Windsor Spitfires vs Sudbury Wolves prediction
Chance to win · 36% and 42% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Full game
- 1X2WonSudburyodds up 1.80Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderLostU7.5odds down 1.37Confidence 71%
- HandicapLostWindsor +1.5odds down 1.60Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonSudburyodds up 1.48Confidence 54%
- Double chanceWonSudbury or drawodds up 1.27Confidence 66%
- Draw no betWonSudburyodds up 1.42Confidence 56%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.05Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonSudburyodds up 2.23Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds up 1.65Confidence 56%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min2–63%chance
- 1st period correct scoreWon0–21st period0–28%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals3rd · 4 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-2, 2-1, 0-0
- Likeliest 2-3 (3%), 3-4 (2%), 1-2 (2%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Feb 6, 2026: Sudbury Wolves 2, Windsor Spitfires 5.
- Sep 25, 2025: Windsor Spitfires 4, Sudbury Wolves 0.
- Jan 16, 2025: Windsor Spitfires 6, Sudbury Wolves 2.
- Nov 15, 2024: Sudbury Wolves 9, Windsor Spitfires 3.
Last five games
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against Saginaw Spirit, after a shootout, Oct 12. Odds: Windsor 2.41, Saginaw 2.34.
- Loss, 1–5 against Oshawa Generals, Oct 10.
- Win, 4–1 at Owen Sound Attack, Oct 3.
- Loss, 2–4 at Guelph Storm, Oct 2.
- Win, 3–2 against North Bay Battalion, Oct 1.
- Win, 7–3 against Peterborough Petes, Oct 9. Odds: Sudbury 1.90, Peterborough 3.00.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at North Bay Battalion, after overtime, Oct 8.
- Win, 7–1 against Niagara IceDogs, Oct 2.
- Win, 4–2 against Brampton Steelheads, Sep 27.
- Win, 5–2 against Barrie Colts, Sep 25.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-2
- 13:49 Goal Sudbury Wolves: Kwajah K. assists: Gonchar A., Lemieux J. 0-1
- 14:29 Goal Sudbury Wolves: Lemieux J. assists: Nemec A., Ula G. 0-2
2nd period0-2
- 11:48 Goal SHG Sudbury Wolves: Henderson R. assists: Kwajah K. 0-3
- 15:50 Goal PPG Sudbury Wolves: Lemieux J. assists: Nemec A., Gonchar A. 0-4
3rd period2-2
- 07:42 Goal Windsor Spitfires: McLaughlin J. assists: Debruyn J., Brocklehurst M. 1-4
- 16:11 Goal ENG Sudbury Wolves: Ladds L. 1-5
- 16:28 Goal Sudbury Wolves: Lemieux J. 1-6
- 19:30 Goal Windsor Spitfires: Havusic H. assists: Whelan L. 2-6
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Windsor Spitfires dropped from 2.42 to 2.15 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 5 days off for Sudbury Wolves, 2 for Windsor Spitfires.
- 1-3-1 at home for Windsor Spitfires this season.
- 3-1 in the last 4 meetings for Windsor Spitfires.
- 4-0-1 in the last five for Sudbury Wolves.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (WIN) | 2.76 | 2.76 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.16 | 4.16 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (SUD) | 2.11 | 2.11 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6 | Line lowered |
| Handicap WIN | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
OHL standings
Regular Season · West Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 26 | .619 | 70 | 69 | +1 | |
| 2 | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 25 | .658 | 72 | 58 | +14 | |
| 3 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 23 | .676 | 64 | 50 | +14 | |
| 4 | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 19 | .500 | 70 | 68 | +2 | |
| 5 | 20 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 17 | .425 | 76 | 84 | −8 |
Regular Season · Central Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 27 | .711 | 76 | 53 | +23 | |
| 2 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 17 | .500 | 50 | 64 | −14 | |
| 3 | 19 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 15 | .395 | 68 | 79 | −11 | |
| 4 | 19 | 4 | 13 | 2 | 10 | .263 | 52 | 83 | −31 | |
| 5 | 19 | 3 | 13 | 3 | 9 | .237 | 41 | 73 | −32 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Windsor Spitfires host Sudbury Wolves in the OHL on Thursday, October 15, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.