Dinamo St. Petersburg vs Kaluga Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Over/Under Won

U5.5 1.48

Confidence71%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%

Full game

1X2LostKalugaodds up 2.25Confidence 51%
Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonU5.5odds down 1.48Confidence 71%
HandicapWonDinamo SPb +1.5Confidence 70%
Winner (incl. OT)LostKalugaodds up 1.76Confidence 56%
Double chanceLostKaluga or draw1.42Confidence 68%
Draw no betLostKaluga1.77Confidence 57%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYes1.14Confidence 83%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostDrawodds up 2.37Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonU1.5odds down 1.61Confidence 59%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Dinamo SPb 12

Kaluga

Final 3–0

Total goalsTotal 3 Actual 3

Draw after 60 minDraw 24% Decided in regulation

KAL to winTo win 54% DSP won

Score details

Correct scoreLost1–2After 60 min3–05%chance
1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period1–024%chance
Highest scoring periodWon2nd periodMost goals2nd · 2 goals28%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 1-2
By period 0-0, 1-1, 0-1
Likeliest 1-2 (5%), 2-3 (4%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 16+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record7-7-210-3-4

Home / road split3-2-17-1-2

StreakW1L1

Rest1 day1 day

Goals for2.82.2

Goals against3.21.7

In the standings19th—

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game−0.5+0.9

Goals for2.52.4

Goals against3.01.5

Shots on goal28.225.7

Shots against30.827.6

Shooting %8.9%9.3%

Save %90.6%94.6%

Power-play %9.1%6.1%

Penalty kill %89.2%96.9%

Faceoff %51.4%45.4%

Penalty minutes7.36.7

Blocked shots13.010.8

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Last five games

Dinamo SPb 2-2-1

Win, 2–1 against AKM, after a shootout, Oct 24. Odds: Dinamo SPb 2.85, AKM 2.13.
Overtime loss, 3–4 against Ryazan, after overtime, Oct 22. Odds: Dinamo SPb 2.15, Ryazan 2.90.
Loss, 2–4 at Bars, Oct 14. Odds: Bars 2.40, Dinamo SPb 2.50.
Loss, 2–3 at Almetyevsk, Oct 12. Odds: Almetyevsk 1.70, Dinamo SPb 3.70.
Win, 5–3 at CSK VVS, Oct 10. Odds: CSK VVS 2.82, Dinamo SPb 2.05.

Kaluga 3-1-1

Overtime loss, 2–3 at Zvezda Moscow, after overtime, Oct 24. Odds: Zvezda Moscow 2.77, Kaluga 2.25.
Win, 3–2 at Khimik, after a shootout, Oct 22. Odds: Khimik 1.75, Kaluga 4.10.
Loss, 1–3 against Gornyak, Oct 18. Odds: Kaluga 2.24, Gornyak 2.90.
Win, 5–1 against Chelmet Chelyabinsk, Oct 16. Odds: Kaluga 2.02, Chelmet 2.95.
Win, 3–1 against Magnitka Magnitogorsk, Oct 14. Odds: Kaluga 2.17, Magnitka 2.70.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period1-0

19:40 Goal PPG Dinamo St. Petersburg: Kalinin M. assists: Golikov M., Gusev M. M. 1-0

2nd period2-0

07:27 Goal Dinamo St. Petersburg: Kozlov I. assists: Zinchenko I., Savushkin K. 2-0
19:58 Goal Dinamo St. Petersburg: Salakhov M. assists: Rasskazov K., Shepelev A. 3-0

3rd period0-0

No goals or penalties.

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

In goal: Nazarov Y. for Dinamo St. Petersburg (4-4-2 in the last 10 starts), Kuznetsov G. for Kaluga (8-2-0 in the last 10 starts).
Goal differential gap of 1.4 per game — Dinamo St. Petersburg −0.5, Kaluga +0.9 over their recent games.
Save % gap: Dinamo St. Petersburg 90.6%, Kaluga 94.6% over their recent games.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (DSP)	2.61	2.61	No change
1X2: X (draw)	3.75	3.75	No change
1X2: 2 (KAL)	2.38	2.38	No change
Over/Under line	4.5	4.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

VHL standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Omskie Krylia	21	18	3	0	36	.857	56	27	+29
2	AKM	23	14	4	5	33	.717	70	51	+19
3	HC Norilsk	23	15	5	3	33	.717	59	50	+9
4	Almetyevsk	21	16	5	0	32	.762	57	41	+16
5	Perm	22	15	6	1	31	.705	61	38	+23
6	Toros Neftekamsk	23	14	6	3	31	.674	63	53	+10
7	SKA-VMF St. Petersburg	20	15	4	1	31	.775	55	26	+29
8	Metallurg Novokuznetsk	24	14	7	3	31	.646	57	38	+19
9	HC Yugra	22	14	7	1	29	.659	55	37	+18
10	Orsk	20	11	2	7	29	.725	56	46	+10
11	Kaluga	23	12	6	5	29	.630	49	41	+8
12	Khimik	21	12	5	4	28	.667	74	50	+24
13	Kristall Saratov	20	12	6	2	26	.650	51	58	−7
14	Buran Voronezh	20	12	6	2	26	.650	44	37	+7
15	Ryazan	23	10	9	4	24	.522	48	53	−5
16	Tambov	20	11	7	2	24	.600	53	52	+1
17	Gornyak	20	10	7	3	23	.575	51	47	+4
18	Bars	21	10	10	1	21	.500	46	61	−15
19	Dinamo St. Petersburg	21	9	9	3	21	.500	54	62	−8
20	Olympia	22	10	11	1	21	.477	58	61	−3
21	Rubin Tyumen	22	9	10	3	21	.477	51	64	−13
22	Dyn. Altay	22	9	11	2	20	.455	45	58	−13
23	Magnitka Magnitogorsk	20	7	7	6	20	.500	37	40	−3
24	Krasnoyarsk	23	9	13	1	19	.413	41	57	−16
25	Dizel	21	6	11	4	16	.381	43	59	−16
26	Zvezda Moscow	21	7	13	1	15	.357	49	69	−20
27	Chelmet Chelyabinsk	21	6	13	2	14	.333	41	71	−30
28	Kurgan	21	5	12	4	14	.333	37	63	−26
29	Izhevsk	22	6	14	2	14	.318	47	67	−20
30	CSK VVS	21	4	14	3	11	.262	39	70	−31

Playoffs: 1/8-finals

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Dinamo St. Petersburg vs Kaluga prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details