Yekaterinburg vs Barys Astana prediction
Chance to win · 42% and 36% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Full game
- 1X2WonYekaterinburgodds up 1.75Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonU6.5odds down 1.32Confidence 72%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapLostBarys Astana +2.5odds down 1.25Confidence 76%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonYekaterinburgodds up 1.44Confidence 54%
- Double chanceWonYekaterinburg or draw1.26Confidence 67%
- Draw no betWonYekaterinburgodds up 1.39Confidence 56%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.12Confidence 85%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostDrawodds down 2.60Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.51.19Confidence 78%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–1After 60 min4–15%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period2–021%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 2nd27%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-1
- By period 0-0, 2-1, 1-0
- Likeliest 3-1 (5%), 3-2 (4%), 4-2 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Oct 14, 2026: Barys Astana 4, Yekaterinburg 1.
- Jan 12, 2026: Yekaterinburg 2, Barys Astana 1, after overtime.
- Dec 25, 2025: Barys Astana 1, Yekaterinburg 4.
- Dec 16, 2025: Yekaterinburg 1, Barys Astana 4.
- Nov 7, 2025: Barys Astana 3, Yekaterinburg 2, after overtime.
Last five games
- Win, 5–1 against CSKA Moscow, Oct 23. Odds: Yekaterinburg 2.95, CSKA Moscow 2.15.
- Win, 3–1 at SKA St. Petersburg, Oct 20. Odds: SKA 2.07, Yekaterinburg 3.03.
- Loss, 2–4 at Magnitogorsk, Oct 18. Odds: Magnitogorsk 1.92, Yekaterinburg 3.39.
- Loss, 2–4 at Avangard Omsk, Oct 16. Odds: Avangard Omsk 2.15, Yekaterinburg 2.75.
- Loss, 1–4 at Barys Astana, Oct 14. Odds: Barys Astana 2.45, Yekaterinburg 2.37.
- Overtime loss, 4–5 at Vladivostok, after overtime, Oct 21. Odds: Vladivostok 2.69, Barys Astana 2.27.
- Loss, 2–5 at Khabarovsk, Oct 19. Odds: Khabarovsk 2.24, Barys Astana 2.85.
- Win, 1–0 at Novosibirsk, Oct 17. Odds: Novosibirsk 2.64, Barys Astana 2.30.
- Win, 4–1 against Yekaterinburg, Oct 14. Odds: Barys Astana 2.45, Yekaterinburg 2.37.
- Loss, 2–3 against Novosibirsk, Oct 12. Odds: Barys Astana 1.98, Novosibirsk 3.10.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-0
- 12:48 Goal Yekaterinburg: Tarasov M. assists: Kashtanov A., Denezhkin M. 1-0
- 14:17 Goal Yekaterinburg: Sprong D. assists: Clague K., Yudin D. 2-0
2nd period1-1
- 00:39 2 min Barys Astana: Massie J. Hooking
- 01:03 Goal PPG Yekaterinburg: Gorbunov R. assists: Kadeykin A., Gross J. 3-0
- 02:07 2 min Yekaterinburg: Busygin Y. Roughing
- 02:07 5 min Yekaterinburg: Busygin Y. Fighting
- 02:07 5 min Barys Astana: Thompson T. Fighting
- 14:24 2 min Barys Astana: Bailey J. Roughing
- 16:39 2 min Yekaterinburg: Busygin Y. Hooking
- 19:05 Goal Barys Astana: Massie J. assists: Pilon G., Priskie C. 3-1
- 19:23 2 min Barys Astana: Priskie C. High sticking
3rd period1-0
- 06:30 Goal Yekaterinburg: Gross J. assists: Golyshev A., Karpukhin I. 4-1
- 08:26 2 min Barys Astana: Beketayev A. Charging
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Rest advantage: 4 days off for Barys Astana, 2 for Yekaterinburg.
- In goal: Alikin Y. for Yekaterinburg (6-4-0 in the last 10 starts), Shepard H. for Barys Astana (4-4-1 in the last 9 starts).
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Barys Astana.
- −0.9 goals away — Barys Astana averaged 4.1 at home and 3.2 away this season.
- Save % gap: Yekaterinburg 93.4%, Barys Astana 90.6% over their recent games.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (YEK) | 1.91 | 1.91 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.00 | 4.00 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (BAR) | 3.37 | 3.37 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5 | 5 | No change |
| Handicap YEK | −0.5 | −0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
KHL standings
Regular Season · Eastern Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 38 | .760 | 87 | 57 | +30 | |
| 2 | 26 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 31 | .596 | 71 | 71 | 0 | |
| 3 | 25 | 12 | 11 | 2 | 26 | .520 | 72 | 73 | −1 | |
| 4 | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 26 | .520 | 57 | 62 | −5 | |
| 5 | 26 | 12 | 12 | 2 | 26 | .500 | 60 | 63 | −3 | |
| 6 | 23 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 26 | .565 | 46 | 55 | −9 | |
| 7 | 23 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 25 | .543 | 46 | 38 | +8 | |
| 8 | 24 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 25 | .521 | 76 | 66 | +10 | |
| 9 | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 25 | .543 | 62 | 58 | +4 | |
| 10 | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 25 | .543 | 61 | 64 | −3 | |
| 11 | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 22 | .423 | 58 | 77 | −19 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Yekaterinburg host Barys Astana in the KHL on Monday, October 26, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.