Kaluga vs Bars Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Double chance Won

Kaluga or draw 1.34

Confidence74%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%

Full game

1X2LostKalugaodds down 2.07Confidence 51%
Over/UnderWonU5.5odds up 1.28Confidence 71%
HandicapWonBars +1.5Confidence 66%
Winner (incl. OT)LostKalugaodds down 1.63Confidence 63%
Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonKaluga or drawodds down 1.34Confidence 74%
Draw no betPushKalugaodds down 1.57Confidence 66%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.20Confidence 81%

1st period

1st period 1X2WonDrawodds up 2.27Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonU1.51.47Confidence 63%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Kaluga 21

Bars

Final 2–3

Total goalsTotal 3 Actual 5

Draw after 60 minDraw 24% Went to overtime

KAL to winTo win 62% BAR won

Score details

Correct scoreLost2–1After 60 min2–26%chance
1st period correct scoreWon0–01st period0–028%chance
Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goalsTie · 2nd & 3rd27%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 2-1
By period 0-0, 1-1, 1-0
Likeliest 2-1 (6%), 3-2 (4%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 19+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record10-5-49-10-1

Home / road split3-2-23-6-1

StreakL3L3

Rest6 days1 day

Goals for1.92.2

Goals against1.83.0

In the standings—18th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game+0.1−0.1

Goals for1.82.2

Goals against1.72.3

Shots on goal23.322.6

Shots against30.027.2

Shooting %7.7%9.7%

Save %94.3%91.5%

Power-play %5.9%7.7%

Penalty kill %97.2%83.9%

Faceoff %42.1%46.7%

Penalty minutes7.56.2

Blocked shots11.513.0

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Last five games

Kaluga 1-3-1

Loss, 0–2 at SKA-VMF St. Petersburg, Oct 28. Odds: SKA-VMF 1.83, Kaluga 3.94.
Loss, 0–3 at Dinamo St. Petersburg, Oct 26. Odds: Dinamo SPb 2.61, Kaluga 2.38.
Overtime loss, 2–3 at Zvezda Moscow, after overtime, Oct 24. Odds: Zvezda Moscow 2.77, Kaluga 2.25.
Win, 3–2 at Khimik, after a shootout, Oct 22. Odds: Khimik 1.75, Kaluga 4.10.
Loss, 1–3 against Gornyak, Oct 18. Odds: Kaluga 2.24, Gornyak 2.90.

Bars 1-4-0

Loss, 0–3 at AKM, Nov 2. Odds: AKM 1.84, Bars 3.69.
Loss, 1–2 at Ryazan, Oct 31. Odds: Ryazan 2.12, Bars 3.02.
Loss, 0–2 against Almetyevsk, Oct 25. Odds: Bars 2.97, Almetyevsk 2.12.
Win, 3–2 against CSK VVS, Oct 23. Odds: Bars 1.82, CSK VVS 3.68.
Loss, 0–4 against SKA-VMF St. Petersburg, Oct 16. Odds: Bars 3.15, SKA-VMF 1.86.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period0-0

No goals or penalties.

2nd period1-1

10:01 Goal PPG Bars: Gizatullin D. assists: Khasanov I., Lisov N. 0-1
12:14 Goal Kaluga: Ushakov Y. assists: Talaluyev I. 1-1

3rd period1-1

04:45 Goal Bars: Makhmutov A. assists: Khasanov I., Gizatullin D. 1-2
14:19 Goal Kaluga: Berezin M. assists: Meshkantsov N., Gaitamirov T. 2-2

Overtime0-1

03:43 Goal Bars: Abrosimov R. assists: Khasanov I., Zinovyev D. 2-3

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

3-game losing streak for Kaluga coming into this game.
3-game losing streak for Bars coming into this game.
Rest advantage: 6 days off for Kaluga, 1 for Bars.
Save % gap: Kaluga 94.3%, Bars 91.5% over their recent games.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (KAL)	2.13	2.10	Shortened
1X2: X (draw)	3.65	3.65	No change
1X2: 2 (BAR)	2.90	2.95	Drifted
Over/Under line	4.5	4.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

VHL standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Omskie Krylia	21	18	3	0	36	.857	56	27	+29
2	AKM	23	14	4	5	33	.717	70	51	+19
3	HC Norilsk	23	15	5	3	33	.717	59	50	+9
4	Almetyevsk	21	16	5	0	32	.762	57	41	+16
5	Perm	22	15	6	1	31	.705	61	38	+23
6	Toros Neftekamsk	23	14	6	3	31	.674	63	53	+10
7	SKA-VMF St. Petersburg	20	15	4	1	31	.775	55	26	+29
8	Metallurg Novokuznetsk	24	14	7	3	31	.646	57	38	+19
9	HC Yugra	22	14	7	1	29	.659	55	37	+18
10	Orsk	20	11	2	7	29	.725	56	46	+10
11	Kaluga	23	12	6	5	29	.630	49	41	+8
12	Khimik	21	12	5	4	28	.667	74	50	+24
13	Kristall Saratov	20	12	6	2	26	.650	51	58	−7
14	Buran Voronezh	20	12	6	2	26	.650	44	37	+7
15	Ryazan	23	10	9	4	24	.522	48	53	−5
16	Tambov	20	11	7	2	24	.600	53	52	+1
17	Gornyak	20	10	7	3	23	.575	51	47	+4
18	Bars	21	10	10	1	21	.500	46	61	−15
19	Dinamo St. Petersburg	21	9	9	3	21	.500	54	62	−8
20	Olympia	22	10	11	1	21	.477	58	61	−3
21	Rubin Tyumen	22	9	10	3	21	.477	51	64	−13
22	Dyn. Altay	22	9	11	2	20	.455	45	58	−13
23	Magnitka Magnitogorsk	20	7	7	6	20	.500	37	40	−3
24	Krasnoyarsk	23	9	13	1	19	.413	41	57	−16
25	Dizel	21	6	11	4	16	.381	43	59	−16
26	Zvezda Moscow	21	7	13	1	15	.357	49	69	−20
27	Chelmet Chelyabinsk	21	6	13	2	14	.333	41	71	−30
28	Kurgan	21	5	12	4	14	.333	37	63	−26
29	Izhevsk	22	6	14	2	14	.318	47	67	−20
30	CSK VVS	21	4	14	3	11	.262	39	70	−31

Playoffs: 1/8-finals

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Kaluga vs Bars prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details