Almetyevsk vs SKA-VMF St. Petersburg prediction
Chance to win · 48% and 28% in regulation
Nosov G.StartedSV 92.9% · GAA 1.90 · 7-3-0
Popov D.StartedSV 93.3% · GAA 1.67 · 6-4-0All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Full game
- 1X2LostAlmetyevskodds up 1.97Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonU5.5odds down 1.39Confidence 70%
- HandicapWonSKA-VMF +1.5Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonAlmetyevskodds up 1.57Confidence 56%
- Double chanceWonAlmetyevsk or draw1.34Confidence 71%
- Draw no betPushAlmetyevsk1.60Confidence 64%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.17Confidence 82%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostDraw2.32Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU1.5odds down 1.55Confidence 59%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the odds drifted 8% since they opened; the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; the odds drifted 5% since they opened; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Almetyevsk 2–1
SKA-VMF Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–1After 60 min1–15%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period1–025%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 2nd28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-1
- By period 0-0, 1-1, 1-0
- Likeliest 2-1 (5%), 3-2 (5%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 12+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formAlmetyevsk
SKA-VMF St. Petersburg
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Almetyevsk 2–0
SKA-VMF - Jan 9, 2026: SKA-VMF St. Petersburg 1, Almetyevsk 2.
- Nov 11, 2025: Almetyevsk 5, SKA-VMF St. Petersburg 1.
Last five games
Almetyevsk
3-2-0 - Win, 3–2 against Dinamo St. Petersburg, Oct 12. Odds: Almetyevsk 1.70, Dinamo SPb 3.70.
- Loss, 3–5 against Zvezda Moscow, Oct 10. Odds: Almetyevsk 1.65, Zvezda Moscow 4.00.
- Win, 3–2 against Khimik, Oct 8.
- Win, 2–1 at Gornyak, after a shootout, Oct 4.
- Loss, 2–4 at Chelmet Chelyabinsk, Oct 2.
SKA-VMF
4-1-0 - Win, 5–0 at CSK VVS, Oct 12. Odds: CSK VVS 3.35, SKA-VMF 1.81.
- Win, 3–0 against Dinamo St. Petersburg, Oct 5.
- Loss, 0–1 at Khimik, Oct 2.
- Win, 3–1 at Zvezda Moscow, Sep 30.
- Win, 3–1 against Gornyak, Sep 20.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 04:23 Goal PPG Almetyevsk: Yakupov R. assists: Khokhryakov P., Sumin A. 1-0
2nd period0-1
- 19:09 Goal PPG SKA-VMF St. Petersburg: Shekhovtsov Y. assists: Kabush M. 1-1
3rd period0-0
No goals or penalties.
Overtime0-0
No goals or penalties.
Shootout1-0
-
Round 1
✗missed
✗missed
-
Round 2
✗missed
✗missed
-
Round 3
✗missed
✗missed
-
Round 4
✗missed
✗missed
-
Round 5
✓scored
✗missed
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on SKA-VMF St. Petersburg dropped from 2.42 to 2.10 since they were first published.
- In goal: Nosov G. for Almetyevsk (7-3-0 in the last 10 starts), Popov D. for SKA-VMF St. Petersburg (6-4-0 in the last 10 starts).
- 4-1-0 in the last five for SKA-VMF St. Petersburg.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (ALM) | 2.08 | 2.10 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.70 | 3.75 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (SVS) | 2.80 | 2.75 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 4.5 | 4.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
VHL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Omskie Krylia |
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 36 | .857 | 56 | 27 | +29 |
| 2 |  AKM |
23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 33 | .717 | 70 | 51 | +19 |
| 3 | HC Norilsk | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 33 | .717 | 59 | 50 | +9 |
| 4 | Almetyevsk |
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 32 | .762 | 57 | 41 | +16 |
| 5 |  Perm |
22 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 31 | .705 | 61 | 38 | +23 |
| 6 |  Toros Neftekamsk |
23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 31 | .674 | 63 | 53 | +10 |
| 7 |  SKA-VMF St. Petersburg |
20 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 31 | .775 | 55 | 26 | +29 |
| 8 |  Metallurg Novokuznetsk |
24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 31 | .646 | 57 | 38 | +19 |
| 9 |  HC Yugra |
22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 29 | .659 | 55 | 37 | +18 |
| 10 |  Orsk |
20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 29 | .725 | 56 | 46 | +10 |
| 11 | Kaluga | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 29 | .630 | 49 | 41 | +8 |
| 12 |  Khimik |
21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 28 | .667 | 74 | 50 | +24 |
| 13 |  Kristall Saratov |
20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 26 | .650 | 51 | 58 | −7 |
| 14 |  Buran Voronezh |
20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 26 | .650 | 44 | 37 | +7 |
| 15 |  Ryazan |
23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 24 | .522 | 48 | 53 | −5 |
| 16 |  Tambov |
20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 24 | .600 | 53 | 52 | +1 |
| 17 |  Gornyak |
20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 23 | .575 | 51 | 47 | +4 |
| 18 |  Bars |
21 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 21 | .500 | 46 | 61 | −15 |
| 19 |  Dinamo St. Petersburg |
21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 21 | .500 | 54 | 62 | −8 |
| 20 |  Olympia |
22 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 21 | .477 | 58 | 61 | −3 |
| 21 |  Rubin Tyumen |
22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 21 | .477 | 51 | 64 | −13 |
| 22 |  Dyn. Altay |
22 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 20 | .455 | 45 | 58 | −13 |
| 23 |  Magnitka Magnitogorsk |
20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 20 | .500 | 37 | 40 | −3 |
| 24 |  Krasnoyarsk |
23 | 9 | 13 | 1 | 19 | .413 | 41 | 57 | −16 |
| 25 |  Dizel |
21 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 16 | .381 | 43 | 59 | −16 |
| 26 |  Zvezda Moscow |
21 | 7 | 13 | 1 | 15 | .357 | 49 | 69 | −20 |
| 27 |  Chelmet Chelyabinsk |
21 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 14 | .333 | 41 | 71 | −30 |
| 28 |  Kurgan |
21 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 14 | .333 | 37 | 63 | −26 |
| 29 |  Izhevsk |
22 | 6 | 14 | 2 | 14 | .318 | 47 | 67 | −20 |
| 30 |  CSK VVS |
21 | 4 | 14 | 3 | 11 | .262 | 39 | 70 | −31 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Almetyevsk host SKA-VMF St. Petersburg in the VHL on Wednesday, October 14, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.