HC Norilsk vs Khimik Prediction & Picks

VHL Friday, October 30, 2026Fri · Oct 30

54 FT Puck drop 08:00 ET 2.692.34

1st 2nd 3rd

NOR 2 3 0

KHI 2 1 1

RussiaRussia

AwayKhimik12-5-412th in the standingsOTOTWLL

36%HC Norilsk win · 26% in regulationNOR Overtime or shootout · 24%OT / SO 24% 64%Khimik win · 50% in regulationKHI

Chance to win · 26% and 50% in regulation

Gluschenko R.StartedSV 95.3% · GAA 1.50 · 8-1-1

In goal

Pavlenko M.StartedSV 91.3% · GAA 1.80 · 3-1-1

Best tip of the gameBest tip Double chance Lost

Khimik or draw 1.39

Confidence65%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%

Full game

1X2LostKhimikodds up 2.22Confidence 51%
Over/UnderLostU5.5odds down 1.36Confidence 71%
HandicapWonNorilsk +1.5Confidence 66%
Winner (incl. OT)LostKhimikodds up 1.74Confidence 65%
Best tip of the game: Double chanceLostKhimik or drawodds up 1.39Confidence 65%
Draw no betLostKhimik1.72Confidence 68%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.17Confidence 82%

1st period

1st period 1X2WonDrawodds up 2.32Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderLostU1.5odds down 1.52Confidence 60%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the odds drifted 13% since they opened; the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; the odds drifted 7% since they opened; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Norilsk 12

Khimik

Final 5–4

Total goalsTotal 3 Actual 9

Draw after 60 minDraw 24% Decided in regulation

KHI to winTo win 64% NOR won

Score details

Correct scoreLost1–2After 60 min5–46%chance
1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period2–226%chance
Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 2nd28%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 1-2
By period 0-0, 1-1, 0-1
Likeliest 1-2 (6%), 2-3 (4%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 19+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record12-5-29-4-4

Home / road split7-2-25-2-1

StreakW3L2

Rest4 days7 days

Goals for2.33.2

Goals against2.12.1

In the standings—12th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game+0.4+1.3

Goals for2.53.2

Goals against2.11.9

Shots on goal28.029.9

Shots against24.225.7

Shooting %8.9%10.7%

Save %91.3%93.0%

Power-play %22.2%19.4%

Penalty kill %73.7%97.4%

Faceoff %45.0%48.0%

Penalty minutes4.611.7

Blocked shots7.89.2

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Last five games

Norilsk 4-1-0

Win, 2–0 at Gornyak, Oct 25. Odds: Gornyak 1.97, Norilsk 3.32.
Win, 2–1 at Chelmet Chelyabinsk, Oct 23. Odds: Chelmet 2.55, Norilsk 2.33.
Win, 3–2 at Magnitka Magnitogorsk, after overtime, Oct 21. Odds: Magnitka 2.16, Norilsk 3.00.
Loss, 2–3 at Orsk, Oct 19. Odds: Orsk 2.32, Norilsk 2.75.
Win, 3–1 against Perm, Oct 12. Odds: Norilsk 2.50, Perm 2.28.

Khimik 1-2-2

Overtime loss, 2–3 against Kaluga, after a shootout, Oct 22. Odds: Khimik 1.75, Kaluga 4.10.
Overtime loss, 2–3 against AKM, after a shootout, Oct 20. Odds: Khimik 2.01, AKM 3.21.
Win, 5–1 against Ryazan, Oct 18. Odds: Khimik 1.68, Ryazan 4.40.
Loss, 1–2 at Bars, Oct 10. Odds: Bars 3.35, Khimik 1.82.
Loss, 2–3 at Almetyevsk, Oct 8.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period2-2

06:57 Goal HC Norilsk: Drugalya S. 1-0
13:32 Goal HC Norilsk: Yemets I. assists: Golodnyuk S., Shalapov Y. 2-0
16:51 Goal Khimik: Petrov M. assists: Korotkikh I., Sokolov N. 2-1
19:40 Goal Khimik: Kukstel P. assists: Bryntsev A., Solovyov D. 2-2

2nd period3-1

00:27 Goal HC Norilsk: Shalagin M. assists: Steklov K. 3-2
07:51 Goal HC Norilsk: Shalagin M. assists: Avramenko I. 4-2
15:32 Goal Khimik: Mansurov D. assists: Rukavishnikov R., Varyushkin Y. 4-3
16:22 Goal HC Norilsk: Sharifyanov T. assists: Shalapov Y., Rasseikin M. 5-3

3rd period0-1

03:20 Goal Khimik: Solovyov D. assists: Krasnichuk A. 5-4

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (NOR)	3.20	2.69	Shortened
1X2: X (draw)	3.77	3.67	Shortened
1X2: 2 (KHI)	2.03	2.34	Drifted
Over/Under line	4.5	4.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

VHL standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Omskie Krylia	21	18	3	0	36	.857	56	27	+29
2	AKM	23	14	4	5	33	.717	70	51	+19
3	HC Norilsk	23	15	5	3	33	.717	59	50	+9
4	Almetyevsk	21	16	5	0	32	.762	57	41	+16
5	Perm	22	15	6	1	31	.705	61	38	+23
6	Toros Neftekamsk	23	14	6	3	31	.674	63	53	+10
7	SKA-VMF St. Petersburg	20	15	4	1	31	.775	55	26	+29
8	Metallurg Novokuznetsk	24	14	7	3	31	.646	57	38	+19
9	HC Yugra	22	14	7	1	29	.659	55	37	+18
10	Orsk	20	11	2	7	29	.725	56	46	+10
11	Kaluga	23	12	6	5	29	.630	49	41	+8
12	Khimik	21	12	5	4	28	.667	74	50	+24
13	Kristall Saratov	20	12	6	2	26	.650	51	58	−7
14	Buran Voronezh	20	12	6	2	26	.650	44	37	+7
15	Ryazan	23	10	9	4	24	.522	48	53	−5
16	Tambov	20	11	7	2	24	.600	53	52	+1
17	Gornyak	20	10	7	3	23	.575	51	47	+4
18	Bars	21	10	10	1	21	.500	46	61	−15
19	Dinamo St. Petersburg	21	9	9	3	21	.500	54	62	−8
20	Olympia	22	10	11	1	21	.477	58	61	−3
21	Rubin Tyumen	22	9	10	3	21	.477	51	64	−13
22	Dyn. Altay	22	9	11	2	20	.455	45	58	−13
23	Magnitka Magnitogorsk	20	7	7	6	20	.500	37	40	−3
24	Krasnoyarsk	23	9	13	1	19	.413	41	57	−16
25	Dizel	21	6	11	4	16	.381	43	59	−16
26	Zvezda Moscow	21	7	13	1	15	.357	49	69	−20
27	Chelmet Chelyabinsk	21	6	13	2	14	.333	41	71	−30
28	Kurgan	21	5	12	4	14	.333	37	63	−26
29	Izhevsk	22	6	14	2	14	.318	47	67	−20
30	CSK VVS	21	4	14	3	11	.262	39	70	−31

Playoffs: 1/8-finals

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

HC Norilsk host Khimik in the VHL on Friday, October 30, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.

HC Norilsk vs Khimik prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details