Zug vs Ambri-Piotta prediction
Chance to win · 59% and 21% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks · Average confidence 67%Full game
- 1X2Zugodds up 1.71Confidence 61%
- Over/UnderO4.5odds up 1.41Confidence 70%
- HandicapAmbri-Piotta +1.51.60Confidence 60%
- Winner (incl. OT)Zugodds up 1.45Confidence 70%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceZug or drawodds down 1.22Confidence 78%
- Draw no betZugodds up 1.39Confidence 74%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)Yesodds up 1.10Confidence 86%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2Zugodds up 2.22Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderO1.5odds up 1.84Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct score3–24%chance
- 1st period correct score2–010%chance
- Highest scoring period3rd period31%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 4-3 (3%), 5-4 (1%)
Predicted team stats
The brighter bar is the bigger figureShots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Feb 28, 2026: Zug 4, Ambri-Piotta 1.
- Jan 6, 2026: Ambri-Piotta 4, Zug 0.
- Nov 14, 2025: Zug 4, Ambri-Piotta 2.
- Sep 26, 2025: Ambri-Piotta 0, Zug 4.
- Jan 24, 2025: Zug 3, Ambri-Piotta 4, after overtime.
Last five games
- Win, 8–1 at Bern, Oct 31. Odds: Bern 2.25, Zug 2.60.
- Win, 3–2 against Langnau Tigers, Oct 30. Odds: Zug 1.77, Langnau 3.50.
- Win, 7–2 against Lugano, Oct 27. Odds: Zug 1.77, Lugano 3.60.
- Loss, 0–5 at Biel, Oct 24. Odds: Biel 2.56, Zug 2.23.
- Win, 4–1 against Lausanne, Oct 23. Odds: Zug 1.91, Lausanne 3.10.
- Win, 4–3 against Lugano, Oct 31. Odds: Ambri-Piotta 2.30, Lugano 2.50.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Zurich, after a shootout, Oct 30. Odds: Zurich 1.44, Ambri-Piotta 5.25.
- Win, 4–3 against Biel, after a shootout, Oct 27. Odds: Ambri-Piotta 1.95, Biel 3.00.
- Win, 3–0 against Ajoie, Oct 24. Odds: Ambri-Piotta 1.77, Ajoie 3.57.
- Loss, 3–6 at Rapperswil-Jona, Oct 23. Odds: Rapperswil 2.30, Ambri-Piotta 2.50.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Zug coming into this game.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Zug.
- Power play vs penalty kill: 28.9% on the power play for Ambri-Piotta, 71.4% on the penalty kill for Zug.
- 5.2 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
- 5th vs 2nd in the National League standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (ZUG) | 1.67 | 1.67 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 5.00 | 5.00 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (AMB) | 3.80 | 3.80 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap ZUG | −0.5 | −0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
National League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 47 | 1.306 | 75 | 38 | +37 | |
| 2 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | .917 | 57 | 53 | +4 | |
| 3 | 19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 32 | .842 | 49 | 55 | −6 | |
| 4 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 29 | .763 | 66 | 56 | +10 | |
| 5 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 28 | 1.077 | 49 | 27 | +22 | |
| 6 | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 28 | .824 | 46 | 47 | −1 | |
| 7 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 27 | .750 | 57 | 44 | +13 | |
| 8 | 20 | 9 | 10 | 1 | 26 | .650 | 59 | 69 | −10 | |
| 9 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 25 | .658 | 58 | 64 | −6 | |
| 10 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 24 | .632 | 45 | 55 | −10 | |
| 11 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 23 | .639 | 57 | 60 | −3 | |
| 12 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 22 | .611 | 56 | 62 | −6 | |
| 13 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 19 | .500 | 50 | 69 | −19 | |
| 14 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 1 | 18 | .474 | 44 | 69 | −25 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Promotion - Playoffs
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Zug host Ambri-Piotta in the National League on Wednesday, November 11, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.