HC Yugra vs Chelmet Chelyabinsk Prediction & Picks

Banker of the dayBanker Double chance Won

Yugra or draw 1.20

Confidence95%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 71%

Full game

1X2WonYugraodds down 1.70Confidence 68%
Over/UnderWonO3.51.33Confidence 71%
HandicapWonYugra -1.5Confidence 53%
Winner (incl. OT)WonYugra1.37Confidence 79%
Banker of the day: Double chanceWonYugra or drawodds down 1.20Confidence 95%
Draw no betWonYugra1.31Confidence 81%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.18Confidence 81%

1st period

1st period 1X2WonYugra2.26Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonU1.5odds down 1.55Confidence 58%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The banker is the day’s best bet at short odds, not its surest result. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Yugra 41

Chelmet

Final 3–1

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 4

Draw after 60 minDraw 19% Decided in regulation

YUG to winTo win 78% YUG won

Score details

Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min3–16%chance
1st period correct scoreWon1–01st period1–022%chance
Highest scoring periodLostTieMost goals2nd · 2 goals28%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 4-1
By period 1-0, 1-1, 2-0
Likeliest 4-1 (6%), 3-1 (6%), 4-2 (4%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record13-7-16-12-2

Home / road split8-2-04-8-1

StreakW2W2

Rest1 day1 day

Goals for2.52.0

Goals against1.73.4

In the standings9th27th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game+1.3−1.2

Goals for3.12.0

Goals against1.83.2

Shots on goal28.628.0

Shots against26.825.9

Shooting %10.8%7.1%

Save %80.2%88.0%

Power-play %19.5%6.7%

Penalty kill %89.1%81.1%

Faceoff %41.4%50.1%

Penalty minutes9.87.7

Blocked shots11.010.3

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Yugra 22

Chelmet

The teams split the last four meetings

Goals a gameGoals 6.8 YUG 3.3 · CHE 3.5

Over 4.5 goalsOver 4.5 3 of 4 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 1 of 4 1 in a shootout

Jan 8, 2026: HC Yugra 6, Chelmet Chelyabinsk 3.
Nov 5, 2025: Chelmet Chelyabinsk 3, HC Yugra 4, after a shootout.
Jan 28, 2025: HC Yugra 1, Chelmet Chelyabinsk 2.
Oct 23, 2024: Chelmet Chelyabinsk 6, HC Yugra 2.

Last five games

Yugra 3-1-1

Win, 3–1 against Magnitka Magnitogorsk, Nov 8. Odds: Yugra 1.77, Magnitka 3.80.
Win, 4–3 against Orsk, after a shootout, Nov 5. Odds: Yugra 1.82, Orsk 3.65.
Overtime loss, 2–3 at Perm, after a shootout, Oct 30. Odds: Perm 2.52, Yugra 2.56.
Loss, 2–5 at Toros Neftekamsk, Oct 28. Odds: Toros 3.31, Yugra 2.03.
Win, 5–4 at Izhevsk, Oct 26. Odds: Izhevsk 3.31, Yugra 2.02.

Chelmet 3-2-0

Win, 4–1 at Rubin Tyumen, Nov 8. Odds: Rubin Tyumen 1.85, Chelmet 3.45.
Win, 5–3 at Kurgan, Nov 6. Odds: Kurgan 2.24, Chelmet 2.71.
Loss, 1–2 at Omskie Krylia, Nov 4. Odds: Omskie Krylia 1.45, Chelmet 5.50.
Win, 3–1 against Dyn. Altay, Oct 29. Odds: Chelmet 2.26, Dynamo Altay 2.73.
Loss, 1–3 against Metallurg Novokuznetsk, Oct 27. Odds: Chelmet 4.29, Novokuznetsk 1.66.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period1-0

05:38 Goal HC Yugra: Korobintsev V. assists: Mamaladze D. 1-0

2nd period1-1

14:33 Goal PPG Chelmet Chelyabinsk: Yekimov N. assists: Tsyplakov G., Mokin M. 1-1
19:59 Goal HC Yugra: Grishakov A. assists: Shvyryov I. 2-1

3rd period1-0

14:55 Goal HC Yugra: Baranov Y. assists: Grishakov A., Pochivalov D. 3-1

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

8-2-0 at home for HC Yugra this season.
Goal differential gap of 2.5 per game — HC Yugra +1.3, Chelmet Chelyabinsk −1.2 over their recent games.
−0.9 goals away — Chelmet Chelyabinsk averaged 2.6 at home and 1.7 away this season.
Head-to-head level at 2-2 after the last 4 meetings.
Save % gap: HC Yugra 80.2%, Chelmet Chelyabinsk 88.0% over their recent games.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (YUG)	1.70	1.70	No change
1X2: X (draw)	4.10	4.10	No change
1X2: 2 (CHE)	4.00	4.00	No change
Over/Under line	4.5	4.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

VHL standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Omskie Krylia	21	18	3	0	36	.857	56	27	+29
2	AKM	23	14	4	5	33	.717	70	51	+19
3	HC Norilsk	23	15	5	3	33	.717	59	50	+9
4	Almetyevsk	21	16	5	0	32	.762	57	41	+16
5	Perm	22	15	6	1	31	.705	61	38	+23
6	Toros Neftekamsk	23	14	6	3	31	.674	63	53	+10
7	SKA-VMF St. Petersburg	20	15	4	1	31	.775	55	26	+29
8	Metallurg Novokuznetsk	24	14	7	3	31	.646	57	38	+19
9	HC Yugra	22	14	7	1	29	.659	55	37	+18
10	Orsk	20	11	2	7	29	.725	56	46	+10
11	Kaluga	23	12	6	5	29	.630	49	41	+8
12	Khimik	21	12	5	4	28	.667	74	50	+24
13	Kristall Saratov	20	12	6	2	26	.650	51	58	−7
14	Buran Voronezh	20	12	6	2	26	.650	44	37	+7
15	Ryazan	23	10	9	4	24	.522	48	53	−5
16	Tambov	20	11	7	2	24	.600	53	52	+1
17	Gornyak	20	10	7	3	23	.575	51	47	+4
18	Bars	21	10	10	1	21	.500	46	61	−15
19	Dinamo St. Petersburg	21	9	9	3	21	.500	54	62	−8
20	Olympia	22	10	11	1	21	.477	58	61	−3
21	Rubin Tyumen	22	9	10	3	21	.477	51	64	−13
22	Dyn. Altay	22	9	11	2	20	.455	45	58	−13
23	Magnitka Magnitogorsk	20	7	7	6	20	.500	37	40	−3
24	Krasnoyarsk	23	9	13	1	19	.413	41	57	−16
25	Dizel	21	6	11	4	16	.381	43	59	−16
26	Zvezda Moscow	21	7	13	1	15	.357	49	69	−20
27	Chelmet Chelyabinsk	21	6	13	2	14	.333	41	71	−30
28	Kurgan	21	5	12	4	14	.333	37	63	−26
29	Izhevsk	22	6	14	2	14	.318	47	67	−20
30	CSK VVS	21	4	14	3	11	.262	39	70	−31

Playoffs: 1/8-finals

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

HC Yugra vs Chelmet Chelyabinsk prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details