Zug vs Lugano Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Over/Under Lost

U6.5 1.38

Confidence70%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%

Full game

1X2WonZugodds down 1.93Confidence 51%
Best tip of the game: Over/UnderLostU6.5odds up 1.38Confidence 70%
HandicapWonZug -0.5odds down 1.88Confidence 54%
Winner (incl. OT)WonZugodds down 1.57Confidence 56%
Double chanceWonZug or drawodds down 1.34Confidence 65%
Draw no betWonZugodds down 1.53Confidence 58%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.10Confidence 86%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostZugodds down 2.44Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5odds up 1.22Confidence 77%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; the odds drifted 8% since they opened; the odds drifted 6% since they opened; the odds drifted 5% since they opened; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Zug 41

Lugano

Final 7–2

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 9

Draw after 60 minDraw 21% Decided in regulation

ZUG to winTo win 64% ZUG won

Score details

Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min7–25%chance
1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period0–118%chance
Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 2nd & 3rd30%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 4-1
By period 1-0, 1-0, 2-1
Likeliest 4-1 (5%), 3-2 (4%), 3-1 (4%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record6-3-16-7-2

Home / road split1-0-03-4-1

StreakL1L2

Rest2 days1 day

Goals for3.13.2

Goals against2.23.4

In the standings5th12th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game+0.9−0.1

Goals for3.13.1

Goals against2.23.2

Shots on goal28.832.0

Shots against25.026.1

Shooting %10.8%9.7%

Save %91.2%87.7%

Power-play %12.5%17.5%

Penalty kill %80.5%74.4%

Faceoff %52.8%51.6%

Penalty minutes9.78.1

Blocked shots15.516.4

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Zug 14

Lugano

Lugano won four of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 4.6 ZUG 1.8 · LUG 2.8

Over 5.5 goalsOver 5.5 0 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 1 of 5 1 in overtime

Sep 22, 2026: Lugano 3, Zug 2, after overtime.
Mar 9, 2026: Lugano 4, Zug 1.
Jan 14, 2026: Zug 2, Lugano 3.
Nov 21, 2025: Zug 2, Lugano 3.
Sep 12, 2025: Lugano 1, Zug 2.

Last five games

Zug 3-2-0

Loss, 0–5 at Biel, Oct 24. Odds: Biel 2.56, Zug 2.23.
Win, 4–1 against Lausanne, Oct 23. Odds: Zug 1.91, Lausanne 3.10.
Win, 2–1 at Ajoie, Oct 17. Odds: Ajoie 3.25, Zug 1.65.
Win, 3–1 at EHC Kloten, Oct 11. Odds: Kloten 2.67, Zug 2.20.
Loss, 1–2 at Servette, Oct 4.

Lugano 1-3-1

Overtime loss, 1–2 at Bern, after overtime, Oct 25. Odds: Bern 1.80, Lugano 3.50.
Loss, 2–5 against EHC Kloten, Oct 23. Odds: Lugano 1.46, Kloten 5.00.
Win, 5–2 at Servette, Oct 20. Odds: Servette 2.22, Lugano 2.35.
Loss, 1–6 at Fribourg, Oct 17. Odds: Fribourg 1.78, Lugano 3.05.
Loss, 2–3 against Davos, Oct 16. Odds: Lugano 2.09, Davos 2.92.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period0-1

05:57 2 min Lugano: — Too many men on the ice
14:16 2 min Zug: Kovar J. Tripping
15:41 Goal PPG Lugano: Thomson L. 0-1

2nd period4-0

05:03 Goal Zug: Senteler S. assists: Petrovic N. 1-1
07:08 2 min Lugano: Besanidis A. Tripping
07:43 Goal PPG Zug: Rohrer V. assists: Kubalik D. 2-1
08:51 2 min Lugano: Muller M. Roughing
13:06 Goal Zug: Tatar T. assists: Geisser T., Rohrer V. 3-1
13:19 Goal Zug: Hofmann G. assists: Senteler S. 4-1

3rd period3-1

01:51 Goal Lugano: Lycksell O. assists: Olsson D. 4-2
07:51 Goal Zug: Senteler S. assists: Hofmann G. 5-2
09:51 Goal Zug: Rohrer V. assists: Kubalik D. 6-2
09:51 2 min Lugano: — Delay of game
15:04 2 min Zug: Sklenicka D. Boarding
17:52 Goal Zug: Guerra S. assists: Hofmann G. 7-2

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

In goal: Genoni L. for Zug (6-3-1 in the last 10 starts), Mayer R. for Lugano (5-4-1 in the last 10 starts).
Goal differential gap of 1.0 per game — Zug +0.9, Lugano −0.1 over their recent games.
4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Lugano.
1-3-1 in the last five for Lugano.
Save % gap: Zug 91.2%, Lugano 87.7% over their recent games.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (ZUG)	1.77	1.77	No change
1X2: X (draw)	4.50	4.50	No change
1X2: 2 (LUG)	3.60	3.60	No change
Over/Under line	5.5	5.5	No change
Handicap ZUG	−0.5	−0.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

National League standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Zurich	18	17	1	0	47	1.306	75	38	+37
2	Ambri-Piotta	18	11	5	2	33	.917	57	53	+4
3	Servette	19	11	6	2	32	.842	49	55	−6
4	Langnau Tigers	19	9	7	3	29	.763	66	56	+10
5	Zug	13	9	3	1	28	1.077	49	27	+22
6	Bern	17	9	5	3	28	.824	46	47	−1
7	Fribourg	18	9	7	2	27	.750	57	44	+13
8	Lausanne	20	9	10	1	26	.650	59	69	−10
9	Ajoie	19	9	8	2	25	.658	58	64	−6
10	Davos	19	8	9	2	24	.632	45	55	−10
11	Biel	18	7	9	2	23	.639	57	60	−3
12	Lugano	18	7	9	2	22	.611	56	62	−6
13	Rapperswil-Jona	19	6	10	3	19	.500	50	69	−19
14	EHC Kloten	19	6	12	1	18	.474	44	69	−25

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
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Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Zug vs Lugano prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details