Windsor Spitfires vs Saginaw Spirit prediction
Chance to win · 52% and 28% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Full game
- 1X2LostWindsorodds up 2.17Confidence 53%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderLostO5.51.36Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonSaginaw +1.5odds up 1.40Confidence 63%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostWindsorodds up 1.74Confidence 64%
- Double chanceWonWindsor or drawodds up 1.42Confidence 72%
- Draw no betPushWindsorodds up 1.72Confidence 67%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.03Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostWindsorodds up 2.48Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.51.56Confidence 59%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Windsor 4–3
Saginaw Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–3After 60 min2–22%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period0–18%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals3rd · 2 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-3
- By period 2-0, 1-2, 1-1
- Likeliest 4-3 (2%), 5-4 (1%), 6-5 (1%)
Season so far
This seasonWindsor Spitfires
Saginaw Spirit
Head-to-head
Windsor 4–1
Saginaw - Sep 26, 2026: Saginaw Spirit 3, Windsor Spitfires 6.
- Feb 16, 2026: Windsor Spitfires 7, Saginaw Spirit 1.
- Feb 14, 2026: Saginaw Spirit 2, Windsor Spitfires 4.
- Jan 10, 2026: Saginaw Spirit 3, Windsor Spitfires 2, after overtime.
- Dec 31, 2025: Windsor Spitfires 6, Saginaw Spirit 0.
Last five games
Windsor
3-2-0 - Loss, 1–5 against Oshawa Generals, Oct 10.
- Win, 4–1 at Owen Sound Attack, Oct 3.
- Loss, 2–4 at Guelph Storm, Oct 2.
- Win, 3–2 against North Bay Battalion, Oct 1.
- Win, 6–3 at Saginaw Spirit, Sep 26.
Saginaw
3-1-1 - Win, 4–2 against Kitchener Rangers, Oct 10.
- Win, 3–2 at Brampton Steelheads, after overtime, Oct 3.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Kitchener Rangers, after overtime, Oct 2.
- Loss, 3–6 against Windsor Spitfires, Sep 26.
- Win, 5–3 against Niagara IceDogs, Sep 25.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-1
- 06:00 Goal Saginaw Spirit: Zhilkin D. assists: Wassilyn B., Hanrahan R. 0-1
2nd period1-0
- 19:23 Goal Windsor Spitfires: Garden E. assists: Harvey C., Brown J. 1-1
3rd period1-1
- 05:43 Goal Windsor Spitfires: Makysh B. assists: Harvey C. 2-1
- 10:27 Goal Saginaw Spirit: Cloutier J. 2-2
Overtime0-0
No goals or penalties.
Shootout0-1
-
Round 1
Yakushevsky B.
✗missed
Zhilkin D.
✓scored
-
Round 2
Harvey C.
✗missed
Wassilyn B.
✗missed
-
Round 3
Svrcek M.
✗missed
Bate D.
✗missed
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Saginaw Spirit dropped from 1.97 to 1.78 since they were first published.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Windsor Spitfires.
- 6.8 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.5.
- 2nd vs 4th in the OHL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (WIN) | 2.25 | 2.41 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.27 | 4.28 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (SAG) | 2.51 | 2.34 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6.5 | No change |
| Handicap WIN | −1.5 | +1.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
OHL standings
Regular Season · West Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Soo Greyhounds |
21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 26 | .619 | 70 | 69 | +1 |
| 2 | Windsor Spitfires |
19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 25 | .658 | 72 | 58 | +14 |
| 3 |  Flint Firebirds |
17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 23 | .676 | 64 | 50 | +14 |
| 4 | Saginaw Spirit |
19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 19 | .500 | 70 | 68 | +2 |
| 5 |  Sarnia Sting |
20 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 17 | .425 | 76 | 84 | −8 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Windsor Spitfires host Saginaw Spirit in the OHL on Monday, October 12, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.