Worcester Railers vs Wheeling Nailers prediction
Chance to win · 39% and 38% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Full game
- 1X2LostWorcester2.37Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonU6.5Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonWheeling +1.5Confidence 69%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostWorcesterConfidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceLostWorcester or draw1.52Confidence 64%
- Draw no betLostWorcesterConfidence 51%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 85%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonDrawConfidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5Confidence 78%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; a fallback pick in an evenly matched game; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min1–34%chance
- 1st period correct scoreWon0–01st period0–021%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 4 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 0-0, 1-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 2-1 (3%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Nov 8, 2026: Worcester Railers 3, Wheeling Nailers 5.
- Mar 29, 2026: Wheeling Nailers 4, Worcester Railers 1.
- Mar 28, 2026: Wheeling Nailers 2, Worcester Railers 1.
- Mar 27, 2026: Wheeling Nailers 4, Worcester Railers 0.
- Feb 1, 2026: Worcester Railers 1, Wheeling Nailers 0.
Last five games
- Win, 3–2 against Adirondack Thunder, Nov 2. Odds: Worcester 2.46, Adirondack 2.20.
- Loss, 2–3 at Adirondack Thunder, Oct 30.
- Loss, 1–3 at Maine Mariners, Oct 25. Odds: Maine 1.69, Worcester 3.60.
- Loss, 0–3 at Maine Mariners, Oct 24. Odds: Maine 2.30, Worcester 2.36.
- Loss, 2–5 against Trois-Rivieres Lions, Oct 18. Odds: Worcester 2.05, Trois-Rivieres 2.45.
- Loss, 2–5 at Trenton Ironhawks, Nov 6. Odds: Trenton 2.16, Wheeling 2.16.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 against Cincinnati Cyclones, after overtime, Nov 1. Odds: Wheeling 2.13, Cincinnati 2.49.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 against Cincinnati Cyclones, after a shootout, Oct 31. Odds: Wheeling 2.05, Cincinnati 2.60.
- Win, 4–1 at Fort Wayne Komets, Oct 30.
- Loss, 2–5 against Toledo Walleye, Oct 24.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
No goals or penalties.
2nd period0-0
No goals or penalties.
3rd period1-3
- 01:16 Goal Wheeling Nailers: Smirnov D. assists: Thompson T. 0-1
- 02:22 Goal PPG Worcester Railers: Sterzer C. assists: Wheeler R., Susuyev N. 1-1
- 10:27 Goal PPG Wheeling Nailers: Geregach D. assists: Parker R., Drazner R. 1-2
- 13:03 Goal Wheeling Nailers: Taylor J. assists: Haight M., Geregach D. 1-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for Wheeling Nailers, who played yesterday.
- 3-game losing streak for Wheeling Nailers coming into this game.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Wheeling Nailers.
- 1-4-0 in the last five for Worcester Railers.
- 4.2 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (WOR) | 2.40 | 2.40 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.00 | 4.00 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (WHE) | 2.25 | 2.25 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
ECHL standings
Regular Season · Eastern Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 18 | .818 | 38 | 26 | +12 | |
| 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 16 | .889 | 33 | 12 | +21 | |
| 3 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 16 | .889 | 46 | 28 | +18 | |
| 4 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 14 | .875 | 35 | 16 | +19 | |
| 5 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | .600 | 26 | 24 | +2 | |
| 6 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | .611 | 30 | 30 | 0 | |
| 7 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 11 | .458 | 30 | 42 | −12 | |
| 8 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 10 | .556 | 24 | 21 | +3 | |
| 9 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9 | .450 | 19 | 31 | −12 | |
| 10 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 8 | .571 | 20 | 16 | +4 | |
| 11 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 8 | .571 | 24 | 24 | 0 | |
| 12 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 7 | .350 | 24 | 38 | −14 | |
| 13 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 6 | .333 | 18 | 30 | −12 | |
| 14 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 5 | .250 | 18 | 35 | −17 | |
| 15 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 4 | .250 | 16 | 26 | −10 |
Regular Season · Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 15 | .750 | 35 | 29 | +6 | |
| 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 12 | .750 | 28 | 19 | +9 | |
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 12 | .750 | 30 | 23 | +7 | |
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 12 | .667 | 30 | 25 | +5 | |
| 5 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 12 | .857 | 26 | 20 | +6 | |
| 6 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 11 | .458 | 35 | 41 | −6 | |
| 7 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 10 | .500 | 25 | 26 | −1 | |
| 8 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 10 | .714 | 26 | 17 | +9 | |
| 9 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 9 | .450 | 24 | 27 | −3 | |
| 10 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9 | .563 | 21 | 25 | −4 | |
| 11 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 9 | .500 | 27 | 33 | −6 | |
| 12 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | .500 | 23 | 28 | −5 | |
| 13 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 8 | .364 | 27 | 41 | −14 | |
| 14 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8 | .444 | 22 | 26 | −4 | |
| 15 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | .500 | 21 | 22 | −1 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Worcester Railers host Wheeling Nailers in the ECHL on Saturday, November 7, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.