HC Norilsk vs Dinamo St. Petersburg Prediction & Picks

VHL Tuesday, November 3, 2026Tue · Nov 3

32 AP Puck drop 07:00 ET 1.803.40

1st 2nd 3rd OT SO

NOR 0 2 0 0 4

DSP 2 0 0 0 1

RussiaRussia

AwayDinamo St. Petersburg9-9-319th in the standingsWWOTLL

58%HC Norilsk win · 46% in regulationNOR Overtime or shootout · 23%OT / SO 23% 42%Dinamo St. Petersburg win · 31% in regulationDSP

Chance to win · 46% and 31% in regulation

Guskov Y.StartedSV 87.2% · GAA 2.80 · 4-4-2

In goal

Podsukha I.StartedSV 90.8% · GAA 2.75 · 3-1-0

Best tip of the gameBest tip Double chance Won

Norilsk or draw 1.34

Confidence70%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%

Full game

1X2LostNorilskodds down 2.05Confidence 51%
Over/UnderWonO3.51.26Confidence 71%
HandicapWonDinamo SPb +1.5Confidence 67%
Winner (incl. OT)WonNorilskodds down 1.54Confidence 60%
Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonNorilsk or drawodds down 1.34Confidence 70%
Draw no betPushNorilskConfidence 62%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 83%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostDrawConfidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderLostU1.5odds down 1.63Confidence 57%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Norilsk 32

Dinamo SPb

Final 3–2

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 5

Draw after 60 minDraw 23% Went to a shootout

NOR to winTo win 58% NOR won

Score details

Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min2–24%chance
1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period0–223%chance
Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 2nd28%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 3-2
By period 0-0, 2-1, 1-1
Likeliest 3-2 (5%), 4-3 (2%), 5-4 (1%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 17+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record14-5-28-7-2

Home / road split9-2-24-5-1

StreakW5W2

Rest1 day7 days

Goals for2.62.8

Goals against2.13.0

In the standings—19th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game+1.3−0.2

Goals for3.32.5

Goals against2.02.7

Shots on goal27.729.0

Shots against25.829.7

Shooting %11.9%8.6%

Save %92.2%91.2%

Power-play %33.3%9.4%

Penalty kill %83.3%91.4%

Faceoff %44.3%53.8%

Penalty minutes4.76.9

Blocked shots6.412.9

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Last five games

Norilsk 5-0-0

Win, 5–2 against Zvezda Moscow, Nov 1. Odds: Norilsk 2.02, Zvezda Moscow 3.21.
Win, 5–4 against Khimik, Oct 30. Odds: Norilsk 2.69, Khimik 2.34.
Win, 2–0 at Gornyak, Oct 25. Odds: Gornyak 1.97, Norilsk 3.32.
Win, 2–1 at Chelmet Chelyabinsk, Oct 23. Odds: Chelmet 2.55, Norilsk 2.33.
Win, 3–2 at Magnitka Magnitogorsk, after overtime, Oct 21. Odds: Magnitka 2.16, Norilsk 3.00.

Dinamo SPb 2-2-1

Win, 3–0 against Kaluga, Oct 26. Odds: Dinamo SPb 2.61, Kaluga 2.38.
Win, 2–1 against AKM, after a shootout, Oct 24. Odds: Dinamo SPb 2.85, AKM 2.13.
Overtime loss, 3–4 against Ryazan, after overtime, Oct 22. Odds: Dinamo SPb 2.15, Ryazan 2.90.
Loss, 2–4 at Bars, Oct 14. Odds: Bars 2.40, Dinamo SPb 2.50.
Loss, 2–3 at Almetyevsk, Oct 12. Odds: Almetyevsk 1.70, Dinamo SPb 3.70.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period0-2

11:08 Goal Dinamo St. Petersburg: Gusev M. M. assists: Salakhov M., Mikhailov V. 0-1
15:41 Goal Dinamo St. Petersburg: Kozlov I. assists: Zinchenko I., Rodionov Y. 0-2

2nd period2-0

13:48 Goal PPG HC Norilsk: Golodnyuk S. assists: Shalagin M., Drugalya S. 1-2
18:50 Goal HC Norilsk: Yemets I. assists: Shalagin M., Drugalya S. 2-2

3rd period0-0

No goals or penalties.

Overtime0-0

No goals or penalties.

Shootout4-1

Round 1 Avramenko I. scored Golikov M. missed
Round 2 Gorbunov Y. scored Kalinin M. missed
Round 3 Golodnyuk S. scored Rasskazov K. scored
Round 4 Shalagin M. scored —

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (NOR)	1.80	1.80	No change
1X2: X (draw)	4.00	4.00	No change
1X2: 2 (DSP)	3.40	3.40	No change
Over/Under line	4.5	4.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

VHL standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Omskie Krylia	21	18	3	0	36	.857	56	27	+29
2	AKM	23	14	4	5	33	.717	70	51	+19
3	HC Norilsk	23	15	5	3	33	.717	59	50	+9
4	Almetyevsk	21	16	5	0	32	.762	57	41	+16
5	Perm	22	15	6	1	31	.705	61	38	+23
6	Toros Neftekamsk	23	14	6	3	31	.674	63	53	+10
7	SKA-VMF St. Petersburg	20	15	4	1	31	.775	55	26	+29
8	Metallurg Novokuznetsk	24	14	7	3	31	.646	57	38	+19
9	HC Yugra	22	14	7	1	29	.659	55	37	+18
10	Orsk	20	11	2	7	29	.725	56	46	+10
11	Kaluga	23	12	6	5	29	.630	49	41	+8
12	Khimik	21	12	5	4	28	.667	74	50	+24
13	Kristall Saratov	20	12	6	2	26	.650	51	58	−7
14	Buran Voronezh	20	12	6	2	26	.650	44	37	+7
15	Ryazan	23	10	9	4	24	.522	48	53	−5
16	Tambov	20	11	7	2	24	.600	53	52	+1
17	Gornyak	20	10	7	3	23	.575	51	47	+4
18	Bars	21	10	10	1	21	.500	46	61	−15
19	Dinamo St. Petersburg	21	9	9	3	21	.500	54	62	−8
20	Olympia	22	10	11	1	21	.477	58	61	−3
21	Rubin Tyumen	22	9	10	3	21	.477	51	64	−13
22	Dyn. Altay	22	9	11	2	20	.455	45	58	−13
23	Magnitka Magnitogorsk	20	7	7	6	20	.500	37	40	−3
24	Krasnoyarsk	23	9	13	1	19	.413	41	57	−16
25	Dizel	21	6	11	4	16	.381	43	59	−16
26	Zvezda Moscow	21	7	13	1	15	.357	49	69	−20
27	Chelmet Chelyabinsk	21	6	13	2	14	.333	41	71	−30
28	Kurgan	21	5	12	4	14	.333	37	63	−26
29	Izhevsk	22	6	14	2	14	.318	47	67	−20
30	CSK VVS	21	4	14	3	11	.262	39	70	−31

Playoffs: 1/8-finals

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

HC Norilsk host Dinamo St. Petersburg in the VHL on Tuesday, November 3, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.

HC Norilsk vs Dinamo St. Petersburg prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details