Zurich vs Ambri-Piotta prediction
Chance to win · 66% and 16% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 69%Full game
- 1X2LostZurichodds down 1.48Confidence 66%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds up 1.38Confidence 71%
- HandicapLostZurich -1.5odds up 1.78Confidence 60%
- Best tip of the game: Winner (incl. OT)WonZurichodds down 1.30Confidence 76%
- Double chanceWonZurich or draw1.14Confidence 81%
- Draw no betPushZurich1.20Confidence 78%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.11Confidence 85%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostZurich1.97Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds up 1.73Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min3–37%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–111%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 3 goals31%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-1 (7%), 5-2 (6%), 4-2 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Sep 25, 2026: Ambri-Piotta 3, Zurich 6.
- Jan 23, 2026: Ambri-Piotta 2, Zurich 4.
- Nov 25, 2025: Zurich 3, Ambri-Piotta 2, after overtime.
- Oct 11, 2025: Zurich 1, Ambri-Piotta 2.
- Sep 19, 2025: Ambri-Piotta 2, Zurich 5.
Last five games
- Win, 4–1 at Bern, Oct 27. Odds: Bern 2.70, Zurich 2.11.
- Win, 5–1 at Servette, Oct 25. Odds: Servette 3.60, Zurich 1.73.
- Win, 3–2 against Langnau Tigers, Oct 23. Odds: Zurich 1.48, Langnau 4.75.
- Loss, 2–3 against Davos, Oct 20. Odds: Zurich 1.52, Davos 3.95.
- Win, 5–1 at Davos, Oct 17. Odds: Davos 2.32, Zurich 2.27.
- Win, 4–3 against Biel, after a shootout, Oct 27. Odds: Ambri-Piotta 1.95, Biel 3.00.
- Win, 3–0 against Ajoie, Oct 24. Odds: Ambri-Piotta 1.77, Ajoie 3.57.
- Loss, 3–6 at Rapperswil-Jona, Oct 23. Odds: Rapperswil 2.30, Ambri-Piotta 2.50.
- Win, 3–2 against Fribourg, Oct 20. Odds: Ambri-Piotta 2.65, Fribourg 2.00.
- Win, 6–3 against Servette, Oct 17. Odds: Ambri-Piotta 2.52, Servette 2.12.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-1
- 05:42 Goal Zurich: Knak S. assists: Froden J. 1-0
- 06:14 2 min Zurich: Baechler N. Slashing
- 07:15 Goal PPG Ambri-Piotta: Schnarr N. assists: Kodytek P. 1-1
2nd period0-1
- 07:45 2 min Ambri-Piotta: Pezzullo R. Holding
- 08:51 2 min Zurich: Froden J. Holding
- 13:16 Goal Ambri-Piotta: Schnarr N. assists: Pezzullo R., Worge Kreu W. 1-2
3rd period2-1
- 02:07 2 min Ambri-Piotta: Dotti Z. Holding
- 02:28 Goal PPG Zurich: Lammikko J. assists: Lehtonen M., Stromwall M. 2-2
- 14:44 Goal Zurich: Malgin D. assists: Knak S. 3-2
- 17:33 2 min Zurich: Gruber K. Tripping
- 17:51 Goal PPG Ambri-Piotta: De Luca T. assists: Schnarr N., Jarventie R. 3-3
Overtime0-0
No goals or penalties.
Shootout2-1
-
Round 1
Froden J.
✓scored
Jarventie R.
✓scored
-
Round 2
Stromwall M.
✗missed
Schnarr N.
✗missed
-
Round 3
Lammikko J.
✗missed
Joly M.
✗missed
-
Round 4
Balcers R.
✗missed
Muller M.
✗missed
-
Round 5
Malgin D.
✓scored
Heed T.
✗missed
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Zurich coming into this game.
- 8-1-0 at home for Zurich this season.
- In goal: Zumbuhl R. for Zurich (5-3-2 in the last 10 starts), Senn G. for Ambri-Piotta (3-6-1 in the last 10 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 1.8 per game — Zurich +2.0, Ambri-Piotta +0.2 over their recent games.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Zurich.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (ZUR) | 1.44 | 1.44 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 5.50 | 5.50 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (AMB) | 5.25 | 5.25 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap ZUR | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
National League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 47 | 1.306 | 75 | 38 | +37 | |
| 2 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | .917 | 57 | 53 | +4 | |
| 3 | 19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 32 | .842 | 49 | 55 | −6 | |
| 4 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 29 | .763 | 66 | 56 | +10 | |
| 5 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 28 | 1.077 | 49 | 27 | +22 | |
| 6 | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 28 | .824 | 46 | 47 | −1 | |
| 7 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 27 | .750 | 57 | 44 | +13 | |
| 8 | 20 | 9 | 10 | 1 | 26 | .650 | 59 | 69 | −10 | |
| 9 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 25 | .658 | 58 | 64 | −6 | |
| 10 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 24 | .632 | 45 | 55 | −10 | |
| 11 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 23 | .639 | 57 | 60 | −3 | |
| 12 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 22 | .611 | 56 | 62 | −6 | |
| 13 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 19 | .500 | 50 | 69 | −19 | |
| 14 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 1 | 18 | .474 | 44 | 69 | −25 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Promotion - Playoffs
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Zurich host Ambri-Piotta in the National League on Friday, October 30, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.