Washington Capitals vs Minnesota Wild prediction
Washington Capitals 1–, Minnesota Wild 5
FT
Puck drop 15:30 ET
1X2 odds up 2.451X2 odds down 2.35
Capital One Arena (Washington, DC) · USACapital One Arena (Washington, DC)
Team
1st
2nd
3rd
WSH
0
1
0
MIN
2
0
3
49%Washington win · 38% in regulationWSH
Overtime or shootout · 23%OT / SO 23%
51%Minnesota win · 39% in regulationMIN
Chance to win · 38% and 39% in regulation
Thompson L.StartedSV 90.7% · GAA 2.60 · 6-3-1
Wallstedt J.StartedSV 91.1% · GAA 2.30 · 6-2-2
Best tip of the gameBest tip
Handicap
Won
Wild +1.5
odds up 1.34
Confidence68%
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 61%Full game
- 1X2WonWild2.45Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds up 1.35Confidence 70%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonWild +1.5odds up 1.34Confidence 68%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonWildodds down 1.90Confidence 51%
- Double chanceWonWild or draw1.50Confidence 66%
- Draw no betWonWildodds up 1.92Confidence 51%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.06Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonWild2.80Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds down 1.76Confidence 55%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Capitals 1–4
Wild
Total goalsTotal
5
Actual 6
Draw after 60 minDraw
23%
Decided in regulation
Minnesota to winTo win
51%
MIN won
Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–4After 60 min1–54%chance
- 1st period correct scoreWon0–21st period0–27%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 3 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-4
- By period 0-2, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 1-4 (4%), 2-5 (4%), 2-4 (3%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent form
Season
Washington Capitals
Minnesota Wild
Washington Capitals
Minnesota Wild
Season recordWashington Capitals 8-4-0Minnesota Wild 9-3-3
Home / road splitWashington Capitals 6-2-0Minnesota Wild 5-3-2
StreakWashington Capitals W3Minnesota Wild L1
RestWashington Capitals 2 daysMinnesota Wild 2 days
Goals forWashington Capitals 3.6Minnesota Wild 3.1
Goals againstWashington Capitals 3.1Minnesota Wild 2.3
In the standingsWashington Capitals 4thMinnesota Wild 1st
Per game · last 10 each
Goal differential per gameWashington Capitals +0.5Minnesota Wild +0.6
Goals forWashington Capitals 3.7Minnesota Wild 3.2
Goals againstWashington Capitals 3.2Minnesota Wild 2.6
Shots on goalWashington Capitals 28.6Minnesota Wild 31.3
Shots againstWashington Capitals 27.3Minnesota Wild 23.4
Shooting %Washington Capitals 12.9%Minnesota Wild 10.2%
Save %Washington Capitals 89.0%Minnesota Wild 88.9%
Power-play %Washington Capitals 14.3%Minnesota Wild 17.1%
Penalty kill %Washington Capitals 81.1%Minnesota Wild 77.8%
Faceoff %Washington Capitals 49.2%Minnesota Wild 47.8%
Penalty minutesWashington Capitals 7.4Minnesota Wild 8.4
HitsWashington Capitals 22.7Minnesota Wild 23.6
Blocked shotsWashington Capitals 11.9Minnesota Wild 14.3
Per game · WSH at home, MIN away
Goal differential per gameWashington Capitals +1.3Minnesota Wild +0.6
Goals forWashington Capitals 4.0Minnesota Wild 2.9
Goals againstWashington Capitals 2.7Minnesota Wild 2.3
Shots on goalWashington Capitals 29.0Minnesota Wild 30.3
Shots againstWashington Capitals 27.4Minnesota Wild 26.0
Shooting %Washington Capitals 13.8%Minnesota Wild 9.6%
Save %Washington Capitals 90.5%Minnesota Wild 91.2%
Power-play %Washington Capitals 15.2%Minnesota Wild 18.2%
Penalty kill %Washington Capitals 85.7%Minnesota Wild 83.3%
Faceoff %Washington Capitals 49.5%Minnesota Wild 50.3%
Penalty minutesWashington Capitals 7.8Minnesota Wild 10.4
HitsWashington Capitals 22.0Minnesota Wild 24.2
Blocked shotsWashington Capitals 11.9Minnesota Wild 13.6
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Capitals 1–3
Wild
Goals a gameGoals
6.0
WSH 2.5 · MIN 3.5
Over 6.0 goalsOver 6.0
1 of 4
This game’s line
Past 60 minutesOvertime
1 of 4
1 in a shootout
- Dec 16, 2025: Minnesota Wild 5, Washington Capitals 0.
- Oct 17, 2025: Washington Capitals 5, Minnesota Wild 1.
- Mar 27, 2025: Minnesota Wild 4, Washington Capitals 2.
- Jan 2, 2025: Washington Capitals 3, Minnesota Wild 4, after a shootout.
Last five games
Capitals
4-1-0 - Win, 4–3 at Nashville Predators, Oct 29. Odds: Predators 2.42, Capitals 2.43.
- Win, 5–2 against Philadelphia Flyers, Oct 28. Odds: Capitals 1.62, Flyers 4.25.
- Win, 4–3 against Buffalo Sabres, after overtime, Oct 24. Odds: Capitals 2.20, Sabres 2.60.
- Loss, 2–5 against Los Angeles Kings, Oct 20. Odds: Capitals 1.98, Kings 3.15.
- Win, 4–2 against New Jersey Devils, Oct 17. Odds: Capitals 2.35, Devils 2.42.
Wild
3-1-1 - Overtime loss, 3–4 against New York Islanders, after overtime, Oct 29. Odds: Wild 1.89, Islanders 3.40.
- Win, 3–1 at Utah Mammoth, Oct 27. Odds: Mammoth 2.25, Wild 2.55.
- Win, 4–2 at Vancouver Canucks, Oct 25. Odds: Canucks 3.65, Wild 1.72.
- Win, 5–1 at Seattle Kraken, Oct 24. Odds: Kraken 3.45, Wild 1.83.
- Loss, 1–2 at Calgary Flames, Oct 22. Odds: Flames 4.00, Wild 1.67.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-2
- 03:42 Goal Minnesota Wild: Hughes Q. assists: Brodin J., Sturm N. 0-1
- 05:27 Goal Minnesota Wild: McCarron M. assists: Coleman B., Brink B. 0-2
2nd period1-0
- 19:54 Goal Washington Capitals: Sourdif J. assists: Hutson C., Beauvillier A. 1-2
3rd period0-3
- 02:18 2 min Washington Capitals: St.Ivany J. High sticking
- 10:43 2 min Minnesota Wild: Brink B. Interference
- 11:40 2 min Washington Capitals: Kyrou J. High sticking
- 16:10 2 min Washington Capitals: Wilson T. High sticking
- 17:37 Goal PPG Minnesota Wild: Shabanov M. assists: Eriksson Ek J. 1-3
- 19:02 Goal ENG Minnesota Wild: Kaprizov K. assists: Boldy M., Eriksson Ek J. 1-4
- 19:02 2 min Washington Capitals: Wilson T. Cross checking
- 19:02 Penalty Washington Capitals: Wilson T.
- 19:19 2 min Washington Capitals: Liljegren T. Delay of game
- 19:35 Goal PPG Minnesota Wild: Yurov D. assists: Spacek D., Brink B. 1-5
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Washington Capitals coming into this game.
- In goal: Thompson L. for Washington Capitals (6-3-1 in the last 10 starts), Wallstedt J. for Minnesota Wild (6-2-2 in the last 10 starts).
- 6-2-0 at home for Washington Capitals this season.
- 3-1 in the last 4 meetings for Minnesota Wild.
- 6.0 goals per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the total is 6.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (WSH) | 2.35 | 2.45 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.10 | 4.10 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (MIN) | 2.45 | 2.35 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 6 | Line raised |
| Handicap WSH | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NHL standings
Regular Season · Metropolitan Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Carolina Hurricanes |
19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 30 | .789 | 78 | 45 | +33 |
| 2 |  New Jersey Devils |
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 26 | .684 | 68 | 55 | +13 |
| 3 |  New York Rangers |
19 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 21 | .553 | 56 | 55 | +1 |
| 4 | Washington Capitals |
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 20 | .625 | 56 | 53 | +3 |
| 5 |  New York Islanders |
17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 18 | .529 | 49 | 52 | −3 |
| 6 |  Philadelphia Flyers |
20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 15 | .375 | 45 | 66 | −21 |
| 7 |  Columbus Blue Jackets |
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 14 | .438 | 41 | 51 | −10 |
| 8 |  Pittsburgh Penguins |
18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 14 | .389 | 58 | 65 | −7 |
Regular Season · Central Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minnesota Wild |
20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 30 | .750 | 65 | 44 | +21 |
| 2 |  Colorado Avalanche |
19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 24 | .632 | 78 | 59 | +19 |
| 3 |  Nashville Predators |
18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 23 | .639 | 55 | 51 | +4 |
| 4 |  Dallas Stars |
17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 22 | .647 | 49 | 41 | +8 |
| 5 |  Utah Mammoth |
18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 21 | .583 | 63 | 63 | 0 |
| 6 |  Winnipeg Jets |
19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 19 | .500 | 53 | 65 | −12 |
| 7 |  St. Louis Blues |
18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 18 | .500 | 53 | 55 | −2 |
| 8 |  Chicago Blackhawks |
18 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 9 | .250 | 39 | 76 | −37 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Washington Capitals host Minnesota Wild in the NHL on Sunday, November 1, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.