Ziar nad Hronom vs Dubnica prediction
Chance to win · 52% and 29% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Full game
- 1X2WonZiar nad Hronomodds down 1.99Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonO4.51.31Confidence 71%
- HandicapLostDubnica +1.51.50Confidence 64%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonZiar nad Hronomodds down 1.61Confidence 56%
- Double chanceWonZiar nad Hronom or drawodds down 1.34Confidence 71%
- Draw no betWonZiar nad Hronomodds down 1.57Confidence 57%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.06Confidence 88%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostZiar nad Hronomodds down 2.43Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds up 1.73Confidence 55%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the odds drifted 6% since they opened; the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; the odds drifted 4% since they opened; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min5–24%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period0–28%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 3 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 4-3 (3%), 5-4 (1%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Mar 5, 2026: Dubnica 2, Ziar nad Hronom 3, after overtime.
- Mar 2, 2026: Ziar nad Hronom 6, Dubnica 0.
- Mar 1, 2026: Ziar nad Hronom 4, Dubnica 3, after overtime.
- Jan 14, 2026: Dubnica 2, Ziar nad Hronom 5.
- Dec 3, 2025: Ziar nad Hronom 7, Dubnica 2.
Last five games
- Win, 3–2 at HC 19 Humenne, after overtime, Oct 16. Odds: Humenne 1.84, Ziar nad Hronom 3.25.
- Win, 5–4 against Nove Zamky, Oct 9. Odds: Ziar nad Hronom 1.52, Nove Zamky 4.45.
- Loss, 0–3 at Topolcany, Oct 6.
- Win, 2–1 at Trnava, Oct 2.
- Loss, 0–2 against TEBS Bratislava, Sep 30.
- Win, 5–4 against Povazska Bystrica, Oct 16. Odds: Dubnica 1.21, Pov. Bystrica 8.31.
- Win, 4–3 against TEBS Bratislava, Oct 9. Odds: Dubnica 1.50, TEBS Bratislava 4.60.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Trnava, after a shootout, Oct 7.
- Win, 4–1 at HK Levice, Oct 2.
- Loss, 4–9 against Skalica, Sep 30.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-2
- 14:30 Goal Dubnica: Legalin A. assists: Plokhotnik O., Roman M. 0-1
- 19:17 Goal PPG Dubnica: Benacka J. assists: Plokhotnik O., Bezuch J. 0-2
2nd period2-0
- 06:04 Goal PPG Ziar nad Hronom: Klima T. assists: Urbanek L., Fekiac V. 1-2
- 17:54 Goal PPG Ziar nad Hronom: Glazkov I. assists: Fekiac V., Urbanek L. 2-2
3rd period3-0
- 01:24 Goal Ziar nad Hronom: Rajcan S. assists: Magdolen M. 3-2
- 17:25 Goal PPG Ziar nad Hronom: Urbanek L. assists: Fekiac V., Glazkov I. 4-2
- 19:53 Goal Ziar nad Hronom: Lopusan S. 5-2
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Ziar nad Hronom.
- In goal: Petrik R. for Ziar nad Hronom (4-6-0 in the last 10 starts), Valent M. for Dubnica (6-3-0 in the last 9 starts).
- 4-1-0 at home for Ziar nad Hronom this season.
- −2.6 goals away — Dubnica averaged 5.3 at home and 2.8 away this season.
- 6.8 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (ZNH) | 1.91 | 1.91 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.33 | 4.33 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (DUB) | 2.89 | 2.89 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6 | 6 | No change |
| Handicap ZNH | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
1. Liga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 1.100 | 50 | 34 | +16 | |
| 2 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 29 | 1.036 | 58 | 42 | +16 | |
| 3 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 27 | .900 | 61 | 45 | +16 | |
| 4 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 27 | .900 | 49 | 39 | +10 | |
| 5 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 26 | .867 | 61 | 57 | +4 | |
| 6 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 24 | .800 | 47 | 48 | −1 | |
| 7 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 22 | .733 | 47 | 42 | +5 | |
| 8 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22 | .786 | 53 | 52 | +1 | |
| 9 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 21 | .700 | 51 | 48 | +3 | |
| 10 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 19 | .679 | 37 | 40 | −3 | |
| 11 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 18 | .563 | 47 | 58 | −11 | |
| 12 | 15 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 8 | .267 | 31 | 54 | −23 | |
| 13 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 3 | .188 | 8 | 41 | −33 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Ziar nad Hronom host Dubnica in the 1. Liga on Sunday, October 18, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.