HC Norilsk vs Perm Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Over/Under Won

U5.5 1.35

Confidence71%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%

Full game

1X2LostPerm2.26Confidence 51%
Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonU5.5odds down 1.35Confidence 71%
HandicapWonNorilsk +1.5Confidence 70%
Winner (incl. OT)LostPerm1.76Confidence 56%
Double chanceLostPerm or draw1.41Confidence 68%
Draw no betLostPerm1.74Confidence 57%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.17Confidence 82%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostDrawodds down 2.30Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonU1.51.50Confidence 62%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Norilsk 12

Perm

Final 3–1

Total goalsTotal 3 Actual 4

Draw after 60 minDraw 25% Decided in regulation

PER to winTo win 54% NOR won

Score details

Correct scoreLost1–2After 60 min3–15%chance
1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period1–027%chance
Highest scoring periodWon2nd periodMost goals2nd · 2 goals27%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 1-2
By period 0-0, 1-1, 0-1
Likeliest 1-2 (5%), 2-3 (4%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 13+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record8-4-28-3-0

Home / road split6-2-22-2-0

StreakW4L1

Rest1 day4 days

Goals for2.32.6

Goals against2.31.8

In the standings—5th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game+0.2+0.8

Goals for2.52.7

Goals against2.31.9

Shots on goal28.727.3

Shots against31.525.6

Shooting %8.7%9.9%

Save %93.0%92.6%

Power-play %28.1%21.4%

Penalty kill %75.0%91.3%

Faceoff %48.0%57.8%

Penalty minutes4.811.6

Blocked shots8.810.2

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Last five games

Norilsk 4-1-0

Win, 5–3 against Toros Neftekamsk, Oct 10. Odds: Norilsk 2.30, Toros 2.52.
Win, 3–2 against Izhevsk, Oct 8.
Win, 3–2 against Olympia, Oct 6.
Win, 3–2 at Kristall Saratov, after a shootout, Oct 1.
Loss, 0–5 at Dizel, Sep 29.

Perm 3-2-0

Loss, 1–3 against Kaluga, Oct 7.
Win, 3–0 against AKM, Oct 5.
Win, 1–0 against Ryazan, Oct 3.
Win, 4–0 at Bars, Sep 25.
Loss, 1–2 at Almetyevsk, Sep 23.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period1-0

14:43 Goal HC Norilsk: Sinyatkin S. assists: Lipanov A. 1-0

2nd period2-0

04:07 Goal HC Norilsk: Filin F. assists: Gorbunov Y., Bolshakov M. 2-0
18:18 Goal PPG HC Norilsk: Shalagin M. assists: Avramenko I., Zlodeyev D. 3-0

3rd period0-1

09:36 Goal Perm: Opalev R. assists: Glukhov N., Kolesnikov N. 3-1

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

4-game winning streak for HC Norilsk coming into this game.
Rest advantage: 4 days off for Perm, 1 for HC Norilsk.
In goal: Gluschenko R. for HC Norilsk (7-2-1 in the last 10 starts), Gorshkov Y. for Perm (7-3-0 in the last 10 starts).

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (NOR)	2.50	2.50	No change
1X2: X (draw)	3.65	3.65	No change
1X2: 2 (PER)	2.28	2.28	No change
Over/Under line	4.5	4.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

VHL standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Omskie Krylia	21	18	3	0	36	.857	56	27	+29
2	AKM	23	14	4	5	33	.717	70	51	+19
3	HC Norilsk	23	15	5	3	33	.717	59	50	+9
4	Almetyevsk	21	16	5	0	32	.762	57	41	+16
5	Perm	22	15	6	1	31	.705	61	38	+23
6	Toros Neftekamsk	23	14	6	3	31	.674	63	53	+10
7	SKA-VMF St. Petersburg	20	15	4	1	31	.775	55	26	+29
8	Metallurg Novokuznetsk	24	14	7	3	31	.646	57	38	+19
9	HC Yugra	22	14	7	1	29	.659	55	37	+18
10	Orsk	20	11	2	7	29	.725	56	46	+10
11	Kaluga	23	12	6	5	29	.630	49	41	+8
12	Khimik	21	12	5	4	28	.667	74	50	+24
13	Kristall Saratov	20	12	6	2	26	.650	51	58	−7
14	Buran Voronezh	20	12	6	2	26	.650	44	37	+7
15	Ryazan	23	10	9	4	24	.522	48	53	−5
16	Tambov	20	11	7	2	24	.600	53	52	+1
17	Gornyak	20	10	7	3	23	.575	51	47	+4
18	Bars	21	10	10	1	21	.500	46	61	−15
19	Dinamo St. Petersburg	21	9	9	3	21	.500	54	62	−8
20	Olympia	22	10	11	1	21	.477	58	61	−3
21	Rubin Tyumen	22	9	10	3	21	.477	51	64	−13
22	Dyn. Altay	22	9	11	2	20	.455	45	58	−13
23	Magnitka Magnitogorsk	20	7	7	6	20	.500	37	40	−3
24	Krasnoyarsk	23	9	13	1	19	.413	41	57	−16
25	Dizel	21	6	11	4	16	.381	43	59	−16
26	Zvezda Moscow	21	7	13	1	15	.357	49	69	−20
27	Chelmet Chelyabinsk	21	6	13	2	14	.333	41	71	−30
28	Kurgan	21	5	12	4	14	.333	37	63	−26
29	Izhevsk	22	6	14	2	14	.318	47	67	−20
30	CSK VVS	21	4	14	3	11	.262	39	70	−31

Playoffs: 1/8-finals

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

HC Norilsk vs Perm prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details