 4–, Florida Panthers 3
FT
Puck drop 12:30 ET
1X2 odds down 2.201X2 odds up 2.65
Capital One Arena (Washington, DC) · USACapital One Arena (Washington, DC)
Team
1st
2nd
3rd
WSH
1
2
1
FLA
2
0
1
55%Washington win · 44% in regulationWSH
Overtime or shootout · 22%OT / SO 22%
45%Florida win · 34% in regulationFLA
Chance to win · 44% and 34% in regulation
Best tip of the gameBest tip
Double chance
Won
Capitals or draw
odds down 1.47
Confidence68%
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Full game
- 1X2WonCapitalsodds up 2.28Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds down 1.33Confidence 70%
- HandicapWonPanthers +1.5odds up 1.36Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonCapitalsodds up 1.80Confidence 57%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonCapitals or drawodds down 1.47Confidence 68%
- Draw no betWonCapitalsodds down 1.80Confidence 58%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.06Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostCapitals2.65Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds up 1.70Confidence 56%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Capitals 3–2
Panthers
Total goalsTotal
5
Actual 7
Draw after 60 minDraw
22%
Decided in regulation
Washington to winTo win
55%
WSH won
Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min4–33%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–27%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals1st · 3 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 3-2 (3%), 4-3 (2%), 5-4 (1%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent form
Season
Washington Capitals
Florida Panthers
Washington Capitals
Florida Panthers
Season recordWashington Capitals 8-6-0Florida Panthers 9-5-2
Home / road splitWashington Capitals 6-4-0Florida Panthers 5-3-2
StreakWashington Capitals L2Florida Panthers W1
RestWashington Capitals 3 daysFlorida Panthers 2 days
Goals forWashington Capitals 3.5Florida Panthers 3.3
Goals againstWashington Capitals 3.4Florida Panthers 2.9
In the standingsWashington Capitals 9thFlorida Panthers 7th
Per game · last 10 each
Goal differential per gameWashington Capitals −0.4Florida Panthers +1.0
Goals forWashington Capitals 3.5Florida Panthers 4.0
Goals againstWashington Capitals 3.9Florida Panthers 3.0
Shots on goalWashington Capitals 28.4Florida Panthers 29.9
Shots againstWashington Capitals 27.1Florida Panthers 23.6
Shooting %Washington Capitals 12.3%Florida Panthers 13.4%
Save %Washington Capitals 86.7%Florida Panthers 88.1%
Power-play %Washington Capitals 18.8%Florida Panthers 27.5%
Penalty kill %Washington Capitals 76.3%Florida Panthers 94.0%
Faceoff %Washington Capitals 48.4%Florida Panthers 48.8%
Penalty minutesWashington Capitals 8.4Florida Panthers 10.7
HitsWashington Capitals 23.1Florida Panthers 30.1
Blocked shotsWashington Capitals 13.0Florida Panthers 15.2
Per game · WSH at home, FLA away
Goal differential per gameWashington Capitals +0.1Florida Panthers −0.1
Goals forWashington Capitals 3.7Florida Panthers 2.7
Goals againstWashington Capitals 3.6Florida Panthers 2.8
Shots on goalWashington Capitals 28.7Florida Panthers 25.8
Shots againstWashington Capitals 26.1Florida Panthers 24.3
Shooting %Washington Capitals 12.9%Florida Panthers 10.5%
Save %Washington Capitals 87.0%Florida Panthers 88.9%
Power-play %Washington Capitals 21.2%Florida Panthers 19.0%
Penalty kill %Washington Capitals 77.1%Florida Panthers 87.9%
Faceoff %Washington Capitals 49.2%Florida Panthers 49.5%
Penalty minutesWashington Capitals 7.8Florida Panthers 13.4
HitsWashington Capitals 23.6Florida Panthers 34.5
Blocked shotsWashington Capitals 13.6Florida Panthers 16.0
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Capitals 2–3
Panthers
Goals a gameGoals
8.4
WSH 4.0 · FLA 4.4
Over 6.0 goalsOver 6.0
5 of 5
This game’s line
Past 60 minutesOvertime
0 of 5
All decided in regulation
- Jan 17, 2026: Washington Capitals 2, Florida Panthers 5.
- Dec 29, 2025: Florida Panthers 5, Washington Capitals 3.
- Nov 13, 2025: Florida Panthers 6, Washington Capitals 3.
- Mar 22, 2025: Washington Capitals 6, Florida Panthers 3.
- Feb 4, 2025: Washington Capitals 6, Florida Panthers 3.
Last five games
Capitals
3-2-0 - Loss, 5–6 against Dallas Stars, Nov 3. Odds: Capitals 2.30, Stars 2.55.
- Loss, 1–5 against Minnesota Wild, Nov 1. Odds: Capitals 2.45, Wild 2.35.
- Win, 4–3 at Nashville Predators, Oct 29. Odds: Predators 2.42, Capitals 2.43.
- Win, 5–2 against Philadelphia Flyers, Oct 28. Odds: Capitals 1.62, Flyers 4.25.
- Win, 4–3 against Buffalo Sabres, after overtime, Oct 24. Odds: Capitals 2.20, Sabres 2.60.
Panthers
4-1-0 - Win, 5–3 against Chicago Blackhawks, Nov 4. Odds: Panthers 1.58, Blackhawks 4.50.
- Loss, 3–5 against Detroit Red Wings, Nov 2. Odds: Panthers 1.76, Red Wings 3.75.
- Win, 5–2 against Winnipeg Jets, Oct 30. Odds: Panthers 1.65, Jets 4.10.
- Win, 5–1 at Winnipeg Jets, Oct 27. Odds: Jets 2.70, Panthers 2.15.
- Win, 3–2 at Chicago Blackhawks, Oct 25. Odds: Blackhawks 3.70, Panthers 1.72.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-2
- 02:21 Goal Washington Capitals: St.Ivany J. 1-0
- 03:13 Goal Florida Panthers: Tkachuk B. assists: Tkachuk M. 1-1
- 05:04 2 min Florida Panthers: Reinhart S. Hooking
- 08:55 5 min Washington Capitals: Wilson T. Boarding
- 10:00 Goal PPG Florida Panthers: Tkachuk B. assists: Tkachuk M., Jones S. 1-2
- 17:29 2 min Florida Panthers: Verhaeghe C. Holding the stick
2nd period2-0
- 04:39 Goal Washington Capitals: Tuch A. 2-2
- 06:48 2 min Washington Capitals: Roy M. High sticking
- 14:55 Goal Washington Capitals: Protas A. assists: Dubois P., Leonard R. 3-2
- 15:45 2 min Washington Capitals: Fehervary M. Roughing
- 15:45 2 min Florida Panthers: Tkachuk M. Roughing
3rd period1-1
- 04:42 Goal Washington Capitals: Dubois P. assists: Protas A. 4-2
- 09:10 2 min Washington Capitals: Hutson C. Holding the stick
- 14:35 2 min Washington Capitals: Hutson C. Cross checking
- 15:59 2 min Florida Panthers: Balinskis U. Holding
- 19:13 Goal Florida Panthers: Bennett S. assists: Tkachuk M., Reinhart S. 4-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Goal differential gap of 1.4 per game — Washington Capitals −0.4, Florida Panthers +1.0 over their recent games.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Florida Panthers.
- −1.5 goals away — Florida Panthers averaged 4.2 at home and 2.7 away this season.
- 4-1-0 in the last five for Florida Panthers.
- 8.4 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (WSH) | 2.25 | 2.20 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.10 | 4.10 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (FLA) | 2.60 | 2.65 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 6 | 6 | No change |
| Handicap WSH | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NHL standings
Regular Season · Eastern Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Carolina Hurricanes |
19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 30 | .789 | 78 | 45 | +33 |
| 2 |  Boston Bruins |
18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 27 | .750 | 68 | 41 | +27 |
| 3 |  Montreal Canadiens |
18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 26 | .722 | 62 | 55 | +7 |
| 4 |  New Jersey Devils |
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 26 | .684 | 68 | 55 | +13 |
| 5 |  Tampa Bay Lightning |
17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 24 | .706 | 63 | 53 | +10 |
| 6 |  Ottawa Senators |
19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 24 | .632 | 60 | 57 | +3 |
| 7 | Florida Panthers |
19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 22 | .579 | 60 | 56 | +4 |
| 8 |  New York Rangers |
19 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 21 | .553 | 56 | 55 | +1 |
| 9 | Washington Capitals |
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 20 | .625 | 56 | 53 | +3 |
| 10 |  Buffalo Sabres |
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 19 | .559 | 50 | 57 | −7 |
| 11 |  New York Islanders |
17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 18 | .529 | 49 | 52 | −3 |
| 12 |  Toronto Maple Leafs |
20 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 18 | .450 | 67 | 70 | −3 |
| 13 |  Detroit Red Wings |
19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 17 | .447 | 51 | 59 | −8 |
| 14 |  Philadelphia Flyers |
20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 15 | .375 | 45 | 66 | −21 |
| 15 |  Columbus Blue Jackets |
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 14 | .438 | 41 | 51 | −10 |
| 16 |  Pittsburgh Penguins |
18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 14 | .389 | 58 | 65 | −7 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Washington Capitals host Florida Panthers in the NHL on Saturday, November 7, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.