Zemgale vs Kyiv Capitals prediction
Chance to win · 31% and 48% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Full game
- 1X2LostKyiv Capitalsodds up 2.37Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonO4.5odds down 1.31Confidence 72%
- HandicapWonZemgale +1.5Confidence 65%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostKyiv Capitalsodds up 1.83Confidence 61%
- Double chanceLostKyiv Capitals or drawodds up 1.45Confidence 70%
- Draw no betLostKyiv CapitalsConfidence 63%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 88%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostKyiv CapitalsConfidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds down 1.76Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Zemgale 2–3
Kyiv Capitals Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min4–34%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period1–08%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 2nd & 3rd31%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-2, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 3-4 (3%), 4-5 (1%)
Season so far
This seasonZemgale
Kyiv Capitals
Head-to-head
Zemgale 3–2
Kyiv Capitals - Oct 10, 2026: Kyiv Capitals 4, Zemgale 0.
- Feb 14, 2026: Kyiv Capitals 1, Zemgale 2.
- Jan 7, 2026: Zemgale 4, Kyiv Capitals 3, after overtime.
- Nov 19, 2025: Kyiv Capitals 3, Zemgale 1.
- Oct 29, 2025: Kyiv Capitals 2, Zemgale 3.
Last five games
Zemgale
3-2-0 - Win, 5–4 at Liepaja, after overtime, Oct 24. Odds: Liepaja 3.15, Zemgale 1.83.
- Win, 6–0 against Punks Vilnius, Oct 14. Odds: Zemgale 1.11, Punks Vilnius 16.10.
- Loss, 0–4 at Kyiv Capitals, Oct 10. Odds: Kyiv Capitals 2.55, Zemgale 2.18.
- Loss, 2–4 at Mogo, Oct 7.
- Win, 5–2 at HS Riga, Oct 3.
Kyiv Capitals
4-1-0 - Loss, 1–5 against Mogo, Oct 24. Odds: Kyiv Capitals 2.90, Mogo 1.91.
- Win, 3–2 at HC Panter, Oct 21. Odds: HC Panter 6.00, Kyiv Capitals 1.33.
- Win, 11–0 at Punks Vilnius, Oct 17. Odds: Punks Vilnius 25.00, Kyiv Capitals 1.09.
- Win, 6–3 against HS Riga, Oct 14. Odds: Kyiv Capitals 1.11, HS Riga 19.40.
- Win, 4–0 against Zemgale, Oct 10. Odds: Kyiv Capitals 2.55, Zemgale 2.18.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 18:38 Goal Zemgale: Upenieks H. assists: Seilis P. 1-0
2nd period2-1
- 05:51 Goal PPG Kyiv Capitals: Stradnieks K. assists: Sprukts G., Begovs R. 1-1
- 08:19 Goal SHG Zemgale: Streikiss M. 2-1
- 14:02 Goal PPG Zemgale: Gricinskis G. assists: Rokis K. 3-1
3rd period1-2
- 00:18 Goal Kyiv Capitals: Jansons E. H. assists: Sarkanis D., Stradnieks K. 3-2
- 05:44 Goal Kyiv Capitals: Jansons E. H. 3-3
- 19:12 Goal PPG Zemgale: Antons M. assists: Bajaruns L., Rokis K. 4-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 6-1-0 away for Kyiv Capitals this season.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Zemgale.
- 4-1-0 in the last five for Kyiv Capitals.
- 4.6 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
- 5th vs 1st in the Optibet Hokeja Liga standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (ZEM) | 2.25 | 2.25 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.80 | 4.00 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (KYI) | 2.55 | 2.50 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap ZEM | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Optibet Hokeja Liga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyiv Capitals |
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 22 | .786 | 75 | 31 | +44 |
| 2 |  Mogo |
11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 21 | .955 | 59 | 14 | +45 |
| 3 |  HC Panter |
13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 16 | .615 | 44 | 35 | +9 |
| 4 |  Liepaja |
13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 16 | .615 | 42 | 37 | +5 |
| 5 | Zemgale |
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 14 | .778 | 38 | 24 | +14 |
| 6 |  Punks Vilnius |
12 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 7 | .292 | 26 | 71 | −45 |
| 7 |  Riga Prizma |
13 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 6 | .231 | 41 | 56 | −15 |
| 8 |  HS Riga |
13 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 6 | .231 | 24 | 65 | −41 |
| 9 |  Energija Elektrenai |
8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 4 | .250 | 16 | 32 | −16 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Zemgale host Kyiv Capitals in the Optibet Hokeja Liga on Wednesday, October 28, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.