Kaluga vs Chelmet Chelyabinsk Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Winner (incl. OT) Won

Kaluga 1.48

Confidence70%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 68%

Full game

1X2WonKalugaodds up 1.83Confidence 59%
Over/UnderWonO3.5odds up 1.32Confidence 71%
HandicapLostChelmet +1.5Confidence 63%
Best tip of the game: Winner (incl. OT)WonKalugaodds up 1.48Confidence 70%
Double chanceWonKaluga or drawodds up 1.30Confidence 80%
Draw no betWonKalugaodds up 1.52Confidence 75%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.16Confidence 82%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostKalugaodds up 2.55Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderLostU1.5odds down 1.58Confidence 58%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Kaluga 32

Chelmet

Final 5–1

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 6

Draw after 60 minDraw 22% Decided in regulation

KAL to winTo win 69% KAL won

Score details

Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min5–15%chance
1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period1–120%chance
Highest scoring periodWonTieMost goalsTie · all three28%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 3-2
By period 1-0, 1-1, 1-1
Likeliest 3-2 (5%), 4-3 (2%), 5-4 (1%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 13+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record8-2-33-7-2

Home / road split2-1-22-6-1

StreakW1L3

Rest1 day1 day

Goals for2.01.8

Goals against1.54.0

In the standings—27th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game+0.7−2.1

Goals for2.12.0

Goals against1.44.1

Shots on goal24.128.6

Shots against26.127.5

Shooting %8.7%7.0%

Save %94.6%85.1%

Power-play %14.8%15.2%

Penalty kill %94.1%79.5%

Faceoff %50.2%51.8%

Penalty minutes6.810.3

Blocked shots7.715.9

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Last five games

Kaluga 4-0-1

Win, 3–1 against Magnitka Magnitogorsk, Oct 14. Odds: Kaluga 2.17, Magnitka 2.70.
Overtime loss, 1–2 against Orsk, after a shootout, Oct 12. Odds: Kaluga 2.23, Orsk 2.60.
Win, 3–1 at Perm, Oct 7.
Win, 1–0 at Toros Neftekamsk, Oct 5.
Win, 3–1 at Izhevsk, Oct 3.

Chelmet 1-3-1

Loss, 2–4 at AKM, Oct 14. Odds: AKM 1.69, Chelmet 3.60.
Loss, 0–8 at Ryazan, Oct 12. Odds: Ryazan 2.08, Chelmet 2.75.
Loss, 3–4 against Bars, Oct 4.
Win, 4–2 against Almetyevsk, Oct 2.
Overtime loss, 4–5 against CSK VVS, after overtime, Sep 30.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period1-1

12:29 Goal PPG Kaluga: Pavlyukov I. assists: Yusupov V. 1-0
15:30 Goal Chelmet Chelyabinsk: Gusmanov F. assists: Golovnyov Y. 1-1

2nd period2-0

00:59 Goal Kaluga: Pavlyukov I. assists: Mitrofanov A. 2-1
19:35 Goal Kaluga: Smirnov N. assists: Almazov N., Kolomiytsev I. 3-1

3rd period2-0

09:33 Goal Kaluga: Kitsyn M. assists: Gaitamirov T., Ignatov S. 4-1
13:25 Goal ENG Kaluga: Smirnov N. 5-1

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

3-game losing streak for Chelmet Chelyabinsk coming into this game.
2-6-1 away for Chelmet Chelyabinsk this season.
In goal: Vladychek A. for Kaluga (3-0-3 in the last 6 starts), Mosharov D. for Chelmet Chelyabinsk (3-4-3 in the last 10 starts).
Goal differential gap of 2.8 per game — Kaluga +0.7, Chelmet Chelyabinsk −2.1 over their recent games.
4-0-1 in the last five for Kaluga.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (KAL)	1.77	2.02	Drifted
1X2: X (draw)	3.85	3.65	Shortened
1X2: 2 (CHE)	3.50	2.95	Shortened
Over/Under line	4.5	4.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

VHL standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Omskie Krylia	21	18	3	0	36	.857	56	27	+29
2	AKM	23	14	4	5	33	.717	70	51	+19
3	HC Norilsk	23	15	5	3	33	.717	59	50	+9
4	Almetyevsk	21	16	5	0	32	.762	57	41	+16
5	Perm	22	15	6	1	31	.705	61	38	+23
6	Toros Neftekamsk	23	14	6	3	31	.674	63	53	+10
7	SKA-VMF St. Petersburg	20	15	4	1	31	.775	55	26	+29
8	Metallurg Novokuznetsk	24	14	7	3	31	.646	57	38	+19
9	HC Yugra	22	14	7	1	29	.659	55	37	+18
10	Orsk	20	11	2	7	29	.725	56	46	+10
11	Kaluga	23	12	6	5	29	.630	49	41	+8
12	Khimik	21	12	5	4	28	.667	74	50	+24
13	Kristall Saratov	20	12	6	2	26	.650	51	58	−7
14	Buran Voronezh	20	12	6	2	26	.650	44	37	+7
15	Ryazan	23	10	9	4	24	.522	48	53	−5
16	Tambov	20	11	7	2	24	.600	53	52	+1
17	Gornyak	20	10	7	3	23	.575	51	47	+4
18	Bars	21	10	10	1	21	.500	46	61	−15
19	Dinamo St. Petersburg	21	9	9	3	21	.500	54	62	−8
20	Olympia	22	10	11	1	21	.477	58	61	−3
21	Rubin Tyumen	22	9	10	3	21	.477	51	64	−13
22	Dyn. Altay	22	9	11	2	20	.455	45	58	−13
23	Magnitka Magnitogorsk	20	7	7	6	20	.500	37	40	−3
24	Krasnoyarsk	23	9	13	1	19	.413	41	57	−16
25	Dizel	21	6	11	4	16	.381	43	59	−16
26	Zvezda Moscow	21	7	13	1	15	.357	49	69	−20
27	Chelmet Chelyabinsk	21	6	13	2	14	.333	41	71	−30
28	Kurgan	21	5	12	4	14	.333	37	63	−26
29	Izhevsk	22	6	14	2	14	.318	47	67	−20
30	CSK VVS	21	4	14	3	11	.262	39	70	−31

Playoffs: 1/8-finals

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Kaluga vs Chelmet Chelyabinsk prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details