Kaluga vs Almetyevsk Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Double chance Won

Almetyevsk or draw 1.34

Confidence65%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%

Full game

1X2WonAlmetyevskodds down 2.10Confidence 51%
Over/UnderLostU5.5odds down 1.29Confidence 71%
HandicapWonKaluga +1.5Confidence 70%
Winner (incl. OT)WonAlmetyevsk1.66Confidence 56%
Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonAlmetyevsk or drawodds up 1.34Confidence 65%
Draw no betWonAlmetyevsk1.62Confidence 57%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.20Confidence 82%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostDrawodds down 2.26Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderLostU1.5odds down 1.46Confidence 62%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; a fallback pick in an evenly matched game; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Kaluga 12

Almetyevsk

Final 3–4

Total goalsTotal 3 Actual 7

Draw after 60 minDraw 25% Decided in regulation

ALM to winTo win 55% ALM won

Score details

Correct scoreLost1–2After 60 min3–46%chance
1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period0–227%chance
Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals3rd · 3 goals28%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 1-2
By period 0-0, 1-1, 0-1
Likeliest 1-2 (6%), 2-3 (4%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record10-5-515-5-0

Home / road split3-2-38-3-0

StreakL4L1

Rest2 days1 day

Goals for2.02.7

Goals against1.91.9

In the standings—4th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game−0.1−0.2

Goals for1.92.0

Goals against2.02.2

Shots on goal25.127.4

Shots against30.724.2

Shooting %7.6%7.3%

Save %93.5%91.3%

Power-play %6.1%13.5%

Penalty kill %93.9%85.3%

Faceoff %42.1%41.3%

Penalty minutes6.97.4

Blocked shots11.712.0

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Last five games

Kaluga 1-2-2

Overtime loss, 2–3 against Bars, after overtime, Nov 4. Odds: Kaluga 2.10, Bars 2.95.
Loss, 0–2 at SKA-VMF St. Petersburg, Oct 28. Odds: SKA-VMF 1.83, Kaluga 3.94.
Loss, 0–3 at Dinamo St. Petersburg, Oct 26. Odds: Dinamo SPb 2.61, Kaluga 2.38.
Overtime loss, 2–3 at Zvezda Moscow, after overtime, Oct 24. Odds: Zvezda Moscow 2.77, Kaluga 2.25.
Win, 3–2 at Khimik, after a shootout, Oct 22. Odds: Khimik 1.75, Kaluga 4.10.

Almetyevsk 4-1-0

Loss, 0–4 at AKM, Nov 5. Odds: AKM 2.58, Almetyevsk 2.34.
Win, 2–1 at Ryazan, Nov 3. Odds: Ryazan 2.90, Almetyevsk 2.05.
Win, 2–0 at Bars, Oct 25. Odds: Bars 2.97, Almetyevsk 2.12.
Win, 3–2 against CSK VVS, after overtime, Oct 21. Odds: Almetyevsk 1.46, CSK VVS 6.00.
Win, 2–1 against SKA-VMF St. Petersburg, after a shootout, Oct 14. Odds: Almetyevsk 2.10, SKA-VMF 2.75.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period0-2

09:43 Goal Almetyevsk: Govorkov M. assists: Govorkov R. 0-1
13:17 Goal Almetyevsk: Zamaltdinov R. assists: Platonov Y., Chetverikov D. 0-2

2nd period1-1

02:33 Goal Almetyevsk: Ionov S. assists: Abdukadyrov S. 0-3
04:39 Goal PPG Kaluga: Talaluyev I. assists: Denisov P. 1-3

3rd period2-1

03:49 Goal PPG Kaluga: Yusupov V. 2-3
04:25 Goal SHG Kaluga: Litvinov I. assists: Zakharov I. 3-3
12:25 Goal Almetyevsk: Marushev M. assists: Govorkov M., Zhulin T. 3-4

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

4-game losing streak for Kaluga coming into this game.
4-1-0 in the last five for Almetyevsk.
Save % gap: Kaluga 93.5%, Almetyevsk 91.3% over their recent games.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (KAL)	2.83	2.83	No change
1X2: X (draw)	3.80	3.80	No change
1X2: 2 (ALM)	2.22	2.22	No change
Over/Under line	4.5	4	Line lowered

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

VHL standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Omskie Krylia	21	18	3	0	36	.857	56	27	+29
2	AKM	23	14	4	5	33	.717	70	51	+19
3	HC Norilsk	23	15	5	3	33	.717	59	50	+9
4	Almetyevsk	21	16	5	0	32	.762	57	41	+16
5	Perm	22	15	6	1	31	.705	61	38	+23
6	Toros Neftekamsk	23	14	6	3	31	.674	63	53	+10
7	SKA-VMF St. Petersburg	20	15	4	1	31	.775	55	26	+29
8	Metallurg Novokuznetsk	24	14	7	3	31	.646	57	38	+19
9	HC Yugra	22	14	7	1	29	.659	55	37	+18
10	Orsk	20	11	2	7	29	.725	56	46	+10
11	Kaluga	23	12	6	5	29	.630	49	41	+8
12	Khimik	21	12	5	4	28	.667	74	50	+24
13	Kristall Saratov	20	12	6	2	26	.650	51	58	−7
14	Buran Voronezh	20	12	6	2	26	.650	44	37	+7
15	Ryazan	23	10	9	4	24	.522	48	53	−5
16	Tambov	20	11	7	2	24	.600	53	52	+1
17	Gornyak	20	10	7	3	23	.575	51	47	+4
18	Bars	21	10	10	1	21	.500	46	61	−15
19	Dinamo St. Petersburg	21	9	9	3	21	.500	54	62	−8
20	Olympia	22	10	11	1	21	.477	58	61	−3
21	Rubin Tyumen	22	9	10	3	21	.477	51	64	−13
22	Dyn. Altay	22	9	11	2	20	.455	45	58	−13
23	Magnitka Magnitogorsk	20	7	7	6	20	.500	37	40	−3
24	Krasnoyarsk	23	9	13	1	19	.413	41	57	−16
25	Dizel	21	6	11	4	16	.381	43	59	−16
26	Zvezda Moscow	21	7	13	1	15	.357	49	69	−20
27	Chelmet Chelyabinsk	21	6	13	2	14	.333	41	71	−30
28	Kurgan	21	5	12	4	14	.333	37	63	−26
29	Izhevsk	22	6	14	2	14	.318	47	67	−20
30	CSK VVS	21	4	14	3	11	.262	39	70	−31

Playoffs: 1/8-finals

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Kaluga vs Almetyevsk prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details