HC Yugra vs Gornyak Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip 1X2

Yugra 1.90

Confidence53%

All predictions

9 picks · Average confidence 67%

Full game

Best tip of the game: 1X2Yugraodds up 1.90Confidence 53%
Over/UnderU5.5odds down 1.35Confidence 71%
HandicapGornyak +1.5Confidence 65%
Winner (incl. OT)Yugraodds up 1.52Confidence 68%
Double chanceYugra or drawodds up 1.28Confidence 77%
Draw no betYugraConfidence 72%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)YesConfidence 81%

1st period

1st period 1X2DrawConfidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderU1.5odds down 1.52Confidence 61%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Yugra 21

Gornyak

Predicted score

Total goalsTotal 3 Line 4.5 · Under

Draw after 60 minDraw 24%

YUG to winTo win 65% 52% in regulation

Score details

Correct score2–16%chance
1st period correct score0–027%chance
Highest scoring period2nd period27%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 2-1
By period 0-0, 1-1, 1-0
Likeliest 2-1 (6%), 3-2 (5%)

Predicted team stats

The brighter bar is the bigger figure

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record14-7-110-7-3

Home / road split9-2-07-4-1

StreakW3L1

Rest1 day1 day

Goals for2.52.6

Goals against1.72.4

In the standings9th17th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game+1.6−0.5

Goals for3.42.2

Goals against1.82.7

Shots on goal30.029.9

Shots against28.226.7

Shooting %11.3%7.4%

Save %81.2%90.6%

Power-play %25.0%6.7%

Penalty kill %85.0%87.5%

Faceoff %40.9%50.0%

Penalty minutes8.68.5

Blocked shots11.714.8

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Yugra 31

Gornyak

HC Yugra won three of the last four meetings

Goals a gameGoals 4.5 YUG 2.5 · GOR 2.0

Over 4.5 goalsOver 4.5 3 of 4 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 1 of 4 1 in a shootout

Jan 6, 2026: HC Yugra 0, Gornyak 2.
Nov 7, 2025: Gornyak 2, HC Yugra 3.
Jan 26, 2025: HC Yugra 4, Gornyak 2.
Oct 25, 2024: Gornyak 2, HC Yugra 3, after a shootout.

Last five games

Yugra 3-1-1

Win, 3–1 against Chelmet Chelyabinsk, Nov 10. Odds: Yugra 1.70, Chelmet 4.00.
Win, 3–1 against Magnitka Magnitogorsk, Nov 8. Odds: Yugra 1.77, Magnitka 3.80.
Win, 4–3 against Orsk, after a shootout, Nov 5. Odds: Yugra 1.82, Orsk 3.65.
Overtime loss, 2–3 at Perm, after a shootout, Oct 30. Odds: Perm 2.52, Yugra 2.56.
Loss, 2–5 at Toros Neftekamsk, Oct 28. Odds: Toros 3.31, Yugra 2.03.

Gornyak 2-1-2

Loss, 5–6 at Rubin Tyumen, Nov 10. Odds: Rubin Tyumen 2.41, Gornyak 2.48.
Win, 3–0 at Kurgan, Nov 8. Odds: Kurgan 3.10, Gornyak 1.99.
Overtime loss, 1–2 at Omskie Krylia, after a shootout, Nov 6. Odds: Omskie Krylia 1.62, Gornyak 4.44.
Win, 3–2 against Dyn. Altay, Oct 31. Odds: Gornyak 1.83, Dynamo Altay 3.73.
Overtime loss, 3–4 against Metallurg Novokuznetsk, after a shootout, Oct 29. Odds: Gornyak 3.14, Novokuznetsk 2.08.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Key insights

3-game winning streak for HC Yugra coming into this game.
9-2-0 at home for HC Yugra this season.
Goal differential gap of 2.1 per game — HC Yugra +1.6, Gornyak −0.5 over their recent games.
3-1 in the last 4 meetings for HC Yugra.
Save % gap: HC Yugra 81.2%, Gornyak 90.6% over their recent games.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (YUG)	1.81	1.94	Drifted
1X2: X (draw)	4.00	3.90	Shortened
1X2: 2 (GOR)	3.60	3.25	Shortened
Over/Under line	4.5	4.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

VHL standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Omskie Krylia	21	18	3	0	36	.857	56	27	+29
2	AKM	23	14	4	5	33	.717	70	51	+19
3	HC Norilsk	23	15	5	3	33	.717	59	50	+9
4	Almetyevsk	21	16	5	0	32	.762	57	41	+16
5	Perm	22	15	6	1	31	.705	61	38	+23
6	Toros Neftekamsk	23	14	6	3	31	.674	63	53	+10
7	SKA-VMF St. Petersburg	20	15	4	1	31	.775	55	26	+29
8	Metallurg Novokuznetsk	24	14	7	3	31	.646	57	38	+19
9	HC Yugra	22	14	7	1	29	.659	55	37	+18
10	Orsk	20	11	2	7	29	.725	56	46	+10
11	Kaluga	23	12	6	5	29	.630	49	41	+8
12	Khimik	21	12	5	4	28	.667	74	50	+24
13	Kristall Saratov	20	12	6	2	26	.650	51	58	−7
14	Buran Voronezh	20	12	6	2	26	.650	44	37	+7
15	Ryazan	23	10	9	4	24	.522	48	53	−5
16	Tambov	20	11	7	2	24	.600	53	52	+1
17	Gornyak	20	10	7	3	23	.575	51	47	+4
18	Bars	21	10	10	1	21	.500	46	61	−15
19	Dinamo St. Petersburg	21	9	9	3	21	.500	54	62	−8
20	Olympia	22	10	11	1	21	.477	58	61	−3
21	Rubin Tyumen	22	9	10	3	21	.477	51	64	−13
22	Dyn. Altay	22	9	11	2	20	.455	45	58	−13
23	Magnitka Magnitogorsk	20	7	7	6	20	.500	37	40	−3
24	Krasnoyarsk	23	9	13	1	19	.413	41	57	−16
25	Dizel	21	6	11	4	16	.381	43	59	−16
26	Zvezda Moscow	21	7	13	1	15	.357	49	69	−20
27	Chelmet Chelyabinsk	21	6	13	2	14	.333	41	71	−30
28	Kurgan	21	5	12	4	14	.333	37	63	−26
29	Izhevsk	22	6	14	2	14	.318	47	67	−20
30	CSK VVS	21	4	14	3	11	.262	39	70	−31

Playoffs: 1/8-finals

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

HC Yugra vs Gornyak prediction