Chelmet Chelyabinsk vs Metallurg Novokuznetsk prediction
Chelmet Chelyabinsk 1–, Metallurg Novokuznetsk 3
FT
Puck drop 09:30 ET
1X2 4.291X2 1.66
RussiaRussia
Team
1st
2nd
3rd
CHE
0
0
1
MET
1
2
0
25%Chelmet Chelyabinsk win · 17% in regulationCHE
Overtime or shootout · 20%OT / SO 20%
75%Metallurg Novokuznetsk win · 63% in regulationMET
Chance to win · 17% and 63% in regulation
Mosharov D.StartedSV 84.7% · GAA 4.75 · 2-6-2
Vinogradov Z.StartedSV 93.7% · GAA 1.60 · 5-5-0
Banker of the dayBanker
Double chance
Won
Novokuznetsk or draw
1.16
Confidence94%
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 70%Full game
- 1X2WonNovokuznetskodds up 1.58Confidence 65%
- Over/UnderWonO3.5odds up 1.32Confidence 71%
- HandicapLostChelmet +1.5Confidence 56%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonNovokuznetsk1.33Confidence 77%
- Banker of the day: Double chanceWonNovokuznetsk or draw1.16Confidence 94%
- Draw no betWonNovokuznetsk1.29Confidence 79%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.19Confidence 81%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonNovokuznetsk2.21Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU1.5odds down 1.57Confidence 59%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The banker is the day’s best bet at short odds, not its surest result. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Chelmet 2–3
Novokuznetsk
Total goalsTotal
5
Actual 4
Draw after 60 minDraw
20%
Decided in regulation
MET to winTo win
75%
MET won
Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min1–35%chance
- 1st period correct scoreWon0–11st period0–122%chance
- Highest scoring periodLostTieMost goals2nd · 2 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-1, 1-1, 1-1
- Likeliest 2-3 (5%), 3-4 (2%), 4-5 (0%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent form
Season
Chelmet Chelyabinsk
Metallurg Novokuznetsk
Chelmet Chelyabinsk
Metallurg Novokuznetsk
Season recordChelmet Chelyabinsk 3-10-2Metallurg Novokuznetsk 10-5-3
Home / road splitChelmet Chelyabinsk 1-3-1Metallurg Novokuznetsk 5-3-1
StreakChelmet Chelyabinsk L6Metallurg Novokuznetsk W1
RestChelmet Chelyabinsk 1 dayMetallurg Novokuznetsk 1 day
Goals forChelmet Chelyabinsk 1.7Metallurg Novokuznetsk 1.9
Goals againstChelmet Chelyabinsk 3.9Metallurg Novokuznetsk 1.2
In the standingsChelmet Chelyabinsk 27thMetallurg Novokuznetsk 8th
Per game · last 10 each
Goal differential per gameChelmet Chelyabinsk −2.1Metallurg Novokuznetsk +0.3
Goals forChelmet Chelyabinsk 1.9Metallurg Novokuznetsk 1.5
Goals againstChelmet Chelyabinsk 4.0Metallurg Novokuznetsk 1.2
Shots on goalChelmet Chelyabinsk 28.0Metallurg Novokuznetsk 28.0
Shots againstChelmet Chelyabinsk 27.1Metallurg Novokuznetsk 20.2
Shooting %Chelmet Chelyabinsk 6.8%Metallurg Novokuznetsk 5.4%
Save %Chelmet Chelyabinsk 85.6%Metallurg Novokuznetsk 94.1%
Power-play %Chelmet Chelyabinsk 10.3%Metallurg Novokuznetsk 13.8%
Penalty kill %Chelmet Chelyabinsk 81.8%Metallurg Novokuznetsk 96.3%
Faceoff %Chelmet Chelyabinsk 48.1%Metallurg Novokuznetsk 48.0%
Penalty minutesChelmet Chelyabinsk 7.8Metallurg Novokuznetsk 5.7
Blocked shotsChelmet Chelyabinsk 13.5Metallurg Novokuznetsk 12.8
Per game · CHE at home, MET away
Goal differential per gameChelmet Chelyabinsk +0.1Metallurg Novokuznetsk +0.5
Goals forChelmet Chelyabinsk 3.3Metallurg Novokuznetsk 1.6
Goals againstChelmet Chelyabinsk 3.1Metallurg Novokuznetsk 1.1
Shots on goalChelmet Chelyabinsk 30.4Metallurg Novokuznetsk 28.6
Shots againstChelmet Chelyabinsk 34.3Metallurg Novokuznetsk 20.9
Shooting %Chelmet Chelyabinsk 10.7%Metallurg Novokuznetsk 5.6%
Save %Chelmet Chelyabinsk 90.9%Metallurg Novokuznetsk 95.2%
Power-play %Chelmet Chelyabinsk 35.3%Metallurg Novokuznetsk 20.8%
Penalty kill %Chelmet Chelyabinsk 84.2%Metallurg Novokuznetsk 95.0%
Faceoff %Chelmet Chelyabinsk 45.4%Metallurg Novokuznetsk 46.2%
Penalty minutesChelmet Chelyabinsk 4.8Metallurg Novokuznetsk 4.0
Blocked shotsChelmet Chelyabinsk 18.8Metallurg Novokuznetsk 11.3
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Chelmet 0–4
Novokuznetsk
Goals a gameGoals
3.5
CHE 1.0 · MET 2.5
Over 4.5 goalsOver 4.5
2 of 4
This game’s line
Past 60 minutesOvertime
0 of 4
All decided in regulation
- Jan 29, 2026: Metallurg Novokuznetsk 3, Chelmet Chelyabinsk 2.
- Oct 20, 2025: Chelmet Chelyabinsk 2, Metallurg Novokuznetsk 3.
- Mar 14, 2025: Chelmet Chelyabinsk 0, Metallurg Novokuznetsk 2.
- Sep 13, 2024: Metallurg Novokuznetsk 2, Chelmet Chelyabinsk 0.
Last five games
Chelmet
0-5-0 - Loss, 2–3 against Krasnoyarsk, Oct 25. Odds: Chelmet 1.89, Krasnoyarsk 3.50.
- Loss, 1–2 against HC Norilsk, Oct 23. Odds: Chelmet 2.55, Norilsk 2.33.
- Loss, 1–5 at Kaluga, Oct 16. Odds: Kaluga 2.02, Chelmet 2.95.
- Loss, 2–4 at AKM, Oct 14. Odds: AKM 1.69, Chelmet 3.60.
- Loss, 0–8 at Ryazan, Oct 12. Odds: Ryazan 2.08, Chelmet 2.75.
Novokuznetsk
3-2-0 - Win, 3–0 at Magnitka Magnitogorsk, Oct 25. Odds: Magnitka 3.65, Novokuznetsk 1.89.
- Loss, 1–2 at Orsk, Oct 23. Odds: Orsk 3.00, Novokuznetsk 2.12.
- Loss, 0–2 against Perm, Oct 17. Odds: Novokuznetsk 1.81, Perm 3.93.
- Win, 3–2 against Toros Neftekamsk, after a shootout, Oct 15. Odds: Novokuznetsk 1.58, Toros 4.20.
- Win, 3–2 against Izhevsk, after a shootout, Oct 13. Odds: Novokuznetsk 1.63, Izhevsk 4.75.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-1
- 13:00 Goal Metallurg Novokuznetsk: Serdyuk Y. assists: Doroshenko M., Podkorytov A. 0-1
2nd period0-2
- 12:39 Goal Metallurg Novokuznetsk: Vasilkov A. assists: Shablovsky Z. 0-2
- 19:28 Goal PPG Metallurg Novokuznetsk: Serdyuk Y. assists: Podkorytov A., Aliyev R. 0-3
3rd period1-0
- 04:19 Goal Chelmet Chelyabinsk: Golovnyov Y. assists: Isakov Y., Aglamzyanov R. 1-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 6-game losing streak for Chelmet Chelyabinsk coming into this game.
- 1-3-1 at home for Chelmet Chelyabinsk this season.
- 4-0 in the last 4 meetings for Metallurg Novokuznetsk.
- In goal: Mosharov D. for Chelmet Chelyabinsk (2-6-2 in the last 10 starts), Vinogradov Z. for Metallurg Novokuznetsk (5-5-0 in the last 10 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 2.4 per game — Chelmet Chelyabinsk −2.1, Metallurg Novokuznetsk +0.3 over their recent games.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (CHE) | 4.29 | 4.29 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.33 | 4.33 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (MET) | 1.66 | 1.66 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 4.5 | 4.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
VHL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Omskie Krylia |
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 36 | .857 | 56 | 27 | +29 |
| 2 |  AKM |
23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 33 | .717 | 70 | 51 | +19 |
| 3 | HC Norilsk | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 33 | .717 | 59 | 50 | +9 |
| 4 |  Almetyevsk |
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 32 | .762 | 57 | 41 | +16 |
| 5 |  Perm |
22 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 31 | .705 | 61 | 38 | +23 |
| 6 |  Toros Neftekamsk |
23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 31 | .674 | 63 | 53 | +10 |
| 7 |  SKA-VMF St. Petersburg |
20 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 31 | .775 | 55 | 26 | +29 |
| 8 | Metallurg Novokuznetsk |
24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 31 | .646 | 57 | 38 | +19 |
| 9 |  HC Yugra |
22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 29 | .659 | 55 | 37 | +18 |
| 10 |  Orsk |
20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 29 | .725 | 56 | 46 | +10 |
| 11 | Kaluga | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 29 | .630 | 49 | 41 | +8 |
| 12 |  Khimik |
21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 28 | .667 | 74 | 50 | +24 |
| 13 |  Kristall Saratov |
20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 26 | .650 | 51 | 58 | −7 |
| 14 |  Buran Voronezh |
20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 26 | .650 | 44 | 37 | +7 |
| 15 |  Ryazan |
23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 24 | .522 | 48 | 53 | −5 |
| 16 |  Tambov |
20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 24 | .600 | 53 | 52 | +1 |
| 17 |  Gornyak |
20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 23 | .575 | 51 | 47 | +4 |
| 18 |  Bars |
21 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 21 | .500 | 46 | 61 | −15 |
| 19 |  Dinamo St. Petersburg |
21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 21 | .500 | 54 | 62 | −8 |
| 20 |  Olympia |
22 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 21 | .477 | 58 | 61 | −3 |
| 21 |  Rubin Tyumen |
22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 21 | .477 | 51 | 64 | −13 |
| 22 |  Dyn. Altay |
22 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 20 | .455 | 45 | 58 | −13 |
| 23 |  Magnitka Magnitogorsk |
20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 20 | .500 | 37 | 40 | −3 |
| 24 |  Krasnoyarsk |
23 | 9 | 13 | 1 | 19 | .413 | 41 | 57 | −16 |
| 25 |  Dizel |
21 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 16 | .381 | 43 | 59 | −16 |
| 26 |  Zvezda Moscow |
21 | 7 | 13 | 1 | 15 | .357 | 49 | 69 | −20 |
| 27 | Chelmet Chelyabinsk |
21 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 14 | .333 | 41 | 71 | −30 |
| 28 |  Kurgan |
21 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 14 | .333 | 37 | 63 | −26 |
| 29 |  Izhevsk |
22 | 6 | 14 | 2 | 14 | .318 | 47 | 67 | −20 |
| 30 |  CSK VVS |
21 | 4 | 14 | 3 | 11 | .262 | 39 | 70 | −31 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Chelmet Chelyabinsk host Metallurg Novokuznetsk in the VHL on Tuesday, October 27, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.