Worcester Railers vs Trois-Rivieres Lions prediction
Chance to win · 33% and 46% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 59%Full game
- 1X2WonTrois-Rivieresodds up 2.41Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonU7.51.93Confidence 69%
- HandicapLostWorcester +1.5Confidence 61%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonTrois-Rivieres1.97Confidence 52%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonTrois-Rivieres or drawodds down 1.63Confidence 59%
- Draw no betWonTrois-Rivieres1.99Confidence 53%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.01Confidence 81%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonTrois-Rivieres2.65Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.51.37Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: form from only 1 games; a fallback pick in an evenly matched game.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min2–54%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period0–17%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 4 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-2, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 1-2 (3%), 3-4 (2%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Mar 8, 2026: Trois-Rivieres Lions 4, Worcester Railers 3, after a shootout.
- Mar 7, 2026: Trois-Rivieres Lions 6, Worcester Railers 4.
- Feb 27, 2026: Trois-Rivieres Lions 1, Worcester Railers 2.
- Feb 15, 2026: Worcester Railers 1, Trois-Rivieres Lions 4.
- Feb 14, 2026: Worcester Railers 2, Trois-Rivieres Lions 3, after overtime.
Last five games
- Win, 4–2 against Maine Mariners, Oct 17.
- Win, 4–3 against Adirondack Thunder, after overtime, Apr 19.
- Win, 3–2 against Adirondack Thunder, after overtime, Apr 18.
- Win, 3–1 at Maine Mariners, Apr 15.
- Win, 8–1 at Greensboro Gargoyles, Apr 12.
- Win, 7–4 against Trenton Ironhawks, Oct 16. Odds: Trois-Rivieres 1.56, Trenton 3.42.
- Win, 6–0 against Maine Mariners, Apr 18.
- Loss, 5–7 at Adirondack Thunder, Apr 17.
- Win, 5–1 at Adirondack Thunder, Apr 12.
- Win, 6–3 at Adirondack Thunder, Apr 11.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-1
- 05:32 Goal PPG Trois-Rivieres Lions: Beauregard A. assists: Dion J., Dufort I. 0-1
2nd period1-1
- 03:55 Goal Trois-Rivieres Lions: Charron E. assists: Hutcheson N., Ergang K. 0-2
- 14:32 Goal PPG Worcester Railers: Donhauser C. assists: Hatten L., Kaplan J. 1-2
3rd period1-3
- 01:36 Goal PPG Trois-Rivieres Lions: Bizier M. assists: Dufort I., Beauregard A. 1-3
- 10:17 Goal SHG Trois-Rivieres Lions: Bizier M. 1-4
- 11:41 Goal Worcester Railers: Carson M. assists: Hatten L., Moore C. 2-4
- 19:29 Goal Trois-Rivieres Lions: Beauregard A. assists: Kalmikov B. 2-5
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for Worcester Railers, who played yesterday.
- 7-game winning streak for Worcester Railers coming into this game.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Trois-Rivieres Lions.
- 4-1-0 in the last five for Trois-Rivieres Lions.
- 6.0 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 7.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (WOR) | 2.05 | 2.05 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.75 | 4.75 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (TRL) | 2.45 | 2.45 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 7.5 | 7.5 | No change |
| Handicap WOR | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
ECHL standings
Regular Season · Eastern Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 18 | .818 | 38 | 26 | +12 | |
| 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 16 | .889 | 33 | 12 | +21 | |
| 3 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 16 | .889 | 46 | 28 | +18 | |
| 4 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 14 | .875 | 35 | 16 | +19 | |
| 5 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | .600 | 26 | 24 | +2 | |
| 6 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | .611 | 30 | 30 | 0 | |
| 7 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 11 | .458 | 30 | 42 | −12 | |
| 8 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 10 | .556 | 24 | 21 | +3 | |
| 9 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9 | .450 | 19 | 31 | −12 | |
| 10 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 8 | .571 | 20 | 16 | +4 | |
| 11 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 8 | .571 | 24 | 24 | 0 | |
| 12 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 7 | .350 | 24 | 38 | −14 | |
| 13 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 6 | .333 | 18 | 30 | −12 | |
| 14 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 5 | .250 | 18 | 35 | −17 | |
| 15 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 4 | .250 | 16 | 26 | −10 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Worcester Railers host Trois-Rivieres Lions in the ECHL on Sunday, October 18, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.