Winnipeg Jets vs Montreal Canadiens prediction
Chance to win · 39% and 38% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 61%Full game
- 1X2LostJetsodds down 2.57Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostO4.5odds up 1.33Confidence 70%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonJets +1.5odds up 1.36Confidence 69%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostJets1.95Confidence 51%
- Double chanceLostJets or drawodds up 1.52Confidence 66%
- Draw no betLostJetsodds up 1.93Confidence 51%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.07Confidence 88%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonDrawodds down 2.70Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.51.80Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min1–24%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost1–11st period0–013%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 2 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 1-1, 0-0, 3-0
- Likeliest 4-1 (4%), 5-2 (4%), 4-2 (3%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Nov 3, 2026: Montreal Canadiens 4, Winnipeg Jets 5, after overtime.
- Feb 4, 2026: Winnipeg Jets 1, Montreal Canadiens 5.
- Dec 3, 2025: Montreal Canadiens 3, Winnipeg Jets 2, after a shootout.
- Jan 28, 2025: Montreal Canadiens 1, Winnipeg Jets 4.
- Dec 14, 2024: Winnipeg Jets 4, Montreal Canadiens 2.
Last five games
- Overtime loss, 2–3 at Dallas Stars, after overtime, Oct 22. Odds: Stars 1.70, Jets 4.00.
- Loss, 1–2 at St. Louis Blues, Oct 20. Odds: Blues 2.15, Jets 2.75.
- Loss, 2–3 against Carolina Hurricanes, Oct 17. Odds: Jets 3.55, Hurricanes 1.78.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Chicago Blackhawks, after overtime, Oct 15. Odds: Blackhawks 2.70, Jets 2.18.
- Win, 5–2 against Minnesota Wild, Oct 13. Odds: Jets 2.55, Wild 2.46.
- Win, 4–1 at Chicago Blackhawks, Oct 23. Odds: Blackhawks 3.20, Canadiens 1.91.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 against San Jose Sharks, after overtime, Oct 20. Odds: Canadiens 1.70, Sharks 3.70.
- Win, 4–3 against Buffalo Sabres, after overtime, Oct 17. Odds: Canadiens 2.13, Sabres 2.82.
- Loss, 4–5 at Washington Capitals, Oct 14. Odds: Capitals 2.34, Canadiens 2.65.
- Win, 4–3 against Buffalo Sabres, after a shootout, Oct 13. Odds: Canadiens 2.06, Sabres 3.09.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
- 16:14 2 min Montreal Canadiens: Carrier A. Interference
2nd period0-2
- 07:19 Goal Montreal Canadiens: Hutson L. assists: Dobson N., Caufield C. 0-1
- 11:04 Goal Montreal Canadiens: Guhle K. assists: Caufield C., Slafkovsky J. 0-2
- 12:53 2 min Montreal Canadiens: Newhook A. High sticking
3rd period1-0
- 05:08 2 min Montreal Canadiens: Newhook A. Tripping
- 15:24 Goal Winnipeg Jets: Rosen I. assists: Vilardi G., Fleury H. 1-2
- 18:28 2 min Montreal Canadiens: Anderson J. Tripping
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 4-game losing streak for Winnipeg Jets coming into this game.
- In goal: Skinner S. for Winnipeg Jets (3-4-3 in the last 10 starts), Fowler J. for Montreal Canadiens (8-2-0 in the last 10 starts).
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Winnipeg Jets.
- Save % gap: Winnipeg Jets 90.7%, Montreal Canadiens 87.5% over their recent games.
- 6.2 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (WPG) | 2.55 | 2.55 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.00 | 4.00 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (MTL) | 2.30 | 2.30 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap WPG | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NHL standings
Regular Season · Central Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 30 | .750 | 65 | 44 | +21 | |
| 2 | 19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 24 | .632 | 78 | 59 | +19 | |
| 3 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 23 | .639 | 55 | 51 | +4 | |
| 4 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 22 | .647 | 49 | 41 | +8 | |
| 5 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 21 | .583 | 63 | 63 | 0 | |
| 6 | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 19 | .500 | 53 | 65 | −12 | |
| 7 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 18 | .500 | 53 | 55 | −2 | |
| 8 | 18 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 9 | .250 | 39 | 76 | −37 |
Regular Season · Atlantic Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 27 | .750 | 68 | 41 | +27 | |
| 2 | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 26 | .722 | 62 | 55 | +7 | |
| 3 | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 24 | .706 | 63 | 53 | +10 | |
| 4 | 19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 24 | .632 | 60 | 57 | +3 | |
| 5 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 22 | .579 | 60 | 56 | +4 | |
| 6 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 19 | .559 | 50 | 57 | −7 | |
| 7 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 18 | .450 | 67 | 70 | −3 | |
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 17 | .447 | 51 | 59 | −8 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Winnipeg Jets host Montreal Canadiens in the NHL on Sunday, October 25, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.