Dizel vs Toros Neftekamsk prediction
Chance to win · 32% and 43% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Full game
- 1X2WonTorosodds up 2.45Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostU5.5odds down 1.35Confidence 71%
- HandicapLostDizel +1.5Confidence 68%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonTorosodds up 1.87Confidence 58%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonToros or drawodds down 1.48Confidence 70%
- Draw no betWonTorosodds up 1.89Confidence 60%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.17Confidence 82%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostDrawodds down 2.31Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostU1.5odds down 1.51Confidence 61%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the odds drifted 3% since they opened; the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–2After 60 min3–55%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period2–127%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals3rd · 4 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-2
- By period 0-0, 1-1, 0-1
- Likeliest 1-2 (6%), 2-3 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Feb 20, 2026: Dizel 1, Toros Neftekamsk 2.
- Sep 30, 2025: Toros Neftekamsk 1, Dizel 2.
- Dec 14, 2024: Toros Neftekamsk 4, Dizel 2.
- Dec 4, 2024: Dizel 4, Toros Neftekamsk 3.
Last five games
- Overtime loss, 3–4 against Izhevsk, after overtime, Nov 5. Odds: Dizel 1.85, Izhevsk 3.45.
- Overtime loss, 4–5 against Olympia, after a shootout, Nov 1. Odds: Dizel 1.87, Olympia 3.67.
- Loss, 1–2 against Tambov, Oct 23. Odds: Dizel 1.90, Tambov 3.57.
- Loss, 0–4 against Buran Voronezh, Oct 21. Odds: Dizel 2.43, Buran Voronezh 2.64.
- Loss, 0–3 at HC Yugra, Oct 17. Odds: Yugra 2.18, Dizel 3.01.
- Win, 5–4 at Tambov, Nov 6. Odds: Tambov 2.46, Toros 2.42.
- Win, 2–0 at Buran Voronezh, Nov 4. Odds: Buran Voronezh 2.20, Toros 2.75.
- Win, 5–2 against HC Yugra, Oct 28. Odds: Toros 3.31, Yugra 2.03.
- Win, 4–1 against Rubin Tyumen, Oct 26. Odds: Toros 2.24, Rubin Tyumen 2.86.
- Win, 4–3 against Kurgan, Oct 24. Odds: Toros 1.78, Kurgan 3.88.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-1
- 08:56 Goal PPG Toros Neftekamsk: Korbit P. assists: Khvorov N., Sidlyarov D. 0-1
- 10:16 Goal Dizel: Manin I. assists: Bain M., Mayorov N. 1-1
- 14:20 Goal Dizel: Balanov Y. 2-1
2nd period0-1
- 01:05 Goal Toros Neftekamsk: Sidlyarov D. assists: Gunkin Y., Khvorov N. 2-2
3rd period1-3
- 03:07 Goal Dizel: Mayorov N. assists: Bain M. 3-2
- 15:37 Goal Toros Neftekamsk: Skoropad N. assists: Khafzetdinov A. 3-3
- 19:37 Goal PPG Toros Neftekamsk: Sidlyarov D. assists: Khvorov N., Sedantsov O. 3-4
- 19:58 Goal ENG Toros Neftekamsk: Valeyev T. 3-5
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 5-game losing streak for Dizel coming into this game.
- 5-game winning streak for Toros Neftekamsk coming into this game.
- Goal differential gap of 1.5 per game — Dizel −1.0, Toros Neftekamsk +0.5 over their recent games.
- Head-to-head level at 2-2 after the last 4 meetings.
- Save % gap: Dizel 88.5%, Toros Neftekamsk 93.1% over their recent games.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (DIZ) | 2.47 | 2.42 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.84 | 3.75 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (TOR) | 2.46 | 2.50 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 4.5 | 4.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
VHL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 36 | .857 | 56 | 27 | +29 | |
| 2 | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 33 | .717 | 70 | 51 | +19 | |
| 3 | HC Norilsk | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 33 | .717 | 59 | 50 | +9 |
| 4 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 32 | .762 | 57 | 41 | +16 | |
| 5 | 22 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 31 | .705 | 61 | 38 | +23 | |
| 6 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 31 | .674 | 63 | 53 | +10 | |
| 7 | 20 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 31 | .775 | 55 | 26 | +29 | |
| 8 | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 31 | .646 | 57 | 38 | +19 | |
| 9 | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 29 | .659 | 55 | 37 | +18 | |
| 10 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 29 | .725 | 56 | 46 | +10 | |
| 11 | Kaluga | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 29 | .630 | 49 | 41 | +8 |
| 12 | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 28 | .667 | 74 | 50 | +24 | |
| 13 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 26 | .650 | 51 | 58 | −7 | |
| 14 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 26 | .650 | 44 | 37 | +7 | |
| 15 | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 24 | .522 | 48 | 53 | −5 | |
| 16 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 24 | .600 | 53 | 52 | +1 | |
| 17 | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 23 | .575 | 51 | 47 | +4 | |
| 18 | 21 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 21 | .500 | 46 | 61 | −15 | |
| 19 | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 21 | .500 | 54 | 62 | −8 | |
| 20 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 21 | .477 | 58 | 61 | −3 | |
| 21 | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 21 | .477 | 51 | 64 | −13 | |
| 22 | 22 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 20 | .455 | 45 | 58 | −13 | |
| 23 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 20 | .500 | 37 | 40 | −3 | |
| 24 | 23 | 9 | 13 | 1 | 19 | .413 | 41 | 57 | −16 | |
| 25 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 16 | .381 | 43 | 59 | −16 | |
| 26 | 21 | 7 | 13 | 1 | 15 | .357 | 49 | 69 | −20 | |
| 27 | 21 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 14 | .333 | 41 | 71 | −30 | |
| 28 | 21 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 14 | .333 | 37 | 63 | −26 | |
| 29 | 22 | 6 | 14 | 2 | 14 | .318 | 47 | 67 | −20 | |
| 30 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 3 | 11 | .262 | 39 | 70 | −31 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Dizel host Toros Neftekamsk in the VHL on Sunday, November 8, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.