Bars vs Zvezda Moscow prediction
Chance to win · 42% and 34% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Full game
- 1X2WonBars2.09Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderLostU5.5odds down 1.38Confidence 70%
- HandicapLostZvezda Moscow +1.5Confidence 69%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonBars1.66Confidence 56%
- Double chanceWonBars or draw1.36Confidence 68%
- Draw no betWonBars1.62Confidence 58%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.16Confidence 83%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostDrawodds down 2.34Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostU1.5odds down 1.53Confidence 59%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–1After 60 min5–25%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period2–125%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals1st · 3 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-1
- By period 0-0, 1-1, 1-0
- Likeliest 2-1 (5%), 3-2 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 12+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Mar 1, 2026: Zvezda Moscow 4, Bars 3, after overtime.
- Sep 15, 2025: Bars 1, Zvezda Moscow 5.
- Mar 3, 2025: Bars 3, Zvezda Moscow 1.
- Sep 15, 2024: Zvezda Moscow 7, Bars 3.
Last five games
- Win, 2–1 against Khimik, Oct 10. Odds: Bars 3.35, Khimik 1.82.
- Win, 3–2 at Gornyak, Oct 6.
- Win, 4–3 at Chelmet Chelyabinsk, Oct 4.
- Loss, 2–4 at Magnitka Magnitogorsk, Oct 2.
- Loss, 0–4 at Orsk, Sep 30.
- Win, 5–3 at Almetyevsk, Oct 10. Odds: Almetyevsk 1.65, Zvezda Moscow 4.00.
- Win, 3–2 at CSK VVS, Oct 8.
- Loss, 2–4 against Dinamo St. Petersburg, Oct 2.
- Loss, 1–3 against SKA-VMF St. Petersburg, Sep 30.
- Loss, 2–3 against Gornyak, Sep 24.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-1
- 10:24 Goal PPG Bars: Alshevsky S. assists: Golubev D., Gizatullin D. 1-0
- 17:44 Goal Zvezda Moscow: Tochilkin A. assists: Sklokin M., Vlasenko D. 1-1
- 18:28 Goal Bars: Nikitin K. assists: Shiksatdarov I. 2-1
2nd period1-1
- 03:21 Goal Bars: Shiksatdarov I. assists: Barsukov I., Saberzyanov M. 3-1
- 03:41 Goal Zvezda Moscow: Bryutov Y. assists: Sklokin M., Vlasenko D. 3-2
3rd period2-0
- 03:39 Goal Bars: Saberzyanov M. assists: Naumov G., Makhmutov A. 4-2
- 18:54 Goal ENG Bars: Gizatullin D. assists: Khasanov I. 5-2
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Bars coming into this game.
- In goal: Stolpechenkov A. for Bars (3-6-1 in the last 10 starts), Tabatchikov V. for Zvezda Moscow (5-5-0 in the last 10 starts).
- 3-1 in the last 4 meetings for Zvezda Moscow.
- Save % gap: Bars 85.8%, Zvezda Moscow 90.1% over their recent games.
- 6.8 goals per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the total is 4.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (BAR) | 2.11 | 2.11 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.75 | 3.75 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (ZVE) | 2.70 | 2.70 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 4.5 | 4.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
VHL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 36 | .857 | 56 | 27 | +29 | |
| 2 | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 33 | .717 | 70 | 51 | +19 | |
| 3 | HC Norilsk | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 33 | .717 | 59 | 50 | +9 |
| 4 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 32 | .762 | 57 | 41 | +16 | |
| 5 | 22 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 31 | .705 | 61 | 38 | +23 | |
| 6 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 31 | .674 | 63 | 53 | +10 | |
| 7 | 20 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 31 | .775 | 55 | 26 | +29 | |
| 8 | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 31 | .646 | 57 | 38 | +19 | |
| 9 | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 29 | .659 | 55 | 37 | +18 | |
| 10 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 29 | .725 | 56 | 46 | +10 | |
| 11 | Kaluga | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 29 | .630 | 49 | 41 | +8 |
| 12 | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 28 | .667 | 74 | 50 | +24 | |
| 13 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 26 | .650 | 51 | 58 | −7 | |
| 14 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 26 | .650 | 44 | 37 | +7 | |
| 15 | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 24 | .522 | 48 | 53 | −5 | |
| 16 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 24 | .600 | 53 | 52 | +1 | |
| 17 | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 23 | .575 | 51 | 47 | +4 | |
| 18 | 21 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 21 | .500 | 46 | 61 | −15 | |
| 19 | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 21 | .500 | 54 | 62 | −8 | |
| 20 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 21 | .477 | 58 | 61 | −3 | |
| 21 | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 21 | .477 | 51 | 64 | −13 | |
| 22 | 22 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 20 | .455 | 45 | 58 | −13 | |
| 23 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 20 | .500 | 37 | 40 | −3 | |
| 24 | 23 | 9 | 13 | 1 | 19 | .413 | 41 | 57 | −16 | |
| 25 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 16 | .381 | 43 | 59 | −16 | |
| 26 | 21 | 7 | 13 | 1 | 15 | .357 | 49 | 69 | −20 | |
| 27 | 21 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 14 | .333 | 41 | 71 | −30 | |
| 28 | 21 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 14 | .333 | 37 | 63 | −26 | |
| 29 | 22 | 6 | 14 | 2 | 14 | .318 | 47 | 67 | −20 | |
| 30 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 3 | 11 | .262 | 39 | 70 | −31 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Bars host Zvezda Moscow in the VHL on Monday, October 12, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.