AKM vs Magnitka Magnitogorsk prediction
Chance to win · 40% and 35% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Full game
- 1X2LostAKModds up 1.75Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonU5.5odds up 1.41Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonMagnitka +1.5Confidence 71%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostAKModds up 1.44Confidence 54%
- Double chanceLostAKM or drawodds up 1.24Confidence 67%
- Draw no betLostAKModds up 1.38Confidence 55%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.17Confidence 82%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostDrawodds up 2.39Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostU1.5odds up 1.55Confidence 61%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–1After 60 min2–35%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period0–226%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 3rd28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-1
- By period 0-0, 1-1, 1-0
- Likeliest 2-1 (5%), 3-2 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 12+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Feb 28, 2026: Magnitka Magnitogorsk 4, AKM 3, after overtime.
- Sep 14, 2025: AKM 2, Magnitka Magnitogorsk 6.
- Jan 17, 2025: AKM 0, Magnitka Magnitogorsk 3.
- Nov 12, 2024: Magnitka Magnitogorsk 2, AKM 4.
Last five games
- Win, 3–0 against Orsk, Oct 10. Odds: AKM 1.80, Orsk 3.45.
- Loss, 0–3 at Perm, Oct 5.
- Win, 3–0 at Toros Neftekamsk, Oct 3.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Izhevsk, after overtime, Oct 1.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Olympia, after overtime, Sep 29.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Ryazan, after a shootout, Oct 10. Odds: Ryazan 2.40, Magnitka 2.42.
- Win, 4–2 against Bars, Oct 2.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 against Almetyevsk, after overtime, Sep 30.
- Win, 3–0 against CSK VVS, Sep 28.
- Win, 1–0 at Khimik, Sep 22.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-2
- 07:28 Goal PPG Magnitka Magnitogorsk: Demchenko V. assists: Kadyshev K., Yegorov A. 0-1
- 18:20 Goal Magnitka Magnitogorsk: Fateyev Y. assists: Ilyev I., Yegorov A. 0-2
2nd period1-0
- 05:24 Goal AKM: Kaburov G. assists: Kramarenko Y., Bulygin D. 1-2
3rd period1-1
- 15:17 Goal Magnitka Magnitogorsk: Karapetyan D. assists: Galenyuk M., Kadyshev K. 1-3
- 18:56 Goal AKM: Sato Y. assists: Trishin A. 2-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 1-2-2 away for Magnitka Magnitogorsk this season.
- In goal: Shikin D. for AKM (2-4-0 in the last 6 starts), Kramzin Y. for Magnitka Magnitogorsk (2-5-3 in the last 10 starts).
- 4-0-1 at home for AKM this season.
- 3-1 in the last 4 meetings for Magnitka Magnitogorsk.
- Save % gap: AKM 93.1%, Magnitka Magnitogorsk 95.3% over their recent games.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (AKM) | 1.76 | 1.78 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.95 | 3.95 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (MAG) | 3.50 | 3.40 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 4.5 | 4.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
VHL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 36 | .857 | 56 | 27 | +29 | |
| 2 | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 33 | .717 | 70 | 51 | +19 | |
| 3 | HC Norilsk | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 33 | .717 | 59 | 50 | +9 |
| 4 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 32 | .762 | 57 | 41 | +16 | |
| 5 | 22 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 31 | .705 | 61 | 38 | +23 | |
| 6 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 31 | .674 | 63 | 53 | +10 | |
| 7 | 20 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 31 | .775 | 55 | 26 | +29 | |
| 8 | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 31 | .646 | 57 | 38 | +19 | |
| 9 | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 29 | .659 | 55 | 37 | +18 | |
| 10 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 29 | .725 | 56 | 46 | +10 | |
| 11 | Kaluga | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 29 | .630 | 49 | 41 | +8 |
| 12 | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 28 | .667 | 74 | 50 | +24 | |
| 13 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 26 | .650 | 51 | 58 | −7 | |
| 14 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 26 | .650 | 44 | 37 | +7 | |
| 15 | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 24 | .522 | 48 | 53 | −5 | |
| 16 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 24 | .600 | 53 | 52 | +1 | |
| 17 | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 23 | .575 | 51 | 47 | +4 | |
| 18 | 21 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 21 | .500 | 46 | 61 | −15 | |
| 19 | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 21 | .500 | 54 | 62 | −8 | |
| 20 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 21 | .477 | 58 | 61 | −3 | |
| 21 | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 21 | .477 | 51 | 64 | −13 | |
| 22 | 22 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 20 | .455 | 45 | 58 | −13 | |
| 23 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 20 | .500 | 37 | 40 | −3 | |
| 24 | 23 | 9 | 13 | 1 | 19 | .413 | 41 | 57 | −16 | |
| 25 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 16 | .381 | 43 | 59 | −16 | |
| 26 | 21 | 7 | 13 | 1 | 15 | .357 | 49 | 69 | −20 | |
| 27 | 21 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 14 | .333 | 41 | 71 | −30 | |
| 28 | 21 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 14 | .333 | 37 | 63 | −26 | |
| 29 | 22 | 6 | 14 | 2 | 14 | .318 | 47 | 67 | −20 | |
| 30 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 3 | 11 | .262 | 39 | 70 | −31 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
AKM host Magnitka Magnitogorsk in the VHL on Monday, October 12, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.