Washington Capitals vs Philadelphia Flyers prediction
Washington Capitals 5–, Philadelphia Flyers 2
FT
Puck drop 19:30 ET
1X2 1.621X2 4.25
Capital One Arena (Washington, DC) · USACapital One Arena (Washington, DC)
Team
1st
2nd
3rd
WSH
1
2
2
PHI
0
1
1
64%Washington win · 52% in regulationWSH
Overtime or shootout · 22%OT / SO 22%
36%Philadelphia win · 26% in regulationPHI
Chance to win · 52% and 26% in regulation
Thompson L.StartedSV 91.4% · GAA 2.40 · 6-3-1
Woll J.StartedSV 89.6% · GAA 3.20 · 2-5-3
Best tip of the gameBest tip
Handicap
Lost
Flyers +2.5
odds up 1.36
Confidence67%
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Full game
- 1X2WonCapitals1.67Confidence 53%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds up 1.33Confidence 70%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapLostFlyers +2.5odds up 1.36Confidence 67%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonCapitals1.38Confidence 66%
- Double chanceWonCapitals or drawodds up 1.21Confidence 75%
- Draw no betWonCapitals1.33Confidence 69%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.08Confidence 87%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonCapitalsodds down 2.17Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.51.75Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Capitals 4–2
Flyers
Total goalsTotal
6
Actual 7
Draw after 60 minDraw
22%
Decided in regulation
Washington to winTo win
64%
WSH won
Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–2After 60 min5–24%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–09%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 2nd & 3rd30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-2
- By period 2-0, 0-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-2 (4%), 3-2 (3%), 5-3 (2%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent form
Season
Washington Capitals
Philadelphia Flyers
Washington Capitals
Philadelphia Flyers
Season recordWashington Capitals 6-4-0Philadelphia Flyers 3-7-4
Home / road splitWashington Capitals 5-2-0Philadelphia Flyers 1-4-1
StreakWashington Capitals W1Philadelphia Flyers L2
RestWashington Capitals 3 daysPhiladelphia Flyers Back-to-back
Goals forWashington Capitals 3.4Philadelphia Flyers 1.9
Goals againstWashington Capitals 3.2Philadelphia Flyers 3.3
In the standingsWashington Capitals 4thPhiladelphia Flyers 6th
Per game · last 10 each
Goal differential per gameWashington Capitals +0.2Philadelphia Flyers −0.6
Goals forWashington Capitals 3.4Philadelphia Flyers 2.2
Goals againstWashington Capitals 3.2Philadelphia Flyers 2.8
Shots on goalWashington Capitals 27.5Philadelphia Flyers 24.8
Shots againstWashington Capitals 28.2Philadelphia Flyers 26.4
Shooting %Washington Capitals 12.4%Philadelphia Flyers 8.9%
Save %Washington Capitals 89.7%Philadelphia Flyers 89.4%
Power-play %Washington Capitals 12.8%Philadelphia Flyers 16.3%
Penalty kill %Washington Capitals 86.4%Philadelphia Flyers 89.7%
Faceoff %Washington Capitals 49.9%Philadelphia Flyers 48.2%
Penalty minutesWashington Capitals 9.9Philadelphia Flyers 9.2
HitsWashington Capitals 21.5Philadelphia Flyers 22.2
Blocked shotsWashington Capitals 12.4Philadelphia Flyers 15.5
Per game · WSH at home, PHI away
Goal differential per gameWashington Capitals +1.2Philadelphia Flyers −1.0
Goals forWashington Capitals 4.1Philadelphia Flyers 1.6
Goals againstWashington Capitals 2.9Philadelphia Flyers 2.6
Shots on goalWashington Capitals 27.8Philadelphia Flyers 22.7
Shots againstWashington Capitals 27.3Philadelphia Flyers 30.4
Shooting %Washington Capitals 14.7%Philadelphia Flyers 7.0%
Save %Washington Capitals 89.7%Philadelphia Flyers 91.8%
Power-play %Washington Capitals 17.6%Philadelphia Flyers 7.3%
Penalty kill %Washington Capitals 88.9%Philadelphia Flyers 94.4%
Faceoff %Washington Capitals 49.7%Philadelphia Flyers 49.8%
Penalty minutesWashington Capitals 8.0Philadelphia Flyers 14.4
HitsWashington Capitals 21.3Philadelphia Flyers 31.6
Blocked shotsWashington Capitals 11.6Philadelphia Flyers 13.6
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Capitals 4–1
Flyers
Goals a gameGoals
6.4
WSH 4.0 · PHI 2.4
Over 5.5 goalsOver 5.5
3 of 5
This game’s line
Past 60 minutesOvertime
0 of 5
All decided in regulation
- Sep 26, 2026: Philadelphia Flyers 1, Washington Capitals 5.
- Sep 21, 2026: Washington Capitals 5, Philadelphia Flyers 2.
- Mar 31, 2026: Washington Capitals 6, Philadelphia Flyers 4.
- Mar 11, 2026: Philadelphia Flyers 4, Washington Capitals 1.
- Feb 25, 2026: Washington Capitals 3, Philadelphia Flyers 1.
Last five games
Capitals
3-2-0 - Win, 4–3 against Buffalo Sabres, after overtime, Oct 24. Odds: Capitals 2.20, Sabres 2.60.
- Loss, 2–5 against Los Angeles Kings, Oct 20. Odds: Capitals 1.98, Kings 3.15.
- Win, 4–2 against New Jersey Devils, Oct 17. Odds: Capitals 2.35, Devils 2.42.
- Win, 5–4 against Montreal Canadiens, Oct 14. Odds: Capitals 2.34, Canadiens 2.65.
- Loss, 2–4 at Carolina Hurricanes, Oct 13. Odds: Hurricanes 2.06, Capitals 3.12.
Flyers
3-1-1 - Overtime loss, 3–4 against Columbus Blue Jackets, after overtime, Oct 27. Odds: Flyers 2.60, Blue Jackets 2.25.
- Loss, 4–5 against Anaheim Ducks, Oct 24. Odds: Flyers 2.33, Ducks 2.59.
- Win, 3–1 at Buffalo Sabres, Oct 21. Odds: Sabres 1.75, Flyers 3.65.
- Win, 3–2 against Colorado Avalanche, Oct 19. Odds: Flyers 4.25, Avalanche 1.62.
- Win, 3–1 against Ottawa Senators, Oct 17. Odds: Flyers 3.08, Senators 2.03.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 01:50 Goal Washington Capitals: Tuch A. assists: Strome D., St.Ivany J. 1-0
2nd period2-1
- 02:13 2 min Washington Capitals: Hutson C. Holding
- 04:36 Goal Philadelphia Flyers: Couturier S. assists: Seeler N. 1-1
- 07:03 2 min Philadelphia Flyers: Zegras T. Slashing
- 07:14 Goal PPG Washington Capitals: Kyrou J. assists: Strome D., Chychrun J. 2-1
- 07:56 2 min Philadelphia Flyers: Martone P. Tripping
- 12:45 2 min Washington Capitals: Beauvillier A. Roughing
- 12:45 2 min Philadelphia Flyers: Gaucher J. Roughing
- 16:47 Goal Washington Capitals: Protas A. assists: Roy M., Dubois P. 3-1
3rd period2-1
- 09:36 2 min Washington Capitals: Roy M. Roughing
- 09:44 Goal PPG Philadelphia Flyers: Michkov M. assists: Barkey D., Zegras T. 3-2
- 09:44 2 min Washington Capitals: Roy M. Unsportsmanlike conduct
- 12:51 Goal Washington Capitals: Kyrou J. assists: Strome D., St.Ivany J. 4-2
- 15:07 2 min Washington Capitals: Dubois P. Roughing
- 17:36 Goal ENG Washington Capitals: Tuch A. assists: Dubois P. 5-2
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for Philadelphia Flyers, who played yesterday.
- 1-4-1 away for Philadelphia Flyers this season.
- In goal: Thompson L. for Washington Capitals (6-3-1 in the last 10 starts), Woll J. for Philadelphia Flyers (2-5-3 in the last 10 starts).
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Washington Capitals.
- 6.4 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (WSH) | 1.62 | 1.62 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.50 | 4.50 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (PHI) | 4.25 | 4.25 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap WSH | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NHL standings
Regular Season · Metropolitan Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Carolina Hurricanes |
19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 30 | .789 | 78 | 45 | +33 |
| 2 |  New Jersey Devils |
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 26 | .684 | 68 | 55 | +13 |
| 3 |  New York Rangers |
19 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 21 | .553 | 56 | 55 | +1 |
| 4 | Washington Capitals |
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 20 | .625 | 56 | 53 | +3 |
| 5 |  New York Islanders |
17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 18 | .529 | 49 | 52 | −3 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Flyers |
20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 15 | .375 | 45 | 66 | −21 |
| 7 |  Columbus Blue Jackets |
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 14 | .438 | 41 | 51 | −10 |
| 8 |  Pittsburgh Penguins |
18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 14 | .389 | 58 | 65 | −7 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Washington Capitals host Philadelphia Flyers in the NHL on Wednesday, October 28, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.