Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Jastrzebie Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Over/Under Won

O4.5 1.41

Confidence63%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%

Full game

1X2WonZaglebieodds up 1.40Confidence 59%
Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonO4.5odds up 1.41Confidence 63%
HandicapWonZaglebie -1.5odds up 1.76Confidence 58%
Winner (incl. OT)WonZaglebieodds up 1.22Confidence 61%
Double chanceWonZaglebie or drawodds up 1.09Confidence 66%
Draw no betWonZaglebieodds up 1.26Confidence 62%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 81%

1st period

1st period 1X2WonZaglebieodds up 2.07Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5Confidence 68%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Zaglebie 41

Jastrzebie

Final 5–2

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 7

Draw after 60 minDraw 15% Decided in regulation

ZAG to winTo win 81% ZAG won

Score details

Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min5–27%chance
1st period correct scoreWon1–01st period1–022%chance
Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goalsTie · 2nd & 3rd30%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 4-1
By period 1-0, 2-1, 1-0
Likeliest 4-1 (7%), 5-2 (5%), 4-2 (5%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record9-5-17-8-0

Home / road split5-2-04-5-0

StreakL1L2

Rest1 day1 day

Goals for4.51.9

Goals against2.52.6

In the standings5th8th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game+1.6−0.3

Goals for4.42.1

Goals against2.82.4

Shots on goal33.424.4

Shots against21.824.6

Shooting %13.2%8.6%

Save %87.6%91.1%

Power-play %23.3%18.8%

Penalty kill %93.2%83.3%

Faceoff %49.7%47.3%

Penalty minutes15.65.8

Blocked shots11.89.6

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Zaglebie 50

Jastrzebie

Zaglebie Sosnowiec won five of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 6.4 ZAG 4.0 · JAS 2.4

Over 5.5 goalsOver 5.5 4 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 1 of 5 1 in overtime

Oct 4, 2026: Jastrzebie 2, Zaglebie Sosnowiec 4.
Feb 1, 2026: Jastrzebie 3, Zaglebie Sosnowiec 4.
Nov 18, 2025: Jastrzebie 3, Zaglebie Sosnowiec 4, after overtime.
Nov 2, 2025: Zaglebie Sosnowiec 5, Jastrzebie 3.
Oct 5, 2025: Jastrzebie 1, Zaglebie Sosnowiec 3.

Last five games

Zaglebie 2-3-0

Loss, 4–6 at Unia Oswiecim, Oct 29. Odds: Unia Oswiecim 2.65, Zaglebie 2.08.
Win, 11–1 against MMKS Podhale, Oct 25. Odds: Zaglebie 1.01, Podhale 100.00.
Loss, 0–3 against Katowice, Oct 23. Odds: Zaglebie 1.72, Katowice 3.45.
Loss, 1–3 at Tychy, Oct 20. Odds: Tychy 1.72, Zaglebie 2.90.
Win, 9–0 against Sanok, Oct 18. Odds: Zaglebie 1.04, Sanok 18.00.

Jastrzebie 2-3-0

Loss, 1–4 at Katowice, Oct 29. Odds: Katowice 1.60, Jastrzebie 4.15.
Loss, 1–4 at Tychy, Oct 25. Odds: Tychy 1.33, Jastrzebie 6.60.
Win, 2–0 against Sanok, Oct 23. Odds: Jastrzebie 1.20, Sanok 9.00.
Loss, 2–5 at Krakow, Oct 20. Odds: Krakow 2.92, Jastrzebie 1.70.
Win, 1–0 at Bytom, Oct 18. Odds: Bytom 1.57, Jastrzebie 4.10.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period1-0

11:37 Goal Zaglebie Sosnowiec: Heikkinen V. assists: Chmielewski A., Peresunko A. 1-0

2nd period3-0

03:48 Goal Zaglebie Sosnowiec: Heikkinen V. assists: Chmielewski A., Peresunko A. 2-0
05:55 Goal Zaglebie Sosnowiec: Peresunko A. assists: Chmielewski A., Ciura B. 3-0
10:26 Goal Zaglebie Sosnowiec: Seppala E. assists: Brynkus S., Narog M. 4-0

3rd period1-2

06:19 Goal Jastrzebie: Mos K. assists: Zajac W. 4-1
12:16 Goal Zaglebie Sosnowiec: Narog M. assists: Zachariasz O., Dawid M. 5-1
19:41 Goal Jastrzebie: Saarelainen M. assists: Kasperlik M., Bieniek S. 5-2

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Zaglebie Sosnowiec.
In goal: Kaarlehto K. for Zaglebie Sosnowiec (3-7-0 in the last 10 starts), Holsa P. for Jastrzebie (3-7-0 in the last 10 starts).
Goal differential gap of 1.9 per game — Zaglebie Sosnowiec +1.6, Jastrzebie −0.3 over their recent games.
+1.1 goals at home — Zaglebie Sosnowiec averaged 5.1 at home and 4.0 away this season.
Save % gap: Zaglebie Sosnowiec 87.6%, Jastrzebie 91.1% over their recent games.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (ZAG)	1.42	1.42	No change
1X2: X (draw)	4.75	4.75	No change
1X2: 2 (JAS)	5.30	5.30	No change
Over/Under line	5.5	5.5	No change
Handicap ZAG	−1.5	−1.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

Polish Hockey League standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Tychy	16	13	3	0	39	1.219	75	29	+46
2	Katowice	19	11	7	1	34	.895	81	46	+35
3	Bytom	17	11	6	0	33	.971	73	38	+35
4	Torun	16	11	5	0	32	1.000	68	40	+28
5	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	16	10	5	1	31	.969	73	40	+33
6	Unia Oswiecim	15	9	4	2	28	.933	63	49	+14
7	Krakow	17	8	9	0	23	.676	47	61	−14
8	Jastrzebie	16	7	9	0	20	.625	30	44	−14
9	Sanok	16	2	14	0	6	.188	23	70	−47
10	MMKS Podhale	16	0	16	0	0	.000	20	136	−116

Playoffs: Quarter-finals

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Jastrzebie prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details