HC Yugra vs Orsk Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Winner (incl. OT) Won

Yugra 1.46

Confidence68%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 67%

Full game

1X2LostYugraodds down 1.80Confidence 52%
Over/UnderLostU5.5odds down 1.30Confidence 71%
HandicapWonOrsk +1.5Confidence 66%
Best tip of the game: Winner (incl. OT)WonYugraodds down 1.46Confidence 68%
Double chanceWonYugra or drawodds down 1.23Confidence 78%
Draw no betPushYugraodds down 1.38Confidence 72%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.22Confidence 81%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostDrawodds up 2.27Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonU1.5odds down 1.48Confidence 66%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Yugra 21

Orsk

Final 4–3

Total goalsTotal 3 Actual 7

Draw after 60 minDraw 24% Went to a shootout

YUG to winTo win 65% YUG won

Score details

Correct scoreLost2–1After 60 min3–36%chance
1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period1–028%chance
Highest scoring periodWon2nd periodMost goals2nd · 3 goals27%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 2-1
By period 0-0, 1-1, 1-0
Likeliest 2-1 (6%), 3-2 (4%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 19+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record11-7-111-2-6

Home / road split6-2-06-1-3

StreakL2W1

Rest5 days1 day

Goals for2.42.8

Goals against1.72.2

In the standings9th10th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game+1.3−0.3

Goals for2.82.1

Goals against1.52.4

Shots on goal27.425.3

Shots against26.225.8

Shooting %10.2%8.3%

Save %94.3%90.3%

Power-play %21.4%9.4%

Penalty kill %90.0%86.1%

Faceoff %45.4%42.1%

Penalty minutes10.67.8

Blocked shots11.28.1

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Yugra 31

Orsk

HC Yugra won three of the last four meetings

Goals a gameGoals 3.3 YUG 2.3 · ORS 1.0

Over 4.0 goalsOver 4.0 1 of 4 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 2 of 4 1 in overtime · 1 in a shootout

Jan 12, 2026: HC Yugra 3, Orsk 2, after overtime.
Nov 1, 2025: Orsk 0, HC Yugra 3.
Jan 30, 2025: HC Yugra 2, Orsk 0.
Oct 21, 2024: Orsk 2, HC Yugra 1, after a shootout.

Last five games

Yugra 3-1-1

Overtime loss, 2–3 at Perm, after a shootout, Oct 30. Odds: Perm 2.52, Yugra 2.56.
Loss, 2–5 at Toros Neftekamsk, Oct 28. Odds: Toros 3.31, Yugra 2.03.
Win, 5–4 at Izhevsk, Oct 26. Odds: Izhevsk 3.31, Yugra 2.02.
Win, 4–0 at Olympia, Oct 24. Odds: Olympia 3.16, Yugra 2.02.
Win, 3–1 against Kristall Saratov, Oct 19. Odds: Yugra 1.68, Kristall 4.40.

Orsk 2-0-3

Win, 4–3 at Rubin Tyumen, after a shootout, Nov 3. Odds: Rubin Tyumen 2.45, Orsk 2.45.
Overtime loss, 3–4 at Kurgan, after overtime, Nov 1. Odds: Kurgan 3.06, Orsk 2.12.
Overtime loss, 2–3 at Omskie Krylia, after a shootout, Oct 30. Odds: Omskie Krylia 1.52, Orsk 5.80.
Overtime loss, 3–4 against Dyn. Altay, after overtime, Oct 25. Odds: Orsk 1.69, Dynamo Altay 4.40.
Win, 2–1 against Metallurg Novokuznetsk, Oct 23. Odds: Orsk 3.00, Novokuznetsk 2.12.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period1-0

07:12 Goal HC Yugra: Grishakov A. assists: Khokhlov I., Kirpichnikov A. 1-0

2nd period2-1

01:28 Goal HC Yugra: Pochivalov D. assists: Bulatov D. 2-0
06:30 Goal Orsk: Gimatov E. assists: Boychuk D. 2-1
17:39 Goal HC Yugra: Popov A. 3-1

3rd period0-2

06:37 Goal Orsk: Grebenshchikov S. assists: Suslov K. 3-2
13:35 Goal Orsk: Vasin I. assists: Lapshin I., Boychuk D. 3-3

Overtime0-0

No goals or penalties.

Shootout2-1

Round 1 Maltsev M. scored Ugolnikov I. missed
Round 2 Sholokhov M. missed Suslov K. missed
Round 3 Grishakov A. missed Grebenshchikov S. scored
Round 4 Popov A. scored Gimatov E. missed
Round 5 Pochivalov D. missed Lapshin I. missed

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

Rest advantage: 5 days off for HC Yugra, 1 for Orsk.
6-2-0 at home for HC Yugra this season.
Goal differential gap of 1.6 per game — HC Yugra +1.3, Orsk −0.3 over their recent games.
3-1 in the last 4 meetings for HC Yugra.
Save % gap: HC Yugra 94.3%, Orsk 90.3% over their recent games.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (YUG)	1.82	1.82	No change
1X2: X (draw)	3.90	3.90	No change
1X2: 2 (ORS)	3.65	3.65	No change
Over/Under line	4.5	4	Line lowered

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

VHL standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Omskie Krylia	21	18	3	0	36	.857	56	27	+29
2	AKM	23	14	4	5	33	.717	70	51	+19
3	HC Norilsk	23	15	5	3	33	.717	59	50	+9
4	Almetyevsk	21	16	5	0	32	.762	57	41	+16
5	Perm	22	15	6	1	31	.705	61	38	+23
6	Toros Neftekamsk	23	14	6	3	31	.674	63	53	+10
7	SKA-VMF St. Petersburg	20	15	4	1	31	.775	55	26	+29
8	Metallurg Novokuznetsk	24	14	7	3	31	.646	57	38	+19
9	HC Yugra	22	14	7	1	29	.659	55	37	+18
10	Orsk	20	11	2	7	29	.725	56	46	+10
11	Kaluga	23	12	6	5	29	.630	49	41	+8
12	Khimik	21	12	5	4	28	.667	74	50	+24
13	Kristall Saratov	20	12	6	2	26	.650	51	58	−7
14	Buran Voronezh	20	12	6	2	26	.650	44	37	+7
15	Ryazan	23	10	9	4	24	.522	48	53	−5
16	Tambov	20	11	7	2	24	.600	53	52	+1
17	Gornyak	20	10	7	3	23	.575	51	47	+4
18	Bars	21	10	10	1	21	.500	46	61	−15
19	Dinamo St. Petersburg	21	9	9	3	21	.500	54	62	−8
20	Olympia	22	10	11	1	21	.477	58	61	−3
21	Rubin Tyumen	22	9	10	3	21	.477	51	64	−13
22	Dyn. Altay	22	9	11	2	20	.455	45	58	−13
23	Magnitka Magnitogorsk	20	7	7	6	20	.500	37	40	−3
24	Krasnoyarsk	23	9	13	1	19	.413	41	57	−16
25	Dizel	21	6	11	4	16	.381	43	59	−16
26	Zvezda Moscow	21	7	13	1	15	.357	49	69	−20
27	Chelmet Chelyabinsk	21	6	13	2	14	.333	41	71	−30
28	Kurgan	21	5	12	4	14	.333	37	63	−26
29	Izhevsk	22	6	14	2	14	.318	47	67	−20
30	CSK VVS	21	4	14	3	11	.262	39	70	−31

Playoffs: 1/8-finals

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

HC Yugra vs Orsk prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details