Washington Capitals vs New Jersey Devils prediction
Washington Capitals 4–, New Jersey Devils 2
FT
Puck drop 13:00 ET
1X2 2.351X2 2.42
Capital One Arena (Washington, DC) · USACapital One Arena (Washington, DC)
Team
1st
2nd
3rd
WSH
1
3
0
NJD
1
0
1
60%Washington win · 48% in regulationWSH
Overtime or shootout · 22%OT / SO 22%
40%New Jersey win · 30% in regulationNJD
Chance to win · 48% and 30% in regulation
Thompson L.StartedSV 91.8% · GAA 2.10 · 7-2-1
Allen J.StartedSV 89.2% · GAA 2.90 · 7-2-1
Best tip of the gameBest tip
Double chance
Won
Capitals or draw
odds up 1.46
Confidence71%
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Full game
- 1X2WonCapitalsodds up 2.25Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO4.51.35Confidence 69%
- HandicapLostDevils +1.5odds down 1.40Confidence 64%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonCapitalsodds up 1.75Confidence 62%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonCapitals or drawodds up 1.46Confidence 71%
- Draw no betWonCapitalsodds up 1.75Confidence 64%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.07Confidence 88%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostCapitalsodds up 2.65Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.51.76Confidence 55%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Capitals 3–2
Devils
Total goalsTotal
5
Actual 6
Draw after 60 minDraw
22%
Decided in regulation
Washington to winTo win
60%
WSH won
Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min4–23%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–18%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 3 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 3-2 (3%), 4-3 (2%), 5-4 (1%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent form
Season
Washington Capitals
New Jersey Devils
Washington Capitals
New Jersey Devils
Season recordWashington Capitals 4-3-0New Jersey Devils 4-3-0
Home / road splitWashington Capitals 3-1-0New Jersey Devils 1-1-0
StreakWashington Capitals W1New Jersey Devils W2
RestWashington Capitals 2 daysNew Jersey Devils 1 day
Goals forWashington Capitals 3.4New Jersey Devils 3.3
Goals againstWashington Capitals 3.1New Jersey Devils 3.3
In the standingsWashington Capitals 4thNew Jersey Devils 2nd
Per game · last 10 each
Goal differential per gameWashington Capitals +0.9New Jersey Devils −0.1
Goals forWashington Capitals 3.5New Jersey Devils 3.2
Goals againstWashington Capitals 2.6New Jersey Devils 3.3
Shots on goalWashington Capitals 26.4New Jersey Devils 33.3
Shots againstWashington Capitals 26.7New Jersey Devils 25.8
Shooting %Washington Capitals 13.3%New Jersey Devils 9.6%
Save %Washington Capitals 91.0%New Jersey Devils 87.6%
Power-play %Washington Capitals 14.3%New Jersey Devils 18.2%
Penalty kill %Washington Capitals 89.5%New Jersey Devils 73.1%
Faceoff %Washington Capitals 52.3%New Jersey Devils 46.8%
Penalty minutesWashington Capitals 8.7New Jersey Devils 6.5
HitsWashington Capitals 19.8New Jersey Devils 13.7
Blocked shotsWashington Capitals 13.5New Jersey Devils 19.4
Per game · WSH at home, NJD away
Goal differential per gameWashington Capitals +1.5New Jersey Devils −0.7
Goals forWashington Capitals 3.9New Jersey Devils 2.7
Goals againstWashington Capitals 2.4New Jersey Devils 3.4
Shots on goalWashington Capitals 26.2New Jersey Devils 27.6
Shots againstWashington Capitals 28.5New Jersey Devils 25.8
Shooting %Washington Capitals 14.9%New Jersey Devils 9.8%
Save %Washington Capitals 91.6%New Jersey Devils 87.6%
Power-play %Washington Capitals 18.8%New Jersey Devils 10.3%
Penalty kill %Washington Capitals 94.1%New Jersey Devils 84.6%
Faceoff %Washington Capitals 48.3%New Jersey Devils 49.7%
Penalty minutesWashington Capitals 7.6New Jersey Devils 8.2
HitsWashington Capitals 20.7New Jersey Devils 16.7
Blocked shotsWashington Capitals 11.3New Jersey Devils 14.1
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Capitals 3–2
Devils
Goals a gameGoals
6.0
WSH 2.8 · NJD 3.2
Over 6.0 goalsOver 6.0
2 of 5
This game’s line
Past 60 minutesOvertime
3 of 5
1 in overtime · 2 in a shootout
- Apr 2, 2026: New Jersey Devils 7, Washington Capitals 3.
- Mar 20, 2026: Washington Capitals 2, New Jersey Devils 1.
- Dec 27, 2025: New Jersey Devils 3, Washington Capitals 4, after overtime.
- Nov 15, 2025: Washington Capitals 2, New Jersey Devils 3, after a shootout.
- Sep 28, 2025: New Jersey Devils 2, Washington Capitals 3, after a shootout.
Last five games
Capitals
3-2-0 - Win, 5–4 against Montreal Canadiens, Oct 14. Odds: Capitals 2.34, Canadiens 2.65.
- Loss, 2–4 at Carolina Hurricanes, Oct 13. Odds: Hurricanes 2.06, Capitals 3.12.
- Loss, 3–5 against Seattle Kraken, Oct 11. Odds: Capitals 1.81, Kraken 3.76.
- Win, 3–1 against New York Rangers, Oct 9. Odds: Capitals 2.12, Rangers 2.90.
- Win, 5–3 against Pittsburgh Penguins, Oct 7.
Devils
3-2-0 - Win, 7–1 against New York Rangers, Oct 15. Odds: Devils 2.18, Rangers 2.67.
- Win, 5–4 at Detroit Red Wings, after overtime, Oct 13. Odds: Red Wings 2.48, Devils 2.51.
- Loss, 1–4 against Ottawa Senators, Oct 12. Odds: Devils 2.37, Senators 2.64.
- Win, 4–1 against Vancouver Canucks, Oct 10. Odds: Devils 1.86, Canucks 3.30.
- Loss, 3–5 against Utah Mammoth, Oct 6.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-1
- 03:29 2 min Washington Capitals: Tuch A. Cross checking
- 08:03 2 min Washington Capitals: Jenner B. Illegal check to the head
- 10:04 Goal New Jersey Devils: Gritsyuk A. assists: Mercer D., Noesen S. 0-1
- 15:10 2 min New Jersey Devils: Pesce B. Interference
- 16:42 Goal PPG Washington Capitals: Leonard R. assists: Chychrun J., Thompson L. 1-1
2nd period3-0
- 01:16 Goal Washington Capitals: Protas I. assists: Ovechkin A., Desharnais V. 2-1
- 04:36 Goal Washington Capitals: Strome D. assists: Tuch A., Kyrou J. 3-1
- 09:03 2 min New Jersey Devils: Hughes L. Hooking
- 11:14 Goal Washington Capitals: Jenner B. assists: Desharnais V., Fehervary M. 4-1
3rd period0-1
- 11:38 2 min Washington Capitals: Liljegren T. Tripping
- 18:26 2 min Washington Capitals: Liljegren T. Holding
- 19:41 Goal PPG New Jersey Devils: Meier T. assists: Gritsyuk A., Boqvist J. 4-2
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- In goal: Thompson L. for Washington Capitals (7-2-1 in the last 10 starts), Allen J. for New Jersey Devils (7-2-1 in the last 10 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 1.0 per game — Washington Capitals +0.9, New Jersey Devils −0.1 over their recent games.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Washington Capitals.
- Save % gap: Washington Capitals 91.0%, New Jersey Devils 87.6% over their recent games.
- 6.0 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (WSH) | 2.35 | 2.35 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.95 | 3.95 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (NJD) | 2.42 | 2.42 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 6 | Line raised |
| Handicap WSH | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NHL standings
Regular Season · Metropolitan Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Carolina Hurricanes |
19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 30 | .789 | 78 | 45 | +33 |
| 2 | New Jersey Devils |
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 26 | .684 | 68 | 55 | +13 |
| 3 |  New York Rangers |
19 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 21 | .553 | 56 | 55 | +1 |
| 4 | Washington Capitals |
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 20 | .625 | 56 | 53 | +3 |
| 5 |  New York Islanders |
17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 18 | .529 | 49 | 52 | −3 |
| 6 |  Philadelphia Flyers |
20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 15 | .375 | 45 | 66 | −21 |
| 7 |  Columbus Blue Jackets |
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 14 | .438 | 41 | 51 | −10 |
| 8 |  Pittsburgh Penguins |
18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 14 | .389 | 58 | 65 | −7 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Washington Capitals host New Jersey Devils in the NHL on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.