Zemgale vs Punks Vilnius prediction
Chance to win · 86% and 5% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 75%Full game
- 1X2WonZemgale1.09Confidence 85%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonU8.5odds down 1.43Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonZemgale -3.51.78Confidence 53%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonZemgaleodds up 1.04Confidence 87%
- Double chanceWonZemgale or drawodds down 1.03Confidence 89%
- Draw no betWonZemgale1.02Confidence 89%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYes1.13Confidence 83%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonZemgaleodds up 1.45Confidence 62%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.51.44Confidence 60%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Zemgale 5–1
Punks Vilnius Score details
- Correct scoreLost5–1After 60 min6–05%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period4–016%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals1st · 4 goals33%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 5-1
- By period 2-0, 1-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 5-1 (5%), 6-1 (5%), 6-2 (4%)
Season so far
This seasonZemgale
Punks Vilnius
Head-to-head
Zemgale 5–0
Punks Vilnius - Sep 24, 2026: Punks Vilnius 5, Zemgale 6, after overtime.
- Mar 5, 2026: Punks Vilnius 1, Zemgale 9.
- Dec 18, 2025: Punks Vilnius 1, Zemgale 5.
- Sep 27, 2025: Punks Vilnius 0, Zemgale 7.
- Sep 20, 2025: Zemgale 13, Punks Vilnius 1.
Last five games
Zemgale
3-2-0 - Loss, 0–4 at Kyiv Capitals, Oct 10. Odds: Kyiv Capitals 2.55, Zemgale 2.18.
- Loss, 2–4 at Mogo, Oct 7.
- Win, 5–2 at HS Riga, Oct 3.
- Win, 7–0 against HS Riga, Sep 30.
- Win, 6–5 at Punks Vilnius, after overtime, Sep 24.
Punks Vilnius
2-2-1 - Win, 3–2 at Energija Elektrenai, Oct 10. Odds: Energija 2.00, Punks Vilnius 2.43.
- Loss, 1–9 against Mogo, Oct 3.
- Loss, 1–9 against Kyiv Capitals, Sep 26.
- Overtime loss, 5–6 against Zemgale, after overtime, Sep 24.
- Win, 4–2 at Riga Prizma, Sep 19.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period4-0
- 01:20 Goal Zemgale: Rajala A. assists: Rokis K. 1-0
- 08:14 Goal Zemgale: Rokis K. assists: Zabusovs P. 2-0
- 10:03 Goal PPG Zemgale: Zabusovs P. assists: Fjodorovs D. 3-0
- 18:26 Goal Zemgale: Zabusovs P. assists: Karasa A., Bajaruns L. 4-0
2nd period2-0
- 10:17 Goal Zemgale: Bodin J. assists: Berzins R., Klavins A. 5-0
- 13:15 Goal Zemgale: Millers G. assists: Novikovs A., Bodin J. 6-0
3rd period0-0
No goals or penalties.
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Zemgale.
- 9.6 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 7.5.
- 5th vs 6th in the Optibet Hokeja Liga standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (ZEM) | 1.11 | 1.11 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 9.00 | 9.00 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (PUN) | 16.10 | 16.10 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 7.5 | 7.5 | No change |
| Handicap ZEM | −3.5 | −3.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Optibet Hokeja Liga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kyiv Capitals |
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 22 | .786 | 75 | 31 | +44 |
| 2 |  Mogo |
11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 21 | .955 | 59 | 14 | +45 |
| 3 |  HC Panter |
13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 16 | .615 | 44 | 35 | +9 |
| 4 |  Liepaja |
13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 16 | .615 | 42 | 37 | +5 |
| 5 | Zemgale |
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 14 | .778 | 38 | 24 | +14 |
| 6 | Punks Vilnius |
12 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 7 | .292 | 26 | 71 | −45 |
| 7 |  Riga Prizma |
13 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 6 | .231 | 41 | 56 | −15 |
| 8 |  HS Riga |
13 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 6 | .231 | 24 | 65 | −41 |
| 9 |  Energija Elektrenai |
8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 4 | .250 | 16 | 32 | −16 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Zemgale host Punks Vilnius in the Optibet Hokeja Liga on Wednesday, October 14, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.