HC Yugra vs Dizel prediction
Chance to win · 54% and 22% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 68%Full game
- Best tip of the game: 1X2WonYugraodds up 1.85Confidence 56%
- Over/UnderWonU5.5odds down 1.29Confidence 71%
- HandicapLostDizel +1.5Confidence 65%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonYugraodds down 1.53Confidence 70%
- Double chanceWonYugra or drawodds up 1.24Confidence 79%
- Draw no betWonYugraodds down 1.47Confidence 73%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYes1.21Confidence 81%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonDrawodds up 2.26Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU1.5odds down 1.46Confidence 66%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–1After 60 min3–07%chance
- 1st period correct scoreWon0–01st period0–029%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon2nd periodMost goals2nd · 2 goals27%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-1
- By period 0-0, 1-1, 1-0
- Likeliest 2-1 (7%), 3-2 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Dec 9, 2025: HC Yugra 1, Dizel 4.
- Nov 27, 2025: Dizel 0, HC Yugra 2.
- Jan 22, 2025: Dizel 6, HC Yugra 0.
- Nov 1, 2024: HC Yugra 2, Dizel 3, after a shootout.
Last five games
- Win, 6–1 against Tambov, Oct 15. Odds: Yugra 1.77, Tambov 3.50.
- Loss, 0–1 against Buran Voronezh, Oct 13. Odds: Yugra 1.88, Buran Voronezh 3.72.
- Loss, 0–1 at Omskie Krylia, Oct 1.
- Win, 3–0 at Kurgan, Sep 29.
- Loss, 3–4 at Rubin Tyumen, Sep 27.
- Win, 3–2 at Rubin Tyumen, after overtime, Oct 15. Odds: Rubin Tyumen 3.15, Dizel 1.89.
- Loss, 3–4 at Kurgan, Oct 13. Odds: Kurgan 2.75, Dizel 2.13.
- Loss, 2–3 at Omskie Krylia, Oct 11. Odds: Omskie Krylia 1.59, Dizel 4.20.
- Win, 3–1 against Dyn. Altay, Oct 5.
- Loss, 0–2 against Metallurg Novokuznetsk, Oct 3.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
No goals or penalties.
2nd period2-0
- 03:32 Goal HC Yugra: Grishakov A. assists: Bashkirov D., Maltsev M. 1-0
- 19:19 Goal HC Yugra: Osipov G. assists: Gordeyev M., Mamaladze D. 2-0
3rd period1-0
- 05:41 Goal HC Yugra: Korobintsev V. assists: Misnikov A., Bashkirov D. 3-0
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- In goal: Sokhatsky V. for HC Yugra (6-4-0 in the last 10 starts), Arzamastsev A. for Dizel (3-5-2 in the last 10 starts).
- 3-1 in the last 4 meetings for Dizel.
- +0.9 goals at home — HC Yugra averaged 2.5 at home and 1.6 away this season.
- Save % gap: HC Yugra 94.1%, Dizel 90.2% over their recent games.
- 4.5 goals per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the total is 4.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (YUG) | 1.95 | 2.18 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.67 | 3.58 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (DIZ) | 3.52 | 3.01 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 4.5 | 4 | Line lowered |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
VHL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 36 | .857 | 56 | 27 | +29 | |
| 2 | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 33 | .717 | 70 | 51 | +19 | |
| 3 | HC Norilsk | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 33 | .717 | 59 | 50 | +9 |
| 4 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 32 | .762 | 57 | 41 | +16 | |
| 5 | 22 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 31 | .705 | 61 | 38 | +23 | |
| 6 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 31 | .674 | 63 | 53 | +10 | |
| 7 | 20 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 31 | .775 | 55 | 26 | +29 | |
| 8 | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 31 | .646 | 57 | 38 | +19 | |
| 9 | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 29 | .659 | 55 | 37 | +18 | |
| 10 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 29 | .725 | 56 | 46 | +10 | |
| 11 | Kaluga | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 29 | .630 | 49 | 41 | +8 |
| 12 | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 28 | .667 | 74 | 50 | +24 | |
| 13 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 26 | .650 | 51 | 58 | −7 | |
| 14 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 26 | .650 | 44 | 37 | +7 | |
| 15 | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 24 | .522 | 48 | 53 | −5 | |
| 16 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 24 | .600 | 53 | 52 | +1 | |
| 17 | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 23 | .575 | 51 | 47 | +4 | |
| 18 | 21 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 21 | .500 | 46 | 61 | −15 | |
| 19 | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 21 | .500 | 54 | 62 | −8 | |
| 20 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 21 | .477 | 58 | 61 | −3 | |
| 21 | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 21 | .477 | 51 | 64 | −13 | |
| 22 | 22 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 20 | .455 | 45 | 58 | −13 | |
| 23 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 20 | .500 | 37 | 40 | −3 | |
| 24 | 23 | 9 | 13 | 1 | 19 | .413 | 41 | 57 | −16 | |
| 25 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 16 | .381 | 43 | 59 | −16 | |
| 26 | 21 | 7 | 13 | 1 | 15 | .357 | 49 | 69 | −20 | |
| 27 | 21 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 14 | .333 | 41 | 71 | −30 | |
| 28 | 21 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 14 | .333 | 37 | 63 | −26 | |
| 29 | 22 | 6 | 14 | 2 | 14 | .318 | 47 | 67 | −20 | |
| 30 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 3 | 11 | .262 | 39 | 70 | −31 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
HC Yugra host Dizel in the VHL on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.