Almetyevsk vs Dinamo St. Petersburg prediction
Chance to win · 57% and 22% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 70%Full game
- 1X2WonAlmetyevskodds down 1.68Confidence 60%
- Over/UnderWonU6.5odds up 1.31Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonDinamo SPb +1.5Confidence 63%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonAlmetyevskodds down 1.40Confidence 70%
- Double chanceWonAlmetyevsk or drawodds down 1.22Confidence 79%
- Best tip of the game: Draw no betWonAlmetyevskodds down 1.34Confidence 74%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.12Confidence 84%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostAlmetyevskodds down 2.22Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5Confidence 78%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreWon3–2After 60 min3–25%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period0–020%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon2nd periodMost goals2nd · 3 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 1-0, 2-1, 0-1
- Likeliest 3-2 (5%), 2-1 (5%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 11+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Jan 11, 2026: Dinamo St. Petersburg 3, Almetyevsk 2, after a shootout.
- Nov 9, 2025: Almetyevsk 2, Dinamo St. Petersburg 3, after a shootout.
- Mar 1, 2025: Almetyevsk 4, Dinamo St. Petersburg 3, after a shootout.
- Sep 17, 2024: Dinamo St. Petersburg 1, Almetyevsk 2, after overtime.
Last five games
- Loss, 3–5 against Zvezda Moscow, Oct 10. Odds: Almetyevsk 1.65, Zvezda Moscow 4.00.
- Win, 3–2 against Khimik, Oct 8.
- Win, 2–1 at Gornyak, after a shootout, Oct 4.
- Loss, 2–4 at Chelmet Chelyabinsk, Oct 2.
- Win, 2–1 at Magnitka Magnitogorsk, after overtime, Sep 30.
- Win, 5–3 at CSK VVS, Oct 10. Odds: CSK VVS 2.82, Dinamo SPb 2.05.
- Loss, 0–3 at SKA-VMF St. Petersburg, Oct 5.
- Win, 4–2 at Zvezda Moscow, Oct 2.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Khimik, after overtime, Sep 30.
- Loss, 2–3 against Gornyak, Sep 22.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
No goals or penalties.
2nd period2-1
- 05:54 Goal Almetyevsk: Mustafin R. assists: Sumin A., Yakupov R. 1-0
- 08:17 Goal Almetyevsk: Fazylzyanov K. assists: Yakupov R., Abdukadyrov S. 2-0
- 13:29 Goal Dinamo St. Petersburg: Davydov D. assists: Rasskazov K., Anokhovsky N. 2-1
3rd period1-1
- 07:41 Goal Almetyevsk: Krutov K. assists: Govorkov R. 3-1
- 15:12 Goal PPG Dinamo St. Petersburg: Berdyukov G. assists: Anokhovsky N., Davydov D. 3-2
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- In goal: Peksa V. for Almetyevsk (5-2-0 in the last 7 starts), Nazarov Y. for Dinamo St. Petersburg (6-3-1 in the last 10 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 1.3 per game — Almetyevsk +0.3, Dinamo St. Petersburg −1.0 over their recent games.
- Head-to-head level at 2-2 after the last 4 meetings.
- Save % gap: Almetyevsk 92.0%, Dinamo St. Petersburg 89.6% over their recent games.
- 5.0 goals per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the total is 5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (ALM) | 1.69 | 1.70 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.00 | 4.00 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (DSP) | 3.70 | 3.70 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5 | 5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
VHL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 36 | .857 | 56 | 27 | +29 | |
| 2 | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 33 | .717 | 70 | 51 | +19 | |
| 3 | HC Norilsk | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 33 | .717 | 59 | 50 | +9 |
| 4 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 32 | .762 | 57 | 41 | +16 | |
| 5 | 22 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 31 | .705 | 61 | 38 | +23 | |
| 6 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 31 | .674 | 63 | 53 | +10 | |
| 7 | 20 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 31 | .775 | 55 | 26 | +29 | |
| 8 | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 31 | .646 | 57 | 38 | +19 | |
| 9 | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 29 | .659 | 55 | 37 | +18 | |
| 10 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 29 | .725 | 56 | 46 | +10 | |
| 11 | Kaluga | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 29 | .630 | 49 | 41 | +8 |
| 12 | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 28 | .667 | 74 | 50 | +24 | |
| 13 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 26 | .650 | 51 | 58 | −7 | |
| 14 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 26 | .650 | 44 | 37 | +7 | |
| 15 | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 24 | .522 | 48 | 53 | −5 | |
| 16 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 24 | .600 | 53 | 52 | +1 | |
| 17 | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 23 | .575 | 51 | 47 | +4 | |
| 18 | 21 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 21 | .500 | 46 | 61 | −15 | |
| 19 | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 21 | .500 | 54 | 62 | −8 | |
| 20 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 21 | .477 | 58 | 61 | −3 | |
| 21 | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 21 | .477 | 51 | 64 | −13 | |
| 22 | 22 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 20 | .455 | 45 | 58 | −13 | |
| 23 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 20 | .500 | 37 | 40 | −3 | |
| 24 | 23 | 9 | 13 | 1 | 19 | .413 | 41 | 57 | −16 | |
| 25 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 16 | .381 | 43 | 59 | −16 | |
| 26 | 21 | 7 | 13 | 1 | 15 | .357 | 49 | 69 | −20 | |
| 27 | 21 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 14 | .333 | 41 | 71 | −30 | |
| 28 | 21 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 14 | .333 | 37 | 63 | −26 | |
| 29 | 22 | 6 | 14 | 2 | 14 | .318 | 47 | 67 | −20 | |
| 30 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 3 | 11 | .262 | 39 | 70 | −31 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Almetyevsk host Dinamo St. Petersburg in the VHL on Monday, October 12, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.