Zug vs Lausanne Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Handicap Won

Zug +1.5 1.27

Confidence77%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 68%

Full game

1X2WonZugodds down 2.35Confidence 54%
Over/UnderWonO4.5odds up 1.42Confidence 70%
Best tip of the game: HandicapWonZug +1.5odds down 1.27Confidence 77%
Winner (incl. OT)WonZugodds down 1.87Confidence 64%
Double chanceWonZug or drawodds down 1.51Confidence 72%
Draw no betWonZugodds down 1.85Confidence 64%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.08Confidence 86%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostZugodds down 2.75Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5odds down 1.24Confidence 76%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; an edge above the model’s usual ceiling; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Zug 41

Lausanne

Final 4–1

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 5

Draw after 60 minDraw 21% Decided in regulation

ZUG to winTo win 65% ZUG won

Score details

Correct scoreWon4–1After 60 min4–15%chance
1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period1–118%chance
Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 2nd30%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 4-1
By period 1-0, 1-0, 2-1
Likeliest 4-1 (5%), 3-2 (4%), 5-2 (4%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record5-2-17-7-1

Home / road split—2-5-1

StreakW2L1

Rest5 days2 days

Goals for3.43.3

Goals against2.03.3

In the standings5th8th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game+1.1+0.3

Goals for3.33.6

Goals against2.23.3

Shots on goal25.930.6

Shots against24.827.3

Shooting %12.7%11.8%

Save %91.1%88.3%

Power-play %17.5%13.2%

Penalty kill %82.1%85.7%

Faceoff %51.9%51.0%

Penalty minutes7.210.9

Blocked shots15.314.9

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Zug 23

Lausanne

Lausanne won three of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 6.0 ZUG 2.4 · LAU 3.6

Over 5.5 goalsOver 5.5 3 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 0 of 5 All decided in regulation

Sep 15, 2026: Lausanne 0, Zug 5.
Jan 30, 2026: Zug 1, Lausanne 4.
Jan 2, 2026: Lausanne 7, Zug 0.
Nov 22, 2025: Lausanne 5, Zug 2.
Oct 3, 2025: Zug 4, Lausanne 2.

Last five games

Zug 3-2-0

Win, 2–1 at Ajoie, Oct 17. Odds: Ajoie 3.25, Zug 1.65.
Win, 3–1 at EHC Kloten, Oct 11. Odds: Kloten 2.67, Zug 2.20.
Loss, 1–2 at Servette, Oct 4.
Win, 5–2 at Rapperswil-Jona, Sep 29.
Loss, 3–5 at Langnau Tigers, Sep 25.

Lausanne 3-2-0

Loss, 3–4 at EHC Kloten, Oct 20. Odds: Kloten 3.45, Lausanne 1.70.
Win, 5–2 against EHC Kloten, Oct 17. Odds: Lausanne 1.50, Kloten 4.20.
Loss, 2–3 at Bern, Oct 16. Odds: Bern 2.09, Lausanne 2.92.
Win, 6–3 against Ajoie, Oct 14. Odds: Lausanne 1.42, Ajoie 5.93.
Win, 4–1 at Rapperswil-Jona, Oct 10. Odds: Rapperswil 2.40, Lausanne 2.40.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period1-1

00:57 Goal Zug: Rohrer V. assists: Kubalik D., Moverare J. 1-0
07:59 Goal Lausanne: Suomela A. assists: Holdener M., Kurashev P. 1-1
18:24 2 min Zug: Rohrer V. Roughing
18:24 2 min Lausanne: Kurashev P. Roughing
18:24 2 min Lausanne: Riat D. Roughing

2nd period2-0

14:25 Goal Zug: Senteler S. assists: Petrovic N. 2-1
15:15 Goal Zug: Gredig R. assists: Moverare J., Geisser T. 3-1
18:03 2 min Lausanne: Caggiula D. Charging

3rd period1-0

17:26 Goal ENG Zug: Rohrer V. 4-1

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

Odds moved: the odds on Zug dropped from 1.92 to 1.57 since they were first published.
Rest advantage: 5 days off for Zug, 2 for Lausanne.
2-5-1 away for Lausanne this season.
In goal: Genoni L. for Zug (5-4-1 in the last 10 starts), Huet E. for Lausanne (3-7-0 in the last 10 starts).
3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Lausanne.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (ZUG)	1.91	1.91	No change
1X2: X (draw)	4.50	4.50	No change
1X2: 2 (LAU)	3.10	3.10	No change
Over/Under line	5.5	5.5	No change
Handicap ZUG	+0.5	−0.5	Line moved

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

National League standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Zurich	18	17	1	0	47	1.306	75	38	+37
2	Ambri-Piotta	18	11	5	2	33	.917	57	53	+4
3	Servette	19	11	6	2	32	.842	49	55	−6
4	Langnau Tigers	19	9	7	3	29	.763	66	56	+10
5	Zug	13	9	3	1	28	1.077	49	27	+22
6	Bern	17	9	5	3	28	.824	46	47	−1
7	Fribourg	18	9	7	2	27	.750	57	44	+13
8	Lausanne	20	9	10	1	26	.650	59	69	−10
9	Ajoie	19	9	8	2	25	.658	58	64	−6
10	Davos	19	8	9	2	24	.632	45	55	−10
11	Biel	18	7	9	2	23	.639	57	60	−3
12	Lugano	18	7	9	2	22	.611	56	62	−6
13	Rapperswil-Jona	19	6	10	3	19	.500	50	69	−19
14	EHC Kloten	19	6	12	1	18	.474	44	69	−25

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
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Play Out

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Zug vs Lausanne prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details