Bars vs SKA-VMF St. Petersburg prediction
Chance to win · 34% and 41% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Full game
- 1X2WonSKA-VMFodds down 2.25Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonU5.5odds up 1.39Confidence 71%
- HandicapLostBars +1.5Confidence 70%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonSKA-VMFodds down 1.75Confidence 56%
- Double chanceWonSKA-VMF or draw1.38Confidence 68%
- Draw no betWonSKA-VMFodds down 1.67Confidence 57%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYesodds down 1.14Confidence 82%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonDrawodds up 2.39Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU1.5odds up 1.55Confidence 61%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–2After 60 min0–45%chance
- 1st period correct scoreWon0–01st period0–026%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals3rd · 3 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-2
- By period 0-0, 1-1, 0-1
- Likeliest 1-2 (5%), 2-3 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 13+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Jan 5, 2026: SKA-VMF St. Petersburg 0, Bars 2.
- Nov 17, 2025: Bars 3, SKA-VMF St. Petersburg 0.
Last five games
- Win, 4–2 against Dinamo St. Petersburg, Oct 14. Odds: Bars 2.40, Dinamo SPb 2.50.
- Win, 5–2 against Zvezda Moscow, Oct 12. Odds: Bars 2.11, Zvezda Moscow 2.70.
- Win, 2–1 against Khimik, Oct 10. Odds: Bars 3.35, Khimik 1.82.
- Win, 3–2 at Gornyak, Oct 6.
- Win, 4–3 at Chelmet Chelyabinsk, Oct 4.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 at Almetyevsk, after a shootout, Oct 14. Odds: Almetyevsk 2.10, SKA-VMF 2.75.
- Win, 5–0 at CSK VVS, Oct 12. Odds: CSK VVS 3.35, SKA-VMF 1.81.
- Win, 3–0 against Dinamo St. Petersburg, Oct 5.
- Loss, 0–1 at Khimik, Oct 2.
- Win, 3–1 at Zvezda Moscow, Sep 30.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
No goals or penalties.
2nd period0-1
- 18:08 Goal SKA-VMF St. Petersburg: Dyadenkin D. assists: Zhuravlev Y., Gurzanov Y. 0-1
3rd period0-3
- 03:22 Goal SKA-VMF St. Petersburg: Gryaznov G. assists: Barabanov V. 0-2
- 15:36 Goal SKA-VMF St. Petersburg: Sevostyanov A. assists: Shevchenko D. 0-3
- 19:23 Goal PPG SKA-VMF St. Petersburg: Dyadenkin D. 0-4
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 5-game winning streak for Bars coming into this game.
- In goal: Stolpechenkov A. for Bars (4-5-1 in the last 10 starts), Saranchuk G. for SKA-VMF St. Petersburg (5-5-0 in the last 10 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 1.3 per game — Bars −0.3, SKA-VMF St. Petersburg +1.0 over their recent games.
- Save % gap: Bars 89.2%, SKA-VMF St. Petersburg 94.5% over their recent games.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (BAR) | 2.60 | 3.15 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.75 | 3.85 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (SVS) | 2.17 | 1.86 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 4.5 | 4.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
VHL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 36 | .857 | 56 | 27 | +29 | |
| 2 | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 33 | .717 | 70 | 51 | +19 | |
| 3 | HC Norilsk | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 33 | .717 | 59 | 50 | +9 |
| 4 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 32 | .762 | 57 | 41 | +16 | |
| 5 | 22 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 31 | .705 | 61 | 38 | +23 | |
| 6 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 31 | .674 | 63 | 53 | +10 | |
| 7 | 20 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 31 | .775 | 55 | 26 | +29 | |
| 8 | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 31 | .646 | 57 | 38 | +19 | |
| 9 | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 29 | .659 | 55 | 37 | +18 | |
| 10 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 29 | .725 | 56 | 46 | +10 | |
| 11 | Kaluga | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 29 | .630 | 49 | 41 | +8 |
| 12 | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 28 | .667 | 74 | 50 | +24 | |
| 13 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 26 | .650 | 51 | 58 | −7 | |
| 14 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 26 | .650 | 44 | 37 | +7 | |
| 15 | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 24 | .522 | 48 | 53 | −5 | |
| 16 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 24 | .600 | 53 | 52 | +1 | |
| 17 | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 23 | .575 | 51 | 47 | +4 | |
| 18 | 21 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 21 | .500 | 46 | 61 | −15 | |
| 19 | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 21 | .500 | 54 | 62 | −8 | |
| 20 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 21 | .477 | 58 | 61 | −3 | |
| 21 | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 21 | .477 | 51 | 64 | −13 | |
| 22 | 22 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 20 | .455 | 45 | 58 | −13 | |
| 23 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 20 | .500 | 37 | 40 | −3 | |
| 24 | 23 | 9 | 13 | 1 | 19 | .413 | 41 | 57 | −16 | |
| 25 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 16 | .381 | 43 | 59 | −16 | |
| 26 | 21 | 7 | 13 | 1 | 15 | .357 | 49 | 69 | −20 | |
| 27 | 21 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 14 | .333 | 41 | 71 | −30 | |
| 28 | 21 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 14 | .333 | 37 | 63 | −26 | |
| 29 | 22 | 6 | 14 | 2 | 14 | .318 | 47 | 67 | −20 | |
| 30 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 3 | 11 | .262 | 39 | 70 | −31 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Bars host SKA-VMF St. Petersburg in the VHL on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.