Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Katowice Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Handicap Won

Katowice +2.5 1.33

Confidence70%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 68%

Full game

1X2LostZaglebieodds up 1.63Confidence 55%
Over/UnderLostO4.51.39Confidence 71%
Best tip of the game: HandicapWonKatowice +2.5odds down 1.33Confidence 70%
Winner (incl. OT)LostZaglebieodds up 1.38Confidence 65%
Double chanceLostZaglebie or drawodds up 1.21Confidence 73%
Draw no betLostZaglebieodds up 1.32Confidence 68%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYes1.09Confidence 86%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostZaglebieodds up 2.16Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5Confidence 77%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Zaglebie 42

Katowice

Final 0–3

Total goalsTotal 6 Actual 3

Draw after 60 minDraw 19% Decided in regulation

ZAG to winTo win 64% KAT won

Score details

Correct scoreLost4–2After 60 min0–35%chance
1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period0–119%chance
Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goalsTie · all three30%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 4-2
By period 1-0, 2-1, 1-1
Likeliest 4-2 (5%), 3-2 (4%), 5-3 (3%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record8-3-16-7-1

Home / road split4-1-03-3-1

StreakL1W1

Rest2 days2 days

Goals for4.44.3

Goals against2.32.8

In the standings5th2nd

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game+2.6+1.4

Goals for4.84.0

Goals against2.22.6

Shots on goal31.530.5

Shots against18.622.8

Shooting %15.2%13.1%

Save %88.7%88.6%

Power-play %22.0%29.7%

Penalty kill %95.8%77.3%

Faceoff %48.2%50.2%

Penalty minutes13.710.0

Blocked shots13.314.4

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Zaglebie 14

Katowice

Katowice won four of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 4.8 ZAG 1.6 · KAT 3.2

Over 5.5 goalsOver 5.5 2 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 0 of 5 All decided in regulation

Sep 25, 2026: Katowice 1, Zaglebie Sosnowiec 5.
Dec 5, 2025: Katowice 3, Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1.
Oct 31, 2025: Zaglebie Sosnowiec 0, Katowice 3.
Oct 3, 2025: Katowice 5, Zaglebie Sosnowiec 2.
Feb 27, 2025: Zaglebie Sosnowiec 0, Katowice 4.

Last five games

Zaglebie 2-2-1

Loss, 1–3 at Tychy, Oct 20. Odds: Tychy 1.72, Zaglebie 2.90.
Win, 9–0 against Sanok, Oct 18. Odds: Zaglebie 1.04, Sanok 18.00.
Overtime loss, 2–3 at Krakow, after a shootout, Oct 16. Odds: Krakow 5.31, Zaglebie 1.44.
Loss, 2–7 at Bytom, Oct 11.
Win, 6–2 against Torun, Oct 9. Odds: Zaglebie 1.65, Torun 3.55.

Katowice 2-3-0

Win, 11–0 at MMKS Podhale, Oct 20. Odds: Podhale 30.00, Katowice 1.01.
Loss, 3–5 against Tychy, Oct 18. Odds: Katowice 2.94, Tychy 1.90.
Win, 6–0 at Sanok, Oct 16. Odds: Sanok 26.50, Katowice 1.04.
Loss, 2–4 at Krakow, Oct 11.
Loss, 1–2 against Bytom, Oct 9. Odds: Katowice 2.14, Bytom 2.50.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period0-1

11:08 Goal PPG Katowice: Bremer B. assists: Wronka P., Fraszko B. 0-1

2nd period0-1

14:19 Goal Katowice: Michalski M. assists: Hofman J. 0-2

3rd period0-1

18:47 Goal Katowice: Lundegard J. assists: Fraszko B. 0-3

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

In goal: Kaarlehto K. for Zaglebie Sosnowiec (4-6-0 in the last 10 starts), LaCouvee C. for Katowice (3-7-0 in the last 10 starts).
4-1-0 at home for Zaglebie Sosnowiec this season.
Goal differential gap of 1.2 per game — Zaglebie Sosnowiec +2.6, Katowice +1.4 over their recent games.
4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Katowice.
4.8 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (ZAG)	1.72	1.72	No change
1X2: X (draw)	4.30	4.30	No change
1X2: 2 (KAT)	3.45	3.45	No change
Over/Under line	5.5	5.5	No change
Handicap ZAG	−1.5	−0.5	Line moved

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

Polish Hockey League standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Tychy	16	13	3	0	39	1.219	75	29	+46
2	Katowice	19	11	7	1	34	.895	81	46	+35
3	Bytom	17	11	6	0	33	.971	73	38	+35
4	Torun	16	11	5	0	32	1.000	68	40	+28
5	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	16	10	5	1	31	.969	73	40	+33
6	Unia Oswiecim	15	9	4	2	28	.933	63	49	+14
7	Krakow	17	8	9	0	23	.676	47	61	−14
8	Jastrzebie	16	7	9	0	20	.625	30	44	−14
9	Sanok	16	2	14	0	6	.188	23	70	−47
10	MMKS Podhale	16	0	16	0	0	.000	20	136	−116

Playoffs: Quarter-finals

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Katowice prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details