Izhevsk vs Kurgan prediction
Chance to win · 48% and 28% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Full game
- 1X2LostIzhevskodds down 1.95Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderLostU5.5odds down 1.37Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonKurgan +1.5Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostIzhevskodds down 1.55Confidence 62%
- Double chanceLostIzhevsk or drawodds up 1.28Confidence 72%
- Draw no betLostIzhevsk1.46Confidence 65%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.20Confidence 82%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostDrawodds down 2.29Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostU1.5odds down 1.54Confidence 61%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–1After 60 min2–46%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period0–226%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goalsTie · all three28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-1
- By period 0-0, 1-1, 1-0
- Likeliest 2-1 (6%), 3-2 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 14+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Dec 26, 2025: Izhevsk 2, Kurgan 1.
- Nov 23, 2025: Kurgan 3, Izhevsk 4.
- Mar 4, 2025: Izhevsk 1, Kurgan 2.
- Sep 18, 2024: Kurgan 9, Izhevsk 0.
Last five games
- Loss, 0–3 against Omskie Krylia, Oct 20. Odds: Izhevsk 3.82, Omskie Krylia 1.82.
- Win, 3–0 at Dyn. Altay, Oct 15. Odds: Dynamo Altay 2.19, Izhevsk 2.60.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 at Metallurg Novokuznetsk, after a shootout, Oct 13. Odds: Novokuznetsk 1.63, Izhevsk 4.75.
- Loss, 2–3 at Krasnoyarsk, Oct 11. Odds: Krasnoyarsk 2.22, Izhevsk 2.62.
- Loss, 2–3 at HC Norilsk, Oct 8.
- Loss, 1–3 at Olympia, Oct 20. Odds: Olympia 2.15, Kurgan 3.00.
- Loss, 2–4 against Kristall Saratov, Oct 15. Odds: Kurgan 2.17, Kristall 2.65.
- Win, 4–3 against Dizel, Oct 13. Odds: Kurgan 2.75, Dizel 2.13.
- Loss, 0–3 against Tambov, Oct 11. Odds: Kurgan 2.25, Tambov 2.62.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against Buran Voronezh, after a shootout, Oct 9. Odds: Kurgan 2.47, Buran Voronezh 2.32.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-2
- 08:34 Goal Kurgan: Ivanov M. assists: Dautov M., Spitsenko K. 0-1
- 18:16 Goal Kurgan: Ivanov M. assists: Kolmagorov K., Luchenkov S. 0-2
2nd period2-0
- 18:03 Goal PPG Izhevsk: Maklozyan Y. assists: Glebov G., Astashevsky S. 1-2
- 19:54 Goal PPG Izhevsk: Lukin V. 2-2
3rd period0-2
- 16:30 Goal Kurgan: Galiaskarov E. assists: Ivanov M., Luchenkov S. 2-3
- 18:10 Goal Kurgan: Pishchalnikov P. 2-4
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- In goal: Sukhachyov V. for Izhevsk (3-6-1 in the last 10 starts), Nikishin M. for Kurgan (3-6-1 in the last 10 starts).
- 1-3-1 in the last five for Izhevsk.
- 1-3-1 in the last five for Kurgan.
- Head-to-head level at 2-2 after the last 4 meetings.
- 5.5 goals per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the total is 4.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (IZH) | 1.91 | 1.91 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.76 | 3.76 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (KUR) | 3.58 | 3.58 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 4.5 | 4.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
VHL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 36 | .857 | 56 | 27 | +29 | |
| 2 | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 33 | .717 | 70 | 51 | +19 | |
| 3 | HC Norilsk | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 33 | .717 | 59 | 50 | +9 |
| 4 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 32 | .762 | 57 | 41 | +16 | |
| 5 | 22 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 31 | .705 | 61 | 38 | +23 | |
| 6 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 31 | .674 | 63 | 53 | +10 | |
| 7 | 20 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 31 | .775 | 55 | 26 | +29 | |
| 8 | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 31 | .646 | 57 | 38 | +19 | |
| 9 | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 29 | .659 | 55 | 37 | +18 | |
| 10 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 29 | .725 | 56 | 46 | +10 | |
| 11 | Kaluga | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 29 | .630 | 49 | 41 | +8 |
| 12 | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 28 | .667 | 74 | 50 | +24 | |
| 13 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 26 | .650 | 51 | 58 | −7 | |
| 14 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 26 | .650 | 44 | 37 | +7 | |
| 15 | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 24 | .522 | 48 | 53 | −5 | |
| 16 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 24 | .600 | 53 | 52 | +1 | |
| 17 | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 23 | .575 | 51 | 47 | +4 | |
| 18 | 21 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 21 | .500 | 46 | 61 | −15 | |
| 19 | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 21 | .500 | 54 | 62 | −8 | |
| 20 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 21 | .477 | 58 | 61 | −3 | |
| 21 | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 21 | .477 | 51 | 64 | −13 | |
| 22 | 22 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 20 | .455 | 45 | 58 | −13 | |
| 23 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 20 | .500 | 37 | 40 | −3 | |
| 24 | 23 | 9 | 13 | 1 | 19 | .413 | 41 | 57 | −16 | |
| 25 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 16 | .381 | 43 | 59 | −16 | |
| 26 | 21 | 7 | 13 | 1 | 15 | .357 | 49 | 69 | −20 | |
| 27 | 21 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 14 | .333 | 41 | 71 | −30 | |
| 28 | 21 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 14 | .333 | 37 | 63 | −26 | |
| 29 | 22 | 6 | 14 | 2 | 14 | .318 | 47 | 67 | −20 | |
| 30 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 3 | 11 | .262 | 39 | 70 | −31 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Izhevsk host Kurgan in the VHL on Thursday, October 22, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.