Bars vs HC Norilsk Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Double chance

Norilsk or draw 1.38

Confidence69%

All predictions

9 picks · Average confidence 63%

Full game

1X2Norilskodds down 2.20Confidence 51%
Over/UnderU5.51.38Confidence 71%
HandicapBars +1.5Confidence 69%
Winner (incl. OT)Norilskodds down 1.72Confidence 56%
Best tip of the game: Double chanceNorilsk or drawodds down 1.38Confidence 69%
Draw no betNorilsk1.69Confidence 58%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)Yes1.16Confidence 82%

1st period

1st period 1X2Draw2.32Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderU1.5odds down 1.52Confidence 60%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Bars 12

Norilsk

Predicted score

Total goalsTotal 3 Line 4.5 · Under

Draw after 60 minDraw 25%

NOR to winTo win 55% 42% in regulation

Score details

Correct score1–25%chance
1st period correct score0–026%chance
Highest scoring period2nd period28%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 1-2
By period 0-0, 1-1, 0-1
Likeliest 1-2 (5%), 2-3 (4%)

Predicted team stats

The brighter bar is the bigger figure

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record10-10-115-5-3

Home / road split6-4-05-3-0

StreakW1L1

Rest6 days5 days

Goals for2.22.6

Goals against2.92.2

In the standings18th—

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game−0.1+1.1

Goals for2.13.1

Goals against2.22.0

Shots on goal22.523.9

Shots against28.825.0

Shooting %9.3%13.0%

Save %92.4%92.0%

Power-play %12.0%31.8%

Penalty kill %89.7%86.4%

Faceoff %47.7%45.4%

Penalty minutes5.85.5

Blocked shots11.35.8

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Last five games

Bars 2-3-0

Win, 3–2 at Kaluga, after overtime, Nov 4. Odds: Kaluga 2.10, Bars 2.95.
Loss, 0–3 at AKM, Nov 2. Odds: AKM 1.84, Bars 3.69.
Loss, 1–2 at Ryazan, Oct 31. Odds: Ryazan 2.12, Bars 3.02.
Loss, 0–2 against Almetyevsk, Oct 25. Odds: Bars 2.97, Almetyevsk 2.12.
Win, 3–2 against CSK VVS, Oct 23. Odds: Bars 1.82, CSK VVS 3.68.

Norilsk 4-0-1

Overtime loss, 2–3 against SKA-VMF St. Petersburg, after a shootout, Nov 5. Odds: Norilsk 2.74, SKA-VMF 2.28.
Win, 3–2 against Dinamo St. Petersburg, after a shootout, Nov 3. Odds: Norilsk 1.80, Dinamo SPb 3.40.
Win, 5–2 against Zvezda Moscow, Nov 1. Odds: Norilsk 2.02, Zvezda Moscow 3.21.
Win, 5–4 against Khimik, Oct 30. Odds: Norilsk 2.69, Khimik 2.34.
Win, 2–0 at Gornyak, Oct 25. Odds: Gornyak 1.97, Norilsk 3.32.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Key insights

Goal differential gap of 1.2 per game — Bars −0.1, HC Norilsk +1.1 over their recent games.
−0.9 goals away — HC Norilsk averaged 2.9 at home and 2.0 away this season.
4-0-1 in the last five for HC Norilsk.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (BAR)	2.77	2.77	No change
1X2: X (draw)	3.90	3.90	No change
1X2: 2 (NOR)	2.23	2.23	No change
Over/Under line	4.5	4.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

VHL standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Omskie Krylia	21	18	3	0	36	.857	56	27	+29
2	AKM	23	14	4	5	33	.717	70	51	+19
3	HC Norilsk	23	15	5	3	33	.717	59	50	+9
4	Almetyevsk	21	16	5	0	32	.762	57	41	+16
5	Perm	22	15	6	1	31	.705	61	38	+23
6	Toros Neftekamsk	23	14	6	3	31	.674	63	53	+10
7	SKA-VMF St. Petersburg	20	15	4	1	31	.775	55	26	+29
8	Metallurg Novokuznetsk	24	14	7	3	31	.646	57	38	+19
9	HC Yugra	22	14	7	1	29	.659	55	37	+18
10	Orsk	20	11	2	7	29	.725	56	46	+10
11	Kaluga	23	12	6	5	29	.630	49	41	+8
12	Khimik	21	12	5	4	28	.667	74	50	+24
13	Kristall Saratov	20	12	6	2	26	.650	51	58	−7
14	Buran Voronezh	20	12	6	2	26	.650	44	37	+7
15	Ryazan	23	10	9	4	24	.522	48	53	−5
16	Tambov	20	11	7	2	24	.600	53	52	+1
17	Gornyak	20	10	7	3	23	.575	51	47	+4
18	Bars	21	10	10	1	21	.500	46	61	−15
19	Dinamo St. Petersburg	21	9	9	3	21	.500	54	62	−8
20	Olympia	22	10	11	1	21	.477	58	61	−3
21	Rubin Tyumen	22	9	10	3	21	.477	51	64	−13
22	Dyn. Altay	22	9	11	2	20	.455	45	58	−13
23	Magnitka Magnitogorsk	20	7	7	6	20	.500	37	40	−3
24	Krasnoyarsk	23	9	13	1	19	.413	41	57	−16
25	Dizel	21	6	11	4	16	.381	43	59	−16
26	Zvezda Moscow	21	7	13	1	15	.357	49	69	−20
27	Chelmet Chelyabinsk	21	6	13	2	14	.333	41	71	−30
28	Kurgan	21	5	12	4	14	.333	37	63	−26
29	Izhevsk	22	6	14	2	14	.318	47	67	−20
30	CSK VVS	21	4	14	3	11	.262	39	70	−31

Playoffs: 1/8-finals

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Bars vs HC Norilsk prediction