AKM vs Almetyevsk prediction
Chance to win · 38% and 38% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 61%Full game
- 1X2LostAlmetyevskodds down 2.32Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonU5.5odds down 1.43Confidence 70%
- HandicapWonAKM +1.5Confidence 71%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostAlmetyevskodds down 1.80Confidence 51%
- Double chanceLostAlmetyevsk or drawodds down 1.45Confidence 66%
- Draw no betLostAlmetyevskodds down 1.73Confidence 51%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYes1.15Confidence 83%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonDrawodds up 2.36Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU1.5odds down 1.58Confidence 59%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–2After 60 min4–05%chance
- 1st period correct scoreWon0–01st period0–024%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goalsTie · 2nd & 3rd28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-2
- By period 0-0, 1-1, 0-1
- Likeliest 1-2 (5%), 2-3 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Jan 28, 2026: Almetyevsk 2, AKM 1.
- Oct 27, 2025: AKM 4, Almetyevsk 3, after a shootout.
- Feb 7, 2025: AKM 5, Almetyevsk 2.
- Oct 14, 2024: Almetyevsk 2, AKM 4.
Last five games
- Win, 3–0 against Bars, Nov 2. Odds: AKM 1.84, Bars 3.69.
- Loss, 0–5 at SKA-VMF St. Petersburg, Oct 26. Odds: SKA-VMF 2.20, AKM 2.89.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 at Dinamo St. Petersburg, after a shootout, Oct 24. Odds: Dinamo SPb 2.85, AKM 2.13.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Zvezda Moscow, after overtime, Oct 22. Odds: Zvezda Moscow 2.95, AKM 2.14.
- Win, 3–2 at Khimik, after a shootout, Oct 20. Odds: Khimik 2.01, AKM 3.21.
- Win, 2–1 at Ryazan, Nov 3. Odds: Ryazan 2.90, Almetyevsk 2.05.
- Win, 2–0 at Bars, Oct 25. Odds: Bars 2.97, Almetyevsk 2.12.
- Win, 3–2 against CSK VVS, after overtime, Oct 21. Odds: Almetyevsk 1.46, CSK VVS 6.00.
- Win, 2–1 against SKA-VMF St. Petersburg, after a shootout, Oct 14. Odds: Almetyevsk 2.10, SKA-VMF 2.75.
- Win, 3–2 against Dinamo St. Petersburg, Oct 12. Odds: Almetyevsk 1.70, Dinamo SPb 3.70.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
No goals or penalties.
2nd period2-0
- 01:00 Goal AKM: Suvorov A. assists: Khanin M., Shipov I. 1-0
- 19:52 Goal AKM: Pautov Y. assists: Rozhkov N. A. 2-0
3rd period2-0
- 13:44 Goal AKM: Mineyev M. assists: Skutin Y., Faizullin A. 3-0
- 16:48 Goal ENG AKM: Rozhkov N. A. assists: Yermakov Y. 4-0
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 5-game winning streak for Almetyevsk coming into this game.
- 7-1-1 at home for AKM this season.
- 8-2-0 away for Almetyevsk this season.
- 3-1 in the last 4 meetings for AKM.
- 5.8 goals per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the total is 4.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (AKM) | 2.41 | 2.58 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.80 | 3.90 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (ALM) | 2.47 | 2.34 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 4.5 | 4.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
VHL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 36 | .857 | 56 | 27 | +29 | |
| 2 | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 33 | .717 | 70 | 51 | +19 | |
| 3 | HC Norilsk | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 33 | .717 | 59 | 50 | +9 |
| 4 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 32 | .762 | 57 | 41 | +16 | |
| 5 | 22 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 31 | .705 | 61 | 38 | +23 | |
| 6 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 31 | .674 | 63 | 53 | +10 | |
| 7 | 20 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 31 | .775 | 55 | 26 | +29 | |
| 8 | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 31 | .646 | 57 | 38 | +19 | |
| 9 | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 29 | .659 | 55 | 37 | +18 | |
| 10 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 29 | .725 | 56 | 46 | +10 | |
| 11 | Kaluga | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 29 | .630 | 49 | 41 | +8 |
| 12 | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 28 | .667 | 74 | 50 | +24 | |
| 13 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 26 | .650 | 51 | 58 | −7 | |
| 14 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 26 | .650 | 44 | 37 | +7 | |
| 15 | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 24 | .522 | 48 | 53 | −5 | |
| 16 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 24 | .600 | 53 | 52 | +1 | |
| 17 | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 23 | .575 | 51 | 47 | +4 | |
| 18 | 21 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 21 | .500 | 46 | 61 | −15 | |
| 19 | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 21 | .500 | 54 | 62 | −8 | |
| 20 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 21 | .477 | 58 | 61 | −3 | |
| 21 | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 21 | .477 | 51 | 64 | −13 | |
| 22 | 22 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 20 | .455 | 45 | 58 | −13 | |
| 23 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 20 | .500 | 37 | 40 | −3 | |
| 24 | 23 | 9 | 13 | 1 | 19 | .413 | 41 | 57 | −16 | |
| 25 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 16 | .381 | 43 | 59 | −16 | |
| 26 | 21 | 7 | 13 | 1 | 15 | .357 | 49 | 69 | −20 | |
| 27 | 21 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 14 | .333 | 41 | 71 | −30 | |
| 28 | 21 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 14 | .333 | 37 | 63 | −26 | |
| 29 | 22 | 6 | 14 | 2 | 14 | .318 | 47 | 67 | −20 | |
| 30 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 3 | 11 | .262 | 39 | 70 | −31 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
AKM host Almetyevsk in the VHL on Thursday, November 5, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.